Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$224
$782 in 24h
Trades
27
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$3,377
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 03:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $34 | $34 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $3 | $188 | $185 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $34 | $34 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 5 | — | $81 | $81 |
| Below median | 2 | $1 | $2 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $17 | $17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $87 | $87 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leading-Porter 0x2032…e43e | No | +92 | $84 | $84 | 1 | 05-10 04:26 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +50 | $46 | $46 | 5 | 05-10 22:36 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-11 02:30 |
| Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 8 | 05-10 06:06 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +18 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-11 02:30 |
| Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:03 |
| Our-Pronoun 0x7efd…caed | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:41 |
| Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:48 |
| Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-11 02:25 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 09:19 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 12:56 |
| Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 22:11 |
| Itchy-Extreme 0xb038…074b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 03:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 03:13:21 | Itchy-Extreme 0xb038…074b | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x90f48c… |
| 05-11 02:30:58 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0xc9eba0… |
| 05-11 02:30:56 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 18 | 95¢ | $17 | 0x6b70af… |
| 05-11 02:25:29 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xda296d… |
| 05-11 02:04:50 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc3749e… |
| 05-11 00:10:35 | Voluminous-Asymmetry 0x527a…6ce2 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x0b9742… |
| 05-10 22:36:02 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x07f15b… |
| 05-10 22:31:02 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xa90c7b… |
| 05-10 22:11:25 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x9ad73e… |
| 05-10 22:11:04 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xa48022… |
| 05-10 22:06:03 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xa1e054… |
| 05-10 22:01:23 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x1e6346… |
| 05-10 22:01:03 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 92¢ | $9 | 0xeeea84… |
| 05-10 19:03:52 | Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xa8162d… |
| 05-10 12:56:52 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x282ff7… |
| 05-10 09:19:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x82a4bc… |
| 05-10 07:41:40 | Our-Pronoun 0x7efd…caed | Yes | BUY | 10 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x586632… |
| 05-10 06:06:19 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xb5cf3f… |
| 05-10 05:56:19 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x8d62f4… |
| 05-10 05:36:18 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x9fcb88… |
| 05-10 05:17:03 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x09d37a… |
| 05-10 05:07:33 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xcb181e… |
| 05-10 04:56:19 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x4c285e… |
| 05-10 04:48:35 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x9522d6… |
| 05-10 04:46:19 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x6a83e1… |
| 05-10 04:26:34 | Leading-Porter 0x2032…e43e | No | BUY | 92 | 91¢ | $84 | 0x458b30… |
| 05-10 04:26:16 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0xb8fd23… |