Frail-Hoof — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

Trades

314

lifetime

Volume

$29.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 05-25 03:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 83% +$2

Politics

12% 0% $-17

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	12	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	02-05 08:55
bitcoin above 74k on february 8	6	$1.6K	944	698	+246	open	—	02-08 13:20
bitcoin above 76k on april 16	3	$1.3K	880	479	+401	open	—	04-16 14:00
bitcoin above 78k on february 8	11	$999	500	500	+0	open	—	02-08 09:04
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	2	$988	495	495	+0	open	—	04-24 03:28
ethereum above 1800 on march 11	13	$875	441	441	+0	open	—	03-11 09:22
btc updown 15m 1770310800	2	$812	417	417	+0	open	—	02-05 17:10
bitcoin above 76k on february 9	1	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	02-09 09:07
btc updown 15m 1770304500	3	$708	711	0	+711	open	—	02-05 15:29
ethereum above 2500 on march 16	4	$650	341	311	+30	open	—	03-16 13:02
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	2	$624	314	314	+0	open	—	04-07 12:02
btc updown 15m 1770563700	1	$568	574	0	+574	open	—	02-08 15:26
ethereum above 2400 on april 14	2	$557	280	280	+0	open	—	04-14 15:57
btc updown 15m 1770288300	1	$500	510	0	+510	open	—	02-05 10:53
btc updown 15m 1770309900	1	$500	503	0	+503	open	—	02-05 16:59
bitcoin above 82k on february 4	1	$498	500	0	+500	open	—	02-04 12:37
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	5	$483	0	500	-500	Yes	$-17	05-13 12:51
highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 18c	7	$460	231	230	+1	open	—	03-18 09:33
bitcoin above 70k on march 28	2	$443	225	220	+5	open	—	03-28 07:23
ethereum above 2400 on march 22	8	$426	230	200	+30	open	—	03-21 16:48
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	2	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	02-08 11:08
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 140 164	9	$398	200	200	+0	open	—	02-04 13:38
btc updown 15m 1770554700	1	$361	372	0	+372	open	—	02-08 12:53
bitcoin above 64k on april 6	1	$359	360	0	+360	open	—	04-06 06:17
bitcoin above 64k on april 5	1	$352	353	0	+353	open	—	04-05 14:32
bitcoin above 76k on april 12	3	$351	178	175	+3	open	—	04-12 06:09
bitcoin above 72k on april 3	1	$348	350	0	+350	open	—	04-02 15:57
bitcoin above 76k on march 9	1	$330	331	0	+331	open	—	03-08 04:02
ethereum above 1900 on april 9	4	$323	162	162	+0	open	—	04-09 12:02
bitcoin above 74k on april 10	3	$302	311	0	+311	open	—	04-10 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 03:09:52	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xdb3423…
05-21 14:30:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x96fa33…
05-20 11:34:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x405400…
05-18 04:36:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0x736902…
05-18 04:33:54	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x1563ce…
05-15 02:39:49	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x38c3c7…
05-15 02:37:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x738b41…
05-13 12:51:57	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x902045…
05-13 02:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe35475…
05-13 02:13:46	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb072f2…
05-12 07:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa48116…
05-11 02:12:13	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbb1622…
05-08 17:28:07	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xba9353…
05-07 18:06:19	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3f2e6f…
05-07 06:12:12	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x507e65…
05-07 03:03:43	Will Solana reach $160 in May?	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x711635…
05-07 02:50:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$298	0xef74e6…
05-06 08:02:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0x848f15…
05-06 07:59:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x01b40b…
05-06 07:50:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0xd4e3c2…
05-06 07:48:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x38b5ee…
05-06 07:46:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf2ec62…
05-06 07:45:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x42fbd6…
05-06 07:41:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0xe6d9b3…
05-06 07:33:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xe21b63…
05-06 07:28:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xd1ed11…
05-06 04:55:20	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x7fe879…
04-24 03:28:08	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	SELL	495	100¢	$494	0xa1af43…
04-22 05:07:48	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	495	100¢	$494	0x675604…
04-16 14:00:00	bitcoin above 76k on april 16	No	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0x4c7151…
04-16 13:54:02	bitcoin above 76k on april 16	No	SELL	479	99¢	$474	0xc5ed6d…
04-16 13:47:00	bitcoin above 76k on april 16	No	BUY	480	98¢	$470	0xb72172…
04-15 11:27:34	bitcoin above 74k on april 15	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x35143c…
04-15 11:26:48	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	278	100¢	$277	0xefcd06…
04-15 11:26:24	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	209	100¢	$208	0x30c44b…
04-14 15:57:11	ethereum above 2400 on april 14	No	SELL	280	100¢	$280	0xdc0cd0…
04-13 07:13:09	ethereum above 2400 on april 14	No	BUY	280	99¢	$277	0x53dd28…
04-13 06:25:03	ethereum above 2300 on april 13	No	BUY	180	98¢	$177	0x4f5197…
04-13 06:07:33	ethereum above 2000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x053eb5…
04-12 06:09:15	bitcoin above 76k on april 12	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x77be43…
04-11 06:06:31	bitcoin above 76k on april 12	No	BUY	168	99¢	$166	0x6f22d7…
04-11 06:06:31	bitcoin above 76k on april 12	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5a1659…
04-11 06:05:47	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xfb002f…
04-11 05:24:03	ethereum above 2400 on april 12	No	BUY	273	98¢	$267	0xd544a0…
04-10 13:24:41	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x205fe4…
04-10 13:15:41	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	No	BUY	53	97¢	$51	0xbe7027…
04-10 13:15:37	bitcoin above 74k on april 10	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x8fa54b…
04-10 09:14:53	ethereum above 1800 on april 11	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x126cb1…
04-09 13:22:31	ethereum above 2000 on april 10	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb9ec3c…
04-09 12:02:09	ethereum above 1900 on april 9	Yes	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0x03f277…
04-08 14:52:39	ethereum above 1900 on april 9	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0xa78c27…
04-08 06:09:15	ethereum above 1900 on april 9	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x16c637…
04-08 05:20:29	ethereum above 2600 on april 9	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd9b6a6…
04-08 05:19:51	ethereum above 1800 on april 9	Yes	BUY	199	100¢	$198	0x1d5f77…
04-08 05:19:43	ethereum above 1900 on april 9	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5b883d…
04-07 22:03:21	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x732ef1…
04-07 13:44:21	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	93¢	$70	0xcddf4a…
04-07 12:02:17	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	SELL	314	100¢	$313	0x7c6eb7…
04-07 04:48:17	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	314	99¢	$310	0x468062…
04-06 06:17:03	bitcoin above 64k on april 6	Yes	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0x9c45b6…
04-05 15:59:31	bitcoin up or down on april 5 2026	Up	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x282316…
04-05 15:40:47	bitcoin up or down on april 5 2026	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x604def…
04-05 15:39:37	bitcoin up or down on april 5 2026	Up	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x9567ba…
04-05 15:33:55	bitcoin up or down on april 5 2026	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x262ec7…
04-05 14:32:11	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	BUY	353	100¢	$352	0x74ffd7…
04-05 14:30:25	bitcoin up or down on april 5 2026	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x955750…
04-02 15:57:11	bitcoin above 72k on april 3	No	BUY	350	99¢	$348	0xe276db…
03-29 08:22:28	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xe3624b…
03-28 08:34:17	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	210	99¢	$208	0x24e3d7…
03-28 07:23:39	bitcoin above 70k on march 28	No	SELL	220	100¢	$219	0x375788…
03-28 06:08:07	bitcoin above 70k on march 28	No	BUY	225	100¢	$224	0x777d35…
03-27 06:38:09	ethereum above 2400 on march 28	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x7630f3…
03-26 03:41:29	bitcoin above 78k on march 27	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x873720…
03-26 03:39:51	bitcoin above 76k on march 27	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x0f0440…
03-26 03:24:17	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x74eb32…
03-26 03:23:59	bitcoin above 74k on march 26	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x21c74d…
03-25 17:55:01	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x82fece…
03-23 13:39:21	ethereum up or down on march 23 2026	Up	BUY	231	97¢	$224	0x59f427…
03-22 05:37:45	highest temperature in wuhan on march 22 2026 24corhigher	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x2202f0…
03-22 05:36:55	highest temperature in chongqing on march 22 2026 25c	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc9116c…
03-22 04:55:05	solana above 90 on march 22	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xb72dae…
03-22 04:53:03	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x71f8db…
03-21 16:48:39	ethereum above 2400 on march 22	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8bf469…
03-21 16:48:37	ethereum above 2400 on march 22	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xe9dd5f…
03-21 16:40:05	ethereum above 2400 on march 22	No	SELL	23	100¢	$22	0xfad7c5…
03-21 16:39:29	ethereum above 2400 on march 22	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xe0d892…
03-21 16:39:05	ethereum above 2400 on march 22	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xc03a63…
03-21 16:38:15	ethereum above 2400 on march 22	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x7e24bd…
03-21 16:28:35	ethereum above 2400 on march 22	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xac21de…
03-21 09:16:21	btc updown 5m 1774084500	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4a1880…
03-20 16:01:11	ethereum above 2400 on march 22	No	BUY	230	99¢	$227	0xc82bb0…
03-18 09:57:31	bitcoin above 80k on march 19	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x7838e3…
03-18 09:33:11	highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xcb1e2f…
03-18 09:19:03	highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	140	100¢	$140	0xf8aa15…
03-18 09:17:13	highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3c871d…
03-18 09:10:51	highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xe79bc4…
03-18 08:47:23	highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x40b855…
03-18 08:36:51	btc updown 5m 1773822900	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x691ab7…
03-18 08:30:11	highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 18c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe5a4a5…
03-18 06:54:57	highest temperature in tokyo on march 18 2026 18c	No	BUY	231	100¢	$230	0x10abb2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	72	$177.3K	3,789	05-21 14:27
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	62	$26.1K	9,971	04-15 16:01
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	52	$409.4K	4,020	05-25 03:40
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	52	$1.78K	678	03-27 19:19
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	46	$2.01K	46	05-25 03:29
(anonymous) 0x997c…251e	45	$561.9K	19,765	05-21 15:41
Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1	45	$91.2K	5,069	05-25 02:07
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	45	$9.85K	2,450	05-15 19:33