Icy-Pride — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$275

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 03:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 44% +$45

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	4	$51	60	0	+60	open	—	05-06 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	05-06 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	5	$16	32	0	+32	Up	+$16	05-05 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$16	40	0	+40	Up	+$24	05-05 02:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	3	$13	15	0	+15	open	—	05-06 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Up	$-10	05-05 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 5?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-05 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$8	20	0	+20	Down	$-8	05-05 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-06 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$8	14	0	+14	Up	+$6	05-05 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$8	15	0	+15	Down	$-8	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	05-06 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	05-06 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	05-06 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	4	$7	23	0	+23	Down	+$17	05-05 02:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$6	23	0	+23	Down	+$17	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-05 00:15
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 5?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-05 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-05 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-05 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	4	$4	21	0	+21	Down	$-4	05-05 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 5?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-05 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Down	$-4	05-05 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$3	10	0	+10	Up	$-3	05-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Down	$-3	05-05 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 06:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$3	05-04 23:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 03:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7c093b…
05-06 03:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9ef225…
05-06 03:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe33fca…
05-06 03:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd72a8c…
05-06 03:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc6bb28…
05-06 02:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x3ca211…
05-06 02:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa90992…
05-06 02:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x36190b…
05-06 02:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x5c1a6d…
05-06 02:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb2daa5…
05-06 01:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x286cee…
05-06 01:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd1121a…
05-06 00:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	93¢	$12	0x76bd61…
05-06 00:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	93¢	$12	0x2332fa…
05-06 00:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6965c1…
05-06 00:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x95a3af…
05-05 15:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on May 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xeb4c1e…
05-05 08:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x15f1c9…
05-05 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9b1ba9…
05-05 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4aeb9a…
05-05 08:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7f1bc2…
05-05 08:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	60¢	$5	0xf1744f…
05-05 08:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 5?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x58abef…
05-05 07:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 5?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc19ad5…
05-05 07:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdc5312…
05-05 07:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd75580…
05-05 07:25:06	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 5?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd297ad…
05-05 06:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x72a1d5…
05-05 05:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1dc7f1…
05-05 05:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x92630e…
05-05 04:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xfe4524…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9bb809…
05-05 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x65aba7…
05-05 02:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xdaf760…
05-05 02:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xabdbd8…
05-05 02:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xdbf5d5…
05-05 02:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd0bece…
05-05 02:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x7ea654…
05-05 02:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x673f1f…
05-05 02:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x43502a…
05-05 01:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x57a370…
05-05 01:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x0d96c8…
05-05 01:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x99fb8d…
05-05 01:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0d97bb…
05-05 01:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb49103…
05-05 01:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x940eca…
05-05 01:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcd151c…
05-05 01:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xec6ef0…
05-05 01:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x2c0507…
05-05 01:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xfd6577…
05-05 00:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc8c018…
05-05 00:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x95552c…
05-05 00:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x03beba…
05-05 00:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xb789a4…
05-05 00:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd3cb6e…
05-05 00:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x3c86fa…
05-05 00:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1fb6eb…
05-05 00:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe23a2d…
05-04 23:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6347a3…
05-04 22:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x626c45…
05-04 22:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x4e52b6…
05-04 22:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x84d23f…
05-04 22:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x7915b5…
05-04 21:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xbb5b86…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Deep-Observatory 0xc131…f5d5	31	$860	245	05-06 03:14
Bulky-Bracket 0xabc2…7048	31	$661	250	05-06 03:14
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	29	$4.38K	149	05-06 03:14
(anonymous) 0xa621…6e29	29	$692	143	05-06 03:14
Minor-Air 0x9848…b0ba	27	$625	96	05-06 03:14
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	25	$5.94K	107	05-06 03:14
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	24	$1.97K	158	05-06 03:14
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	23	$10.3K	252	05-06 03:14