Popular-Accommodation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.46K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.4%

Resolved

Trades

161

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 10-26 22:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

58% 17% -$2,179

Other

27% 33% -$346

Crypto

11% 47% +$124

Sports

4% 50% -$60

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	12	$3.3K	21,264	21,264	+0	Yes	-$1,105	09-22 13:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	6	$2.0K	5,181	5,181	+0	open	—	10-20 17:39
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	5	$1.0K	1,254	1,254	+0	No	-$13	05-24 20:42
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	2	$981	3,150	3,150	+0	No	+$27	10-02 22:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	4	$845	9,647	9,647	+0	Yes	-$599	09-14 22:11
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	4	$816	6,281	6,281	+0	No	-$188	09-21 23:23
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	5	$761	5,566	5,566	+0	open	—	10-05 15:34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$628	2,088	2,088	+0	No	-$44	09-22 12:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 23:10 UTC	10	$479	816	295	+521	Up	-$107	07-06 23:14
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	4	$425	1,762	1,762	+0	No	-$215	09-22 20:56
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	2	$422	236	236	+0	Yes	+$22	05-18 21:12
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?	3	$410	253	253	+0	Yes	+$10	05-24 17:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 23:05 UTC	3	$375	417	417	+0	Down	+$275	07-06 23:09
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$368	1,458	1,458	+0	No	-$42	05-24 19:25
CA Boca Juniors leading at halftime?	2	$368	270	270	+0	Yes	+$168	05-20 01:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	3	$353	37,393	37,393	+0	No	-$51	09-21 23:22
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?	3	$337	244	244	+0	Yes	+$127	05-19 20:43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	2	$306	329	329	+0	No	-$89	05-19 19:09
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$275	687	687	+0	Yes	-$82	07-06 23:06
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-24?	2	$267	611	0	+611	No	-$267	05-24 18:10
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-19?	2	$261	195	195	+0	No	+$58	05-20 01:21
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	2	$223	3,216	3,216	+0	Yes	-$18	09-07 23:09
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	2	$203	1,412	1,412	+0	open	—	10-05 13:44
Trump renames AI by September 30?	2	$157	192	192	+0	Yes	+$0	09-22 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	5	$133	128	128	+0	Down	+$33	09-03 22:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	2	$121	1,157	1,157	+0	Yes	-$77	10-24 04:18
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	3	$117	1,677	1,677	+0	No	-$77	05-25 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	4	$115	87	87	+0	Down	+$15	09-03 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	4	$114	94	94	+0	Up	+$14	09-03 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$111	125	125	+0	Down	+$11	09-03 22:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 22:07:41	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	82	7¢	$5	0x53e793…
10-26 22:07:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	216	3¢	$6	0xdfa47e…
10-24 05:08:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	58	10¢	$6	0xf2e727…
10-24 05:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0xafc5b5…
10-24 05:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x55d275…
10-24 05:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	58¢	$7	0x3263ec…
10-24 05:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x783d43…
10-24 04:58:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	61	9¢	$6	0x64d75a…
10-24 04:20:14	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	219	10¢	$22	0x40ab44…
10-24 04:18:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	1,157	2¢	$22	0x1f6cd7…
10-22 23:34:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	1,157	9¢	$99	0x32f66d…
10-20 17:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xbf6823…
10-20 17:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	23	19¢	$4	0x4a9925…
10-20 17:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x08ea5d…
10-20 17:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0x6f99be…
10-20 17:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x53f1a8…
10-20 17:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0xe27ef7…
10-20 17:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xab2c04…
10-20 17:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	48¢	$5	0xbd9549…
10-20 17:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe5eb18…
10-20 17:39:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	71	13¢	$9	0x966b40…
10-20 12:56:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xdbe82d…
10-20 12:55:38	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	204	5¢	$10	0x0e5067…
10-05 15:35:04	Israel military action against Iraq by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	22¢	$44	0xe41ff9…
10-05 15:34:37	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,855	2¢	$43	0x28aa68…
10-05 13:45:29	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	BUY	1,122	8¢	$89	0x51909f…
10-05 13:44:31	Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	Yes	SELL	1,412	6¢	$90	0x8d881f…
10-05 13:26:37	Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,412	8¢	$113	0xb223ab…
10-05 13:25:47	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,600	4¢	$113	0x61f671…
10-04 22:01:50	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	4,739	1¢	$58	0x4045f1…
10-04 22:01:35	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	SELL	1,111	5¢	$60	0x615e79…
10-03 19:21:31	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,444	10¢	$456	0x157a0c…
10-03 19:20:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	2,534	18¢	$456	0x44da5f…
10-02 22:44:02	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,534	20¢	$504	0x15d316…
10-02 22:43:05	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	SELL	3,150	16¢	$504	0x461083…
10-02 12:20:05	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	Yes	BUY	3,150	15¢	$477	0xf7ccb0…
10-02 12:18:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	2,576	19¢	$478	0xaa6c1b…
10-01 21:46:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31	No	BUY	2,576	19¢	$499	0xbf2019…
09-22 20:57:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,402	1¢	$25	0x004eb1…
09-22 20:56:22	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	Yes	SELL	724	3¢	$25	0x3169bb…
09-22 15:43:03	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	Yes	BUY	724	11¢	$77	0xe7defc…
09-22 15:42:37	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	SELL	192	41¢	$79	0x37e873…
09-22 15:21:18	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	192	41¢	$79	0xc5bbfb…
09-22 15:20:00	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	Yes	SELL	1,038	8¢	$80	0xf0bad8…
09-22 13:20:36	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	Yes	BUY	1,038	23¢	$243	0x0844b2…
09-22 13:20:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	7,150	3¢	$243	0x31fc04…
09-22 12:02:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	7,150	4¢	$292	0xbd23d6…
09-22 12:01:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,088	14¢	$292	0xb4b8c3…
09-22 11:12:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,088	16¢	$336	0x881bd5…
09-22 11:12:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	9,414	4¢	$336	0x64a759…
09-21 23:24:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	5,238	5¢	$249	0x592dd3…
09-21 23:23:13	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	SELL	2,081	5¢	$104	0xa49d80…
09-21 23:22:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	37,393	0¢	$151	0xf6ef69…
09-21 19:17:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10,105	1¢	$59	0xa01749…
09-21 19:17:13	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,200	5¢	$60	0xaf69b3…
09-21 18:28:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	BUY	27,289	1¢	$143	0x39dc45…
09-21 18:27:37	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	SELL	3,000	5¢	$150	0x63801f…
09-20 00:20:54	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	BUY	6,281	8¢	$502	0xc13a65…
09-20 00:20:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	4,700	11¢	$502	0x3363f6…
09-15 22:59:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	114	14¢	$16	0xe971a0…
09-14 22:13:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	682	4¢	$25	0xb44835…
09-14 22:11:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:10 UTC	Up	SELL	69	59¢	$41	0x8cf2db…
09-14 22:11:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xfc5557…
09-14 22:11:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	No	SELL	3,938	1¢	$29	0x0cfa21…
09-14 18:50:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	No	BUY	3,938	2¢	$94	0x0144cc…
09-14 16:00:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	No	SELL	5,709	2¢	$94	0x438276…
09-10 23:05:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	No	BUY	5,709	11¢	$628	0x293aa5…
09-10 18:39:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	65	20¢	$13	0x2c314d…
09-10 18:13:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	2,735	18¢	$500	0x6ff145…
09-10 17:10:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	74	19¢	$14	0x5723b4…
09-10 17:09:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	2,585	19¢	$500	0xa58b9f…
09-08 19:31:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	729	14¢	$102	0xcc6e49…
09-07 23:09:49	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	SELL	3,216	3¢	$103	0xc60dfd…
09-07 23:01:58	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	3,216	4¢	$121	0xabfe0e…
09-06 22:05:37	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	2,575	19¢	$499	0xfb156b…
09-03 23:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	244	10¢	$25	0x8d6702…
09-03 23:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	127	1¢	$1	0x5091db…
09-03 23:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	127	20¢	$25	0x8d36bc…
09-03 23:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	81	23¢	$18	0xc50613…
09-03 23:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x584d90…
09-03 23:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	49	61¢	$30	0x10850c…
09-03 23:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x2dd747…
09-03 23:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	45	77¢	$34	0x7c8d35…
09-03 23:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xb87b81…
09-03 22:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	42	75¢	$31	0x3050ae…
09-03 22:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x511af8…
09-03 22:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x902b38…
09-03 22:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	78	61¢	$48	0x82cd29…
09-03 22:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0x7cf995…
09-03 22:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	83	58¢	$49	0x1025e3…
09-03 22:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xff7d69…
09-03 22:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	69	23¢	$16	0x4db713…
09-03 22:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xe35997…
09-03 22:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	357	1¢	$4	0x67cb9c…
09-03 22:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	551	5¢	$25	0xcb96c3…
09-03 22:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x99114c…
09-03 22:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	89	3¢	$3	0x038a95…
09-03 22:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	78	12¢	$9	0xcfaa5f…
09-03 22:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x8699b0…
09-03 22:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	46	88¢	$40	0x069813…