Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
55.3%
Resolved
311
Trades
434
lifetime
Volume
$4.49K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$26
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 09-22 18:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Other
94% 17% +$137
Sports
2% 3% -$59
Crypto
2% 18% -$16
Politics
2% 0% -$46
Tech
0% 12% -$11
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +66 $10 17¢ $11 +$1 06-14 16:34
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +45 $1 13¢ $6 +$5 06-14 16:39
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +4 $1 92¢ $4 +$3 06-14 21:30
will zohran mamdani be time person of the year 2026 Yes +7 $1 23¢ $2 +$1 06-10 05:37
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +37 $10 2¢ $1 -$9 06-14 16:40
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +19 $1 3¢ $1 $0 06-14 16:35
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026? Yes +7 $1 7¢ $0 -$1 06-14 16:24
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +25 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-20 08:31
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +62 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 06-10 05:33
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? Yes +7 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-10 10:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +10 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 06-14 16:30
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +14 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 05-18 11:50
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +33 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-14 21:29