Realized P&L
+$254
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
88.6%
Resolved
59
Trades
245
lifetime
Volume
$7.34K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$280
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 10-25 08:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Politics
63% 78% +$94
Other
32% 76% +$194
Sports
4% 0% -$15
Crypto
1% 25% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? No +77 $60 97¢ $74 +$14 05-25 15:34
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +75 $70 97¢ $74 +$4 05-10 08:28
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -74 -$74 98¢ $-73 +$1 10-25 08:25
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -34 -$18 84¢ $-28 -$11 05-28 08:54
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -26 -$20 94¢ $-24 -$4 06-01 08:49
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +133 $30 4¢ $5 -$25 07-02 16:46
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes -50 -$3 2¢ $-1 +$2 06-01 08:51
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -11 -$6 8¢ $-1 +$5 05-08 03:11