Disastrous-Marketing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.68K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

892

lifetime

Volume

$707.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$793

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-19 03:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

54% 100% +$420

Politics

29% — —

Sports

13% 100% +$1,264

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	7	$57.0K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	03-12 00:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	19	$40.1K	26,000	26,000	+0	open	—	04-07 22:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	48	$34.4K	20,044	20,044	+0	open	—	05-06 06:31
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	26	$28.2K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	04-23 04:20
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$27.5K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	01-09 02:12
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	17	$27.3K	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	01-31 05:14
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	6	$26.5K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	03-14 16:33
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	2	$19.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	02-13 01:16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	4	$19.5K	10,000	12,000	-2,000	open	—	01-30 04:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$19.4K	15,000	10,000	+5,000	open	—	05-28 03:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	14	$14.8K	9,464	8,854	+610	open	—	04-23 04:16
will alexander zverev win the 2026 australian open	1	$14.6K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	01-29 02:06
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$14.2K	0	14,349	-14,349	open	—	06-15 03:32
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$14.2K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	03-20 02:38
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$13.9K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	03-20 03:05
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	3	$13.9K	7,523	7,523	-0	open	—	02-23 20:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	12	$10.9K	6,350	6,350	+0	open	—	04-22 01:42
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	5	$10.7K	5,799	5,799	+0	open	—	07-03 05:28
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$10.7K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	04-11 00:22
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	21	$10.2K	5,819	5,819	+0	open	—	01-20 04:02
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$9.6K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	07-18 16:38
nba por phx 2026 04 14	6	$9.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-15 04:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$8.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	04-08 23:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$7.4K	8,112	0	+8,112	open	—	04-24 13:11
will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	8	$6.8K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	01-30 14:20
nba mia was 2026 04 10	1	$6.6K	6,869	0	+6,869	open	—	04-10 23:47
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	8	$6.1K	6,500	0	+6,500	open	—	01-14 03:11
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$5.7K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	02-13 02:41
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$5.7K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	02-13 02:41
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	32	$5.1K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	04-07 23:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 03:26:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	10,000	41¢	$4,075	0x8082a9…
07-18 16:38:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xa12c52…
07-16 01:28:40	lol blg t1 2026 07 16	T1	BUY	1,000	42¢	$420	0xed063b…
07-12 05:51:52	lol blg hle1 2026 07 12	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	1,000	40¢	$400	0x4d8e4c…
07-09 20:10:50	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	1,149	22¢	$250	0x3b51c0…
07-06 02:59:11	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	95	12¢	$11	0xb05a3d…
07-06 02:59:11	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	1,500	12¢	$180	0x3cdb41…
07-06 02:59:05	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x42802d…
07-06 02:59:02	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc45ebe…
07-06 02:59:02	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	337	12¢	$40	0x18d0ec…
07-06 02:59:01	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0x6e8870…
07-06 02:58:58	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	34	12¢	$4	0x70b392…
07-05 21:35:40	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	Norway	BUY	1,000	33¢	$330	0x4d4483…
07-04 05:07:28	lol blg t1 2026 07 04	T1	BUY	2,000	57¢	$1,140	0x6d475a…
07-03 16:10:20	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	2,000	67¢	$1,340	0x981047…
07-03 05:28:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	226	99¢	$224	0x26032e…
07-03 05:23:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	140	99¢	$139	0x30f7ba…
07-03 05:22:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x346dcf…
07-03 05:22:31	lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	G2 Esports	BUY	1,000	46¢	$460	0xeb6671…
07-03 05:17:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	5,000	93¢	$4,650	0xe3d16b…
07-03 05:16:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	SELL	5,429	99¢	$5,391	0xb3c007…
06-29 03:02:56	lol t1 kc 2026 06 28	T1	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x1e3331…
06-27 16:58:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	5,799	85¢	$4,901	0xc0fe14…
06-26 18:16:53	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	2,174	46¢	$1,000	0x88a0e2…
06-19 18:52:20	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19	Vitality	BUY	5,000	68¢	$3,400	0xbd1aaf…
06-19 13:44:58	cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	Spirit	BUY	2,000	76¢	$1,520	0x25bc77…
06-15 03:32:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	14,349	99¢	$14,234	0xf830ef…
06-14 17:20:40	cs2 navi fal2 2026 06 14	Natus Vincere	BUY	1,000	56¢	$560	0x7b3006…
06-14 04:14:24	cs2 bb3 vit 2026 06 14	Vitality	BUY	3,362	82¢	$2,746	0xa58c9e…
06-14 04:12:40	lol t1 gen 2026 06 14	T1	BUY	2,000	29¢	$580	0x7ff9d7…
06-13 14:47:49	cs2 fal2 mnte 2026 06 13	Monte	BUY	1,161	28¢	$324	0xcaf2fd…
06-12 04:27:30	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12	T1	BUY	1,500	52¢	$780	0x858d75…
05-31 04:26:29	LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	JD Gaming	BUY	1,500	57¢	$855	0x26f7ab…
05-31 02:06:01	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2,000	65¢	$1,300	0x648129…
05-28 03:30:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	89¢	$4,450	0x758426…
05-28 02:07:40	LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	2,000	73¢	$1,460	0x13a1e1…
05-21 17:20:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,324	19¢	$1,000	0x2a5b9a…
05-21 17:19:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	73¢	$7,300	0xcbe496…
05-20 02:42:05	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	2,000	58¢	$1,159	0x3af02c…
05-17 22:12:07	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	2,000	63¢	$1,260	0x921225…
05-17 04:17:19	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	1,000	62¢	$620	0xf625dd…
05-12 01:40:42	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	T1	BUY	2,000	79¢	$1,580	0x926f56…
05-12 00:32:43	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	530	60¢	$318	0x73f4b2…
05-12 00:32:41	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x15b9f6…
05-12 00:32:39	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xe58069…
05-12 00:32:39	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x899910…
05-12 00:32:39	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	312	60¢	$188	0x6c3d5f…
05-12 00:32:39	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	238	60¢	$143	0x4965c5…
05-12 00:32:37	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x7d31ae…
05-12 00:32:37	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x4f33aa…
05-12 00:32:37	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	132	60¢	$79	0x441766…
05-12 00:32:37	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x318237…
05-12 00:32:36	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	196	60¢	$118	0x26fa01…
05-10 22:46:42	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	1,000	36¢	$360	0x0ead55…
05-08 00:38:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	66¢	$2,640	0xf0e63e…
05-06 06:31:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	18,258	100¢	$18,240	0x8f7716…
05-06 06:30:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa50e39…
05-06 06:26:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe5ee33…
05-06 06:26:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd80fd9…
05-06 06:25:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xa54a7e…
05-06 06:22:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x1bcdcb…
05-06 06:22:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf31d64…
05-06 06:18:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x66d2fd…
05-06 06:04:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x32805b…
05-06 06:01:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x119362…
05-06 06:01:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	402	100¢	$401	0x44516a…
05-06 05:57:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xec097d…
05-06 05:57:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x09f260…
05-06 05:55:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0x53ec62…
05-06 05:45:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdc90ec…
05-06 05:44:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x82c138…
05-06 05:44:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd95f6e…
05-06 05:23:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x488dd6…
05-06 05:20:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	189	100¢	$188	0xecf47e…
05-06 05:16:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb4a0a3…
05-06 05:01:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf05572…
05-06 04:17:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd96b07…
05-06 04:17:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x33db43…
05-06 04:12:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x6f67ea…
05-06 04:05:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$56	0x400d54…
05-06 04:00:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc2da42…
05-06 04:00:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x746a17…
05-06 03:52:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xba1b37…
05-06 03:51:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd1928a…
05-06 03:48:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe3baa9…
05-06 03:48:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe3ca3a…
05-06 03:48:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb63f14…
05-06 03:39:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x93e863…
05-06 03:39:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc6c8b8…
05-06 03:39:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc673da…
05-06 03:39:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7e1c7b…
05-06 03:35:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x68fc4d…
05-06 03:26:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9a7862…
05-06 03:08:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6da17c…
05-06 03:03:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9b27f2…
05-06 03:03:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdf4c68…
05-06 03:03:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcdecde…
05-06 03:03:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6ed015…
05-06 03:03:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x43e9e9…
05-06 03:01:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x489cc1…