Disastrous-Marketing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.68K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

860

lifetime

Volume

$652.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$758

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-31 04:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

50% 100% +$420

Politics

31% — —

Sports

14% 100% +$1,264

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	7	$57.0K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	03-12 00:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	19	$40.1K	26,000	26,000	+0	open	—	04-07 22:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	48	$34.4K	20,044	20,044	+0	open	—	05-06 06:31
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	26	$28.2K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	04-23 04:20
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$27.5K	30,000	0	+30,000	open	—	01-09 02:12
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	17	$27.3K	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	01-31 05:14
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	6	$26.5K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	03-14 16:33
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	2	$19.5K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	02-13 01:16
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	4	$19.5K	10,000	12,000	-2,000	open	—	01-30 04:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$19.4K	15,000	10,000	+5,000	open	—	05-28 03:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	14	$14.8K	9,464	8,854	+610	open	—	04-23 04:16
will alexander zverev win the 2026 australian open	1	$14.6K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	01-29 02:06
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$14.2K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	03-20 02:38
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$13.9K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	03-20 03:05
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	3	$13.9K	7,523	7,523	-0	open	—	02-23 20:18
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	12	$10.9K	6,350	6,350	+0	open	—	04-22 01:42
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$10.7K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	04-11 00:22
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	21	$10.2K	5,819	5,819	+0	open	—	01-20 04:02
nba por phx 2026 04 14	6	$9.0K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-15 04:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	5	$8.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	04-08 23:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$7.4K	8,112	0	+8,112	open	—	04-24 13:11
will novak djokovic win the 2026 australian open	8	$6.8K	8,000	0	+8,000	open	—	01-30 14:20
nba mia was 2026 04 10	1	$6.6K	6,869	0	+6,869	open	—	04-10 23:47
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	8	$6.1K	6,500	0	+6,500	open	—	01-14 03:11
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$5.7K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	02-13 02:41
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$5.7K	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	02-13 02:41
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	32	$5.1K	15,000	0	+15,000	open	—	04-07 23:13
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	40	$5.1K	5,880	0	+5,880	open	—	03-27 07:43
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	7	$4.6K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	01-22 01:57
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	22	$4.5K	5,000	4,610	+390	open	—	03-10 19:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 04:26:29	LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	JD Gaming	BUY	1,500	57¢	$855	0x26f7ab…
05-31 02:06:01	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	2,000	65¢	$1,300	0x648129…
05-28 03:30:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	89¢	$4,450	0x758426…
05-28 02:07:40	LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	2,000	73¢	$1,460	0x13a1e1…
05-21 17:20:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,324	19¢	$1,000	0x2a5b9a…
05-21 17:19:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10,000	73¢	$7,300	0xcbe496…
05-20 02:42:05	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	2,000	58¢	$1,159	0x3af02c…
05-17 22:12:07	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	2,000	63¢	$1,260	0x921225…
05-17 04:17:19	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	1,000	62¢	$620	0xf625dd…
05-12 01:40:42	LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	T1	BUY	2,000	79¢	$1,580	0x926f56…
05-12 00:32:43	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	530	60¢	$318	0x73f4b2…
05-12 00:32:41	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x15b9f6…
05-12 00:32:39	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xe58069…
05-12 00:32:39	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x899910…
05-12 00:32:39	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	312	60¢	$188	0x6c3d5f…
05-12 00:32:39	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	238	60¢	$143	0x4965c5…
05-12 00:32:37	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x7d31ae…
05-12 00:32:37	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x4f33aa…
05-12 00:32:37	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	132	60¢	$79	0x441766…
05-12 00:32:37	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x318237…
05-12 00:32:36	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	196	60¢	$118	0x26fa01…
05-10 22:46:42	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	1,000	36¢	$360	0x0ead55…
05-08 00:38:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	66¢	$2,640	0xf0e63e…
05-06 06:31:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	18,258	100¢	$18,240	0x8f7716…
05-06 06:30:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa50e39…
05-06 06:26:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe5ee33…
05-06 06:26:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd80fd9…
05-06 06:25:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xa54a7e…
05-06 06:22:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x1bcdcb…
05-06 06:22:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf31d64…
05-06 06:18:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x66d2fd…
05-06 06:04:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x32805b…
05-06 06:01:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x119362…
05-06 06:01:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	402	100¢	$401	0x44516a…
05-06 05:57:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xec097d…
05-06 05:57:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x09f260…
05-06 05:55:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0x53ec62…
05-06 05:45:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdc90ec…
05-06 05:44:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x82c138…
05-06 05:44:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd95f6e…
05-06 05:23:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x488dd6…
05-06 05:20:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	189	100¢	$188	0xecf47e…
05-06 05:16:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb4a0a3…
05-06 05:01:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf05572…
05-06 04:17:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd96b07…
05-06 04:17:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x33db43…
05-06 04:12:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$55	0x6f67ea…
05-06 04:05:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	57	100¢	$56	0x400d54…
05-06 04:00:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc2da42…
05-06 04:00:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x746a17…
05-06 03:52:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xba1b37…
05-06 03:51:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd1928a…
05-06 03:48:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe3baa9…
05-06 03:48:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe3ca3a…
05-06 03:48:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb63f14…
05-06 03:39:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x93e863…
05-06 03:39:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc6c8b8…
05-06 03:39:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc673da…
05-06 03:39:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7e1c7b…
05-06 03:35:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x68fc4d…
05-06 03:26:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9a7862…
05-06 03:08:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6da17c…
05-06 03:03:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9b27f2…
05-06 03:03:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdf4c68…
05-06 03:03:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcdecde…
05-06 03:03:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6ed015…
05-06 03:03:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x43e9e9…
05-06 03:01:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x489cc1…
05-06 02:55:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe55f51…
05-06 02:55:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	274	100¢	$274	0xb0f02f…
05-06 02:32:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,000	83¢	$4,980	0xf33920…
05-03 18:13:38	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	535	30¢	$160	0xf88492…
05-03 18:13:22	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	90	30¢	$27	0x60f369…
05-03 18:13:16	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x3dc994…
05-03 18:13:12	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	83	30¢	$25	0x46021a…
05-03 18:13:02	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	27	30¢	$8	0xdd3fb2…
05-03 18:13:02	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x927b62…
05-03 18:13:00	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0xb44999…
05-03 18:13:00	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	1,000	30¢	$300	0x1a021d…
05-03 18:12:08	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	201	30¢	$60	0xb9f443…
05-03 17:20:16	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	2,000	71¢	$1,420	0x4b9315…
05-01 23:26:16	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	23	38¢	$9	0x529509…
05-01 23:26:16	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0x4fbc94…
05-01 23:26:14	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	2,689	38¢	$1,022	0xb02af9…
05-01 23:26:14	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	315	38¢	$120	0x4ba123…
05-01 23:26:12	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0x32ddd1…
05-01 23:26:10	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	161	38¢	$61	0x8a4342…
05-01 23:26:10	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x87a301…
05-01 23:26:10	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x1d5961…
05-01 23:26:08	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xe95133…
05-01 23:26:04	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	58	38¢	$22	0x18e388…
05-01 23:26:02	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x4f62bc…
05-01 23:26:00	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xb20056…
05-01 23:26:00	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7c98f6…
05-01 23:25:56	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xb60efb…
05-01 23:25:54	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xc87385…
05-01 23:25:54	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x6a759a…
05-01 23:25:54	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x224411…
05-01 23:25:52	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	682	38¢	$259	0xc59506…
04-29 23:21:10	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	1,500	61¢	$915	0xcd4310…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	107	$606.1K	5,030	06-01 05:53
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	97	$1.35M	13,154	05-31 12:43
Lasting-Jar 0xf8c8…7c4c	88	$11.5K	1,206	05-31 08:41
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	85	$307.3K	36,801	05-29 18:49
Honest-Cufflink 0x40c2…b2fc	81	$4.91K	818	05-31 02:02
Parallel-Flock 0x507e…beae	80	$1.35M	8,146	05-28 12:18
Honest-Similarity 0xde04…fa37	78	$1.18M	8,947	05-31 12:39
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	76	$3.63M	28,742	05-17 14:15