Different-Embassy-Act — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

-$88

Hit rate

42.4%

Resolved

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$22.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

$199

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-29 11:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

53% — —

Sports

29% — —

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

7% 44% $-5

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		+442	$287	45¢	$199	$-88	06-17 02:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5	2	$2.2K	2,297	2,297	+0	open	—	05-25 23:30
Hellas Verona FC vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	2	$1.6K	1,494	1,494	+0	open	—	05-24 17:53
cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	4	$1.5K	1,093	1,093	+0	open	—	06-07 16:30
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	2	$1.2K	1,330	1,330	+0	open	—	06-09 00:03
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5	8	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-24 17:54
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays	3	$1.0K	1,192	1,192	+0	open	—	05-26 20:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	7	$939	500	500	+0	open	—	05-29 01:13
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	6	$933	500	500	+0	open	—	06-09 03:36
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	12	$852	1,045	1,045	+0	open	—	06-20 06:25
starmer out by july 31 2026	4	$830	557	557	+0	open	—	06-19 19:05
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$828	500	500	+0	open	—	05-29 21:08
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	3	$781	500	500	+0	open	—	06-09 23:38
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers	4	$710	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-26 23:13
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	2	$660	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-23 01:10
cs2 100t ursa 2026 06 04	2	$595	1,045	1,045	+0	open	—	06-04 13:30
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	2	$533	500	395	+105	open	—	06-15 23:18
cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 06 08	2	$498	600	600	+0	open	—	06-08 00:00
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays	4	$489	415	415	+0	open	—	05-29 22:40
cs2 m8 ruby1 2026 06 20	2	$462	600	600	+0	open	—	06-20 09:50
dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	2	$446	474	474	+0	open	—	06-05 22:18
cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11 game1	2	$432	428	428	+0	open	—	06-11 07:57
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$363	500	58	+442	open	—	06-17 02:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$350	200	200	+0	open	—	05-18 14:19
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	4	$274	164	164	+0	open	—	06-29 11:13
dota2 rnx og 2026 06 22	5	$259	235	235	+0	open	—	06-22 05:05
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	5	$254	0	604	-604	open	—	06-02 08:27
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	2	$240	500	500	+0	open	—	06-12 08:54
lol al blg 2026 06 08	3	$210	500	500	+0	open	—	06-08 03:02
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	2	$195	600	363	+237	open	—	05-26 06:30
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	5	$152	120	120	+0	open	—	06-22 22:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 11:13:20	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	SELL	26	85¢	$22	0xe6ad1a…
06-29 10:18:32	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	SELL	137	85¢	$116	0xb457c0…
06-27 07:15:07	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x604c12…
06-26 07:22:50	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	34	27¢	$9	0xcb7e87…
06-26 06:09:52	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	28	25¢	$7	0xbfa074…
06-25 19:59:19	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	240	12¢	$28	0xbf814e…
06-25 18:28:16	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	240	16¢	$38	0xc974ab…
06-25 13:53:34	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 25	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd29471…
06-24 20:22:11	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0x889d46…
06-24 19:27:31	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?	Yes	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0xa8a2fd…
06-24 19:26:41	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	BUY	164	82¢	$135	0x75f85a…
06-24 16:48:02	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 24	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x347845…
06-24 16:48:02	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 22 28 2026	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3169cf…
06-24 16:44:20	over 10m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	62	35¢	$22	0xc89d63…
06-24 16:41:01	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	37	54¢	$20	0x82cf17…
06-24 14:19:14	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 24	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x8845be…
06-24 13:00:40	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	37	57¢	$21	0x4aaf05…
06-23 12:12:29	val mdr qe 2026 06 23	AlQadsiah Esports	SELL	60	45¢	$27	0xe5b277…
06-22 22:57:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	35	67¢	$24	0x3c887d…
06-22 18:22:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	57	66¢	$38	0x790b8e…
06-22 18:06:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	21	68¢	$14	0xbca78b…
06-22 17:22:41	will the announcers say record during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023964	No	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0xf5a980…
06-22 16:52:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xe2e5e2…
06-22 16:46:14	will the announcers say record during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023964	No	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0xc894f0…
06-22 15:56:01	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	120	60¢	$72	0x128228…
06-22 07:23:37	dota2 mouz yes 2026 06 22 game2	Yellow Submarine	SELL	35	39¢	$14	0xfc541a…
06-22 07:13:55	dota2 mouz yes 2026 06 22 game2	Yellow Submarine	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0x0ddc0e…
06-22 07:13:43	dota2 mouz yes 2026 06 22 game2	Yellow Submarine	SELL	36	39¢	$14	0x60ebeb…
06-22 05:05:44	dota2 rnx og 2026 06 22	OG	SELL	26	55¢	$14	0x0d3b50…
06-22 02:22:02	dota2 rnx og 2026 06 22	OG	SELL	209	54¢	$113	0xeec901…
06-21 23:07:58	dota2 rnx og 2026 06 22	OG	BUY	114	56¢	$64	0x3d6a79…
06-21 23:07:58	dota2 rnx og 2026 06 22	OG	BUY	68	56¢	$38	0x2feeb0…
06-21 23:07:56	dota2 rnx og 2026 06 22	OG	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0xc9612a…
06-21 20:28:52	dota2 mouz yes 2026 06 22 game2	Yellow Submarine	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xfa7bc0…
06-21 20:28:52	dota2 mouz yes 2026 06 22 game2	Yellow Submarine	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xd50d60…
06-21 20:28:47	dota2 mouz yes 2026 06 22 game2	Yellow Submarine	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0x783283…
06-20 09:50:56	cs2 m8 ruby1 2026 06 20	ex-RUBY	SELL	600	40¢	$240	0xb6ed7b…
06-20 06:25:28	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	277	35¢	$97	0x1fa9cf…
06-20 05:42:19	val mdr qe 2026 06 23	AlQadsiah Esports	BUY	60	48¢	$29	0x472fc6…
06-20 05:38:22	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0xab3b43…
06-20 05:19:20	cs2 m8 ruby1 2026 06 20	ex-RUBY	BUY	600	37¢	$222	0xa07488…
06-20 02:00:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	289	32¢	$93	0x907e1b…
06-19 19:05:50	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	500	82¢	$410	0xc478a7…
06-19 18:55:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	122	42¢	$51	0x5216ac…
06-19 18:55:26	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x4dd50c…
06-19 18:54:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x666a46…
06-19 18:54:52	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	368	42¢	$155	0xefc650…
06-19 18:51:35	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	57	19¢	$11	0x62784d…
06-19 17:44:43	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x02b1c5…
06-19 17:44:19	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x83bb59…
06-19 17:32:52	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	35¢	$175	0x0ad5a8…
06-19 16:40:43	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	240	49¢	$118	0x559aa3…
06-19 15:22:46	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0xa61428…
06-19 15:20:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xa7c4f0…
06-19 15:20:17	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	240	60¢	$144	0x80d85a…
06-17 02:34:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	58	66¢	$38	0x08ca49…
06-16 08:29:12	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513552	No	SELL	157	37¢	$58	0xacf9c2…
06-16 06:16:31	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the england vs croatia fifa world cup match 20260615191513552	No	BUY	162	46¢	$74	0x5ca955…
06-15 23:18:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	SELL	395	59¢	$233	0xfd71c2…
06-15 21:53:42	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	500	65¢	$325	0xa56f41…
06-15 21:44:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x393f13…
06-15 15:46:00	will bitcoin reach 67k on june 15	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd181a4…
06-15 03:50:31	will bitcoin reach 66k on june 14	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x2fc725…
06-15 01:22:40	cs2 navi g2 2026 06 15 game2	Natus Vincere	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x02536c…
06-12 08:54:40	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	500	25¢	$125	0x6c8187…
06-11 09:22:39	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11	G2 NORD	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0xcf9cb6…
06-11 08:46:51	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11	G2 NORD	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xecf96f…
06-11 08:46:46	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11	G2 NORD	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x1a9abd…
06-11 08:46:39	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11	G2 NORD	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xdd008a…
06-11 08:46:24	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11	G2 NORD	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x9ccb54…
06-11 07:57:45	cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11 game1	PARIVISION	SELL	428	51¢	$218	0x78d95a…
06-10 22:20:18	cs2 prv 9z 2026 06 11 game1	PARIVISION	BUY	428	50¢	$214	0x61ac14…
06-10 16:03:21	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0x4b96e2…
06-10 13:37:10	will bitcoin reach 62k on june 10	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xcc66e7…
06-09 23:38:37	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	56	78¢	$43	0xa48e11…
06-09 23:36:33	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	444	77¢	$342	0xe72853…
06-09 22:29:46	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0x790263…
06-09 16:05:06	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 9	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf79667…
06-09 03:36:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	463	93¢	$432	0x32a58c…
06-09 00:03:18	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	1,330	46¢	$612	0x9ccb8d…
06-08 23:22:52	cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09 map handicap home 1pt5	B8	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0xf7a6dd…
06-08 23:16:48	cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09 map handicap home 1pt5	B8	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x9a7f27…
06-08 23:15:42	cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09 map handicap home 1pt5	B8	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf57612…
06-08 19:48:30	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x9ee373…
06-08 19:36:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x27a149…
06-08 19:02:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x1e25e0…
06-08 19:02:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$11	0xa5b08a…
06-08 15:05:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	93¢	$466	0xa7341a…
06-08 03:02:16	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Anyone's Legend	SELL	488	19¢	$93	0xa8059b…
06-08 00:00:42	cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 06 08	TYLOO	SELL	600	43¢	$258	0x3b896e…
06-07 22:56:25	cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 06 08	TYLOO	BUY	600	40¢	$240	0x3365d5…
06-07 16:30:37	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	SELL	1,010	67¢	$677	0x877559…
06-07 15:27:28	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Anyone's Legend	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x101097…
06-07 13:20:51	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x24d7b4…
06-07 13:19:58	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	SELL	78	67¢	$53	0x070d35…
06-07 12:45:06	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Anyone's Legend	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0x2f3f33…
06-07 06:12:10	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	1,093	66¢	$721	0x46725c…
06-06 20:54:25	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	1,330	45¢	$598	0x669d16…
06-06 19:36:58	will hyperliquid dip to 56 in june	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x4f2595…
06-05 22:18:39	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06	Team Yandex	SELL	474	48¢	$227	0x42e234…