Piercing-Meaning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 07-17 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 100% +$1

Other

24% 50% $-5

Sports

18% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$535	214	321	-107	open	—	02-02 08:19
Will Georgia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$225	113	113	+0	open	—	04-24 10:27
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$218	109	109	+0	open	—	04-25 11:40
Will Paula Badosa win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$216	108	108	+0	open	—	04-14 06:42
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$214	107	107	+0	open	—	02-02 07:57
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$213	107	107	+0	open	—	01-27 07:08
Will Rick Devens win Survivor Season 50?	2	$210	105	105	+0	open	—	04-11 10:59
will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$209	105	105	+0	open	—	04-05 09:38
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$206	103	103	+0	open	—	01-24 03:45
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$206	103	103	+0	open	—	01-24 04:05
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$205	103	103	+0	open	—	01-24 04:27
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	2	$205	103	103	+0	open	—	01-25 06:09
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	02-07 09:07
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$195	98	98	+0	open	—	03-03 05:08
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$192	96	96	+0	No	$-0	03-12 05:23
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$187	94	94	+0	open	—	02-10 07:19
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$183	92	92	+0	open	—	03-08 07:57
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	02-07 13:57
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	2	$177	89	89	+0	open	—	01-25 06:30
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 5?	1	$114	115	0	+115	Yes	+$1	05-05 03:49
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 4?	1	$114	114	0	+114	open	—	05-04 12:16
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	1	$114	114	0	+114	open	—	05-03 08:15
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 Week of April 27 2026?	1	$114	114	0	+114	open	—	05-01 10:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$113	113	0	+113	open	—	04-30 09:22
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$113	113	0	+113	open	—	05-22 04:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	1	$113	114	0	+114	open	—	04-28 06:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	1	$113	113	0	+113	open	—	04-27 07:00
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	1	$113	113	0	+113	open	—	04-26 12:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$111	111	0	+111	open	—	05-15 09:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	1	$111	111	0	+111	open	—	05-14 10:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 06:50:10	will ng dip to 2 40 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x29c7d1…
07-17 06:49:28	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x4c79c9…
06-30 08:05:04	will ethena reach 0pt2 in june	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xce77fc…
06-05 11:52:19	aapl above 330 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x02400f…
05-30 03:17:28	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xdd8c24…
05-28 12:56:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x700871…
05-27 07:01:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x2e6455…
05-26 11:03:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x4be757…
05-25 03:13:59	Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremska	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	9	62¢	$5	0x63ef96…
05-24 07:23:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x393d6b…
05-24 07:04:28	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Dplus KIA	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf96269…
05-23 04:32:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 23?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xaae3fc…
05-23 04:31:25	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Invictus Gaming	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xeae2f2…
05-22 04:32:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $765 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x9a36de…
05-21 11:41:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xc2e527…
05-21 11:31:11	World Championships: Latvia vs. Finland	Finland	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x99e83d…
05-20 10:05:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x76f4a6…
05-20 07:44:13	Istanbul: Hynek Barton vs Anton Matusevich	Hynek Barton	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xbd3731…
05-19 07:27:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x8ad0db…
05-18 04:42:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x58a207…
05-18 04:00:46	Pallacanestro Brescia vs. Pallacanestro Trieste	Pallacanestro Trieste	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x894526…
05-15 09:27:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x9565f0…
05-14 10:06:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x4cd839…
05-13 06:17:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x1411d7…
05-10 06:58:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x1e196c…
05-08 04:18:42	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xeb0220…
05-07 12:40:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x66c381…
05-07 12:18:04	LoL: NRG Esports vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season	NRG Esports	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x5c091c…
05-06 03:57:04	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Comesana	Francisco Comesana	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xee6c9c…
05-05 03:49:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x0fa9c9…
05-04 12:16:32	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $390 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x9a0190…
05-03 08:15:24	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xa78e17…
05-01 10:44:00	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xf7e59a…
04-30 09:22:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xa3a6b6…
04-28 06:41:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	114	99¢	$113	0xf1a052…
04-27 07:00:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x68f6a6…
04-26 12:25:46	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xc880e6…
04-25 12:05:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x4c08f6…
04-25 11:43:08	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x110c5e…
04-25 11:40:42	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x82114b…
04-25 11:22:34	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x659266…
04-24 10:44:20	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xc0b828…
04-24 10:30:22	Savannah: Nick Hardt vs Jack Kennedy	Nick Hardt	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x3a12ed…
04-24 10:27:52	Will Georgia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0x271e96…
04-24 09:24:16	Will Georgia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0xb4911d…
04-23 04:48:10	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 84000 on april 23	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0xe6913f…
04-23 04:43:14	Rome: Dalibor Svrcina vs Henry Bernet	Dalibor Svrcina	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xfd7507…
04-22 07:34:14	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 22	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xbdc21d…
04-21 12:23:30	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xd63401…
04-21 11:11:02	dota2 vp mouz 2026 04 21	MOUZ	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x34ac0f…
04-20 11:51:22	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xc1517b…
04-19 05:41:46	will ethereum reach 2700 april 13 19	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x7a31a1…
04-16 09:01:40	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x1fa83a…
04-15 05:28:18	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x8bb9bc…
04-14 06:52:39	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x0d2b79…
04-14 06:42:57	Will Paula Badosa win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xd1f153…
04-14 06:22:39	Will Paula Badosa win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x605273…
04-13 02:41:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x841f37…
04-12 08:43:45	ethereum above 2000 on april 12	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xfe9a3d…
04-12 08:42:47	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 12	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xb0b797…
04-12 07:52:31	lol th kc 2026 04 12	Karmine Corp	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x55c6e0…
04-11 11:10:21	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 115 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x81ad59…
04-11 11:01:21	ufc pat3 aar8 2026 04 11	Aaron Pico	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8bcddb…
04-11 10:59:13	Will Rick Devens win Survivor Season 50?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xbd8011…
04-11 10:38:25	Will Rick Devens win Survivor Season 50?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x6c7ac2…
04-10 04:33:29	bitcoin above 68k on april 10	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x06dae7…
04-09 06:39:37	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 9	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0x7b56d7…
04-07 07:52:27	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 7	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xd6b087…
04-06 01:41:01	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 6	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0x52e978…
04-05 09:41:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 5	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x08462f…
04-05 09:38:37	will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	105	100¢	$104	0x33af62…
04-05 08:12:17	will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0x82e1e2…
04-04 08:20:03	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 165 189	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x995bad…
04-04 07:36:35	nhl min ott 2026 04 04	Senators	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xc03b3e…
04-03 04:40:01	ethereum above 1800 on april 3	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xa57841…
04-02 09:35:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 2	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xe827c2…
03-31 08:29:55	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xd7e320…
03-30 03:30:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 30	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xdc29ec…
03-29 11:33:08	ethereum above 1800 on march 29	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xcbb090…
03-28 03:51:07	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xcfc786…
03-27 12:25:17	ted cruz of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 160 179	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xaab10b…
03-25 04:23:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 25	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x7570ba…
03-22 04:49:01	bitcoin above 74k on march 22	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x2ecbbc…
03-21 11:48:05	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 21	No	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0xa8b578…
03-20 12:30:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 20	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x0ebb9f…
03-18 10:56:07	bitcoin above 78k on march 18	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xd50053…
03-17 11:41:49	bitcoin above 78k on march 17	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xe7d990…
03-17 10:47:01	atp wessels houkes 2026 03 17	Max Houkes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x334580…
03-16 10:16:01	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x14ecef…
03-16 10:12:15	nba gsw was 2026 03 16	Warriors	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9d30ed…
03-14 04:09:37	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xcd7fe1…
03-12 05:31:11	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 12	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x24d269…
03-12 05:23:25	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xdc2a44…
03-12 05:05:03	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xbccf0b…
03-12 05:03:19	dota2 ts8 vg 2026 03 12	Team Spirit	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0xd6fc07…
03-08 08:10:11	bitcoin above 62k on march 8	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x05cb59…
03-08 07:57:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xb577d0…
03-08 07:39:39	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x1ebd02…
03-08 07:35:27	nba dal tor 2026 03 08	Raptors	BUY	11	78¢	$8	0xcf6340…
03-07 12:53:19	bitcoin above 72k on march 7	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa774af…