Ill-Informed-Chess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$264

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 07-08 00:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 100% +$1

Other

18% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	2	$606	310	310	+0	open	—	04-25 13:06
bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	1	$313	313	0	+313	open	—	07-08 00:04
bitcoin above 64k on june 29 2026	1	$310	311	0	+311	open	—	06-29 05:48
bitcoin above 64k on june 28 2026	1	$310	310	0	+310	open	—	06-28 07:35
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	1	$308	308	0	+308	open	—	04-23 21:24
bitcoin above 70k on april 23	1	$308	308	0	+308	open	—	04-22 19:36
bitcoin above 82k on april 22	1	$307	308	0	+308	open	—	04-21 20:53
bitcoin above 82k on april 21	1	$306	307	0	+307	open	—	04-20 21:00
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	1	$306	306	0	+306	open	—	04-19 16:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	1	$304	304	0	+304	open	—	05-21 17:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 20?	1	$303	304	0	+304	open	—	05-21 01:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	1	$302	302	0	+302	open	—	05-19 21:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	1	$302	302	0	+302	open	—	05-18 21:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	1	$301	302	0	+302	open	—	05-17 20:33
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	1	$300	306	0	+306	open	—	04-18 14:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$299	300	0	+300	open	—	05-13 20:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	1	$297	298	0	+298	Yes	+$1	05-09 20:28
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$296	296	0	+296	open	—	04-30 05:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	1	$296	296	0	+296	Yes	+$0	05-04 18:19
bitcoin above 58k on july 7 2026	1	$162	163	0	+163	open	—	07-06 23:31
bitcoin above 56k on june 30 2026	1	$161	161	0	+161	open	—	06-30 04:25
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	06-30 04:23
will bitcoin dip to 54k on july 1	1	$150	151	0	+151	open	—	07-01 11:57
will bitcoin reach 64k on july 1	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	07-01 11:55
will bitcoin reach 63k on july 1	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	07-01 12:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 00:04:49	bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	313	100¢	$313	0xb509a2…
07-06 23:31:58	bitcoin above 58k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	163	100¢	$162	0x67e5ba…
07-01 12:01:37	will bitcoin reach 63k on july 1	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbc948e…
07-01 11:57:01	will bitcoin dip to 54k on july 1	No	BUY	151	99¢	$150	0x990832…
07-01 11:55:55	will bitcoin reach 64k on july 1	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xe28a5c…
06-30 04:25:43	bitcoin above 56k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x9ebe4a…
06-30 04:23:47	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xae5c7b…
06-29 05:48:46	bitcoin above 64k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	311	100¢	$310	0xcd61d0…
06-28 07:35:56	bitcoin above 64k on june 28 2026	No	BUY	310	100¢	$310	0x428853…
05-21 17:11:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	304	100¢	$304	0x526c4e…
05-21 01:27:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	304	100¢	$303	0xd896df…
05-19 21:50:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	302	100¢	$302	0x794b27…
05-18 21:03:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	302	100¢	$302	0x5556c8…
05-17 20:33:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	302	100¢	$301	0x020a90…
05-13 20:33:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x2899ab…
05-09 20:28:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	298	100¢	$297	0xe200a5…
05-04 18:19:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	296	100¢	$296	0xfe7126…
04-30 05:52:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	296	100¢	$296	0xea22b1…
04-25 13:06:18	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	310	96¢	$297	0x719838…
04-24 21:05:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	310	99¢	$308	0x62b615…
04-23 21:24:54	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 280 299	No	BUY	308	100¢	$308	0x8a9a61…
04-22 19:36:40	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	Yes	BUY	308	100¢	$308	0x3efda9…
04-21 20:53:38	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	308	100¢	$307	0x72c72c…
04-20 21:00:34	bitcoin above 82k on april 21	No	BUY	307	100¢	$306	0x1023a7…
04-19 16:58:56	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	306	100¢	$306	0x7717ed…
04-18 14:10:54	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x098049…