Cloudy-Trash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

264

lifetime

Volume

$1.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 05-11 20:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

38% 8% -$17

Politics

34% 40% +$4

Other

24% 45% -$9

Sports

4% 33% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	7	$346	211	211	+0	Yes	+$2	04-30 15:24
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	2	$165	106	106	+0	No	+$8	04-29 20:17
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$133	103	103	+0	Yes	-$1	04-29 13:25
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	35	$102	90	90	+0	No	+$5	05-07 19:49
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$65	103	103	+0	No	$0	04-29 13:21
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	24	$49	374	374	+0	Yes	-$4	04-29 08:50
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$35	200	200	+0	No	$0	05-01 06:21
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	2	$22	106	106	+0	No	-$4	04-29 20:17
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	8	$21	20	20	+0	No	+$1	05-05 05:45
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	2	$18	106	106	+0	Yes	+$1	04-29 20:17
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	10	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	05-06 19:35
Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score	6	$10	16	16	+0	Yes	-$1	05-07 19:34
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	5	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-07 19:52
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Score	4	$10	10	5	+5	No	-$3	05-11 15:07
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	4	$9	15	5	+10	Yes	-$4	05-03 20:15
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-05 05:34
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 3?	3	$8	10	5	+5	Yes	-$2	05-03 20:36
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 4?	4	$8	10	5	+5	No	-$2	05-03 20:59
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	11	$7	465	207	+258	No	-$3	04-30 16:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4?	3	$7	10	5	+5	Yes	+$3	05-04 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 3?	3	$7	10	5	+5	No	-$3	05-03 19:00
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-03?	3	$7	15	0	+15	Yes	+$3	05-03 15:43
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$6	104	104	+0	No	-$4	04-30 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 3?	4	$6	10	5	+5	Yes	+$2	05-03 19:25
Real Madrid CF leading at halftime?	3	$6	10	5	+5	No	+$2	05-03 19:29
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?	3	$6	10	5	+5	No	+$1	05-03 19:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$5	5	5	+0	No	+$1	05-05 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on May 4?	2	$5	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-04 11:51
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies	2	$5	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-03 19:19
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03?	2	$5	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-03 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 20:49:19	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x856e9b…
05-11 20:49:11	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x1a1e5e…
05-11 20:48:53	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x6c1535…
05-11 20:48:48	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xdf994a…
05-11 20:34:01	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x418ae9…
05-11 20:33:54	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8ccb43…
05-11 20:33:03	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x1eb217…
05-11 20:32:59	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x15675b…
05-11 20:32:52	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x27ba32…
05-11 18:55:47	SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x8fd8bd…
05-11 18:55:34	SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x436ccd…
05-11 15:07:15	1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x59cc4a…
05-11 15:07:08	1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xcb38f8…
05-11 14:46:35	1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xb195ea…
05-11 14:46:28	1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc80d25…
05-08 20:10:53	Torino FC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xfb1e2e…
05-07 19:52:15	Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0xdc98ef…
05-07 19:49:46	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	88	59¢	$52	0xd15555…
05-07 19:44:45	RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x40a122…
05-07 19:44:38	RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1e7ce8…
05-07 19:34:08	Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4bd115…
05-07 19:34:01	Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x5b6e11…
05-07 19:28:13	Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xabb0fb…
05-07 19:28:08	Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x35baac…
05-07 19:10:03	Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x72ed11…
05-07 19:09:56	Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe575ef…
05-06 19:35:19	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x5df38c…
05-06 18:56:03	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x687ad6…
05-06 18:55:42	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	34¢	$1	0xe1a771…
05-06 16:19:40	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xd66665…
05-06 15:57:19	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x19cfa6…
05-06 15:57:14	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x1dbf2d…
05-06 15:55:55	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x8a1a24…
05-06 15:55:50	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x0f1d04…
05-06 15:55:06	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0x3a5ba8…
05-06 15:54:49	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0xb310e5…
05-05 22:01:54	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x782be8…
05-05 22:01:48	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3cdcbc…
05-05 21:59:58	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x9778be…
05-05 21:59:52	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x2ed1a6…
05-05 21:58:58	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xd084b5…
05-05 21:58:52	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xbcb39a…
05-05 21:56:30	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x6cc1ad…
05-05 21:56:24	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1c86fb…
05-05 21:55:30	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xa94fe4…
05-05 21:55:24	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x48c248…
05-05 21:52:58	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x16b8b7…
05-05 21:52:52	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x438d1b…
05-05 21:43:10	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x4d3b42…
05-05 21:43:04	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x32a4a9…
05-05 21:31:22	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x98c495…
05-05 21:31:16	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa2194d…
05-05 21:24:56	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x3b1111…
05-05 21:24:48	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb5a786…
05-05 21:22:44	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x76e034…
05-05 21:22:38	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x126648…
05-05 21:21:42	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xa7c29f…
05-05 21:21:34	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x769d06…
05-05 21:19:40	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xbf8c1c…
05-05 21:19:32	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf9f818…
05-05 21:17:58	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x8a792a…
05-05 21:17:52	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3337a5…
05-05 21:15:10	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x0a2d90…
05-05 21:15:04	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x29a7c5…
05-05 21:14:08	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xdf5043…
05-05 21:14:00	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9895fe…
05-05 21:04:32	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xb739f9…
05-05 21:04:26	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8faea3…
05-05 20:51:46	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x03e1b8…
05-05 20:51:40	Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2bb10d…
05-05 17:07:44	Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x79cbf9…
05-05 17:07:38	Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xe6d513…
05-05 17:07:34	Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0xc4ac06…
05-05 17:07:28	Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x5e49f8…
05-05 06:07:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x1a5f72…
05-05 05:45:56	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x98a944…
05-05 05:34:50	Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xbb15c0…
05-04 21:33:42	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$3	0xe31a96…
05-04 19:29:34	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x2639b9…
05-04 17:29:02	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x0d5bf3…
05-04 17:28:30	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xba513f…
05-04 15:44:00	Will El Mokawloon El Arab SC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x8c6c0a…
05-04 15:43:28	Will El Mokawloon El Arab SC win on 2026-05-04?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x8b8033…
05-04 15:11:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4?	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x8d14e0…
05-04 15:10:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf8a1da…
05-04 15:10:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa2080c…
05-04 11:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc17c17…
05-04 09:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on May 4?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9f4e86…
05-03 23:39:04	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xed7209…
05-03 20:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on May 4?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x612b93…
05-03 20:42:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 3?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x227ad5…
05-03 20:36:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 3?	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x5e11e7…
05-03 20:35:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 3?	Yes	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x2504ed…
05-03 20:35:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x58ea46…
05-03 20:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on May 3?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xdb8130…
05-03 20:23:14	Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xca0059…
05-03 20:15:32	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xefd053…
05-03 20:15:30	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9c82d2…
05-03 20:15:22	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xf9ed7c…
05-03 20:14:50	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2099b1…