Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$78

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved (90d)

810

Trades (90d)

2,031

2,730 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$7.62K

$10.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

10 positions

First seen

2026-06-23

last 10-27 22:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Other

63% 46% +$137

Politics

14% 39% -$63

Crypto

12% 38% -$560

Sports

8% 52% +$63

Tech

2% 40% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
lindsay clancy convicted of murder	No	+0	$1	96¢	$0	-$1	08-20 01:27
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$1	95¢	$0	+$1	10-25 22:09
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	88¢	$0	$0	10-10 17:41
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	No	+0	-$1	74¢	$0	+$1	10-18 23:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	54¢	$0	$0	09-11 19:29
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$1	12¢	$0	-$1	09-11 14:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	Yes	+0	$0	12¢	$0	$0	08-09 18:28
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	6¢	$0	$0	09-09 13:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+0	-$1	5¢	$0	+$1	09-11 19:12
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+0	-$1	3¢	$0	+$1	09-08 15:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$261	164	164	+0	Spain	+$67	07-19 22:01
Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?	5	$140	101	101	+0	Yes	+$42	08-23 19:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:25 UTC	2	$113	241	0	+241	Up	-$113	06-25 14:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 22:05 UTC	3	$102	63	63	+0	Up	+$22	08-16 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 22:25 UTC	2	$101	207	0	+207	Down	-$101	08-16 22:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 22:05 UTC	2	$95	66	66	+0	Down	+$30	08-14 22:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:25 UTC	2	$92	197	0	+197	Down	-$92	07-28 11:23
lol g2 shft 2026 08 15 game1	6	$83	56	56	+0	G2 Esports	+$28	08-15 19:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-16 22:10 UTC	6	$81	60	60	+0	Up	+$23	08-16 22:14
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	9	$69	48	48	+0	open	—	10-23 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:20 UTC	2	$63	141	0	+141	Up	-$63	06-25 14:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 11:20 UTC	3	$62	136	0	+136	Down	-$62	07-28 11:22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	9	$61	73	70	+3	No	+$5	08-26 16:36
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?	8	$56	76	76	+0	Yes	-$1	07-25 21:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:00 UTC	4	$56	181	0	+181	Up	-$56	06-25 14:02
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	8	$54	65	60	+6	No	+$0	08-25 15:55
gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	7	$52	120	120	+0	No	+$1	08-22 10:23
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	9	$52	145	145	+0	open	—	09-09 13:26
will trump say melania during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255822	22	$49	56	44	+12	Yes	-$6	07-24 15:04
Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?	3	$49	43	43	+0	Yes	+$37	09-06 20:11
bra cam bah 2026 07 21 btts	4	$47	31	31	+0	Yes	+$16	07-22 00:52
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	10	$46	33	33	+0	Yes	-$5	07-20 12:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	6	$46	72	72	+0	Yes	-$3	09-09 13:18
Will Club Puebla win on 2026-10-25?	2	$44	33	33	+0	No	+$12	10-26 00:24
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	4	$41	27	27	+0	open	—	10-25 22:09
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-24?	2	$40	29	29	+0	No	+$8	10-24 18:01
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-10-25?	2	$40	33	33	+0	Yes	+$8	10-26 01:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 10:20 UTC	3	$39	42	35	+7	Up	+$7	08-06 10:24
Will Jeonbuk FC win on 2026-10-27?	2	$39	31	31	+0	No	+$7	10-27 12:48
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	6	$38	22	22	+0	No	+$0	07-24 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:38:12	Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - DFRAG Invitational Group B	Abyssal	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x027b50…
10-27 21:52:41	ADC Juan Pablo II College vs. CS Huancayo: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xfbddb2…
10-27 20:12:41	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x00c642…
10-27 19:55:05	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x14c97d…
10-27 19:26:02	Will Al-Shamal win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xc13a31…
10-27 19:03:41	Will US Cremonese win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xe0ee74…
10-27 18:53:02	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x5111fd…
10-27 18:05:35	Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x58d009…
10-27 17:09:11	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x92afd0…
10-27 15:36:50	Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	29	52¢	$15	0x458a2e…
10-27 15:36:45	Will Netherlands win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2?	Yes	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x4fa567…
10-27 15:36:24	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	No	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0xb8c428…
10-27 15:31:11	Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0xa00dc7…
10-27 15:30:48	Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x6a3554…
10-27 15:29:23	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0x7197cf…
10-27 15:29:17	Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?	No	SELL	6	61¢	$3	0xe95d2a…
10-27 15:28:56	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x610473…
10-27 15:28:12	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0x0f3938…
10-27 15:27:56	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xb90954…
10-27 13:48:44	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x180600…
10-27 12:48:57	Will Jeonbuk FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	31	73¢	$23	0x93cea8…
10-27 12:17:12	Will Jeonbuk FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	31	51¢	$16	0xf61faf…
10-27 03:53:33	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" have a Metascore of at least 70?	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x62ec92…
10-27 01:54:15	Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" have a Metascore of at least 70?	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x7e8099…
10-27 01:39:57	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0x594c01…
10-26 23:06:17	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x9005cd…
10-26 21:46:53	Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x046669…
10-26 21:20:02	Gemini Carbon released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0xb2100d…
10-26 20:07:47	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	34	51¢	$17	0xfe5c1d…
10-26 19:56:05	Exact Score: Galatasaray SK 2 - 1 Fenerbahçe SK?	No	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0xb4bd31…
10-26 19:18:29	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0x8a3f1b…
10-26 18:36:50	Will Odense BK win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0x6e7b94…
10-26 16:15:45	Çaykur Rizespor vs. Trabzonspor: Çaykur Rizespor O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	24	68¢	$16	0xc88762…
10-26 16:11:08	Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	28	58¢	$16	0xdc2caa…
10-26 15:33:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xdf7a83…
10-26 14:29:53	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	SELL	25	58¢	$15	0x9f3dfa…
10-26 14:08:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	No	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0x4fd391…
10-26 11:36:41	Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x143dd3…
10-26 09:26:59	Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0x6532e2…
10-26 04:59:02	Will Brock Purdy have 33.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	33	14¢	$5	0x2f6124…
10-26 02:17:42	Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)	Seahawks	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0xe8f119…
10-26 02:14:12	Will CF América win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	35	46¢	$16	0xec72ca…
10-26 01:51:18	Will the Arizona Cardinals have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x821e04…
10-26 01:46:51	Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	33	71¢	$24	0xe569dc…
10-26 01:46:41	Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x9ad338…
10-26 01:35:47	Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0x6f3fc9…
10-26 01:35:18	Will the Arizona Cardinals have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x475677…
10-26 01:19:08	Will the Arizona Cardinals have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xe91411…
10-26 00:24:59	Will Club Puebla win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	33	83¢	$28	0x9d284a…
10-26 00:22:03	Will Club Puebla win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0x384578…
10-25 23:16:35	Packers vs. Lions: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x2dd7f6…
10-25 22:11:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x1af1a7…
10-25 22:09:02	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	83¢	$17	0xe538ba…
10-25 22:03:54	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x54d899…
10-25 21:45:45	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 1 Real Madrid CF?	No	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x96fbd8…
10-25 21:35:05	Will the Arizona Cardinals have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?	No	BUY	34	47¢	$16	0xc764f8…
10-25 21:28:20	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0xd337de…
10-25 21:15:23	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x68687b…
10-25 21:15:12	Will John Turturro be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xedea50…
10-25 20:45:14	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xb51999…
10-25 20:45:08	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xaacc66…
10-25 20:43:05	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	43	37¢	$16	0x05db48…
10-25 19:58:11	Giants vs. Texans: O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0152d3…
10-25 19:38:21	Spread: Dolphins (-8.5)	Dolphins	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xbc00ae…
10-25 19:37:44	Will Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	37	52¢	$19	0x623cfc…
10-25 19:11:20	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	64¢	$9	0x3921a8…
10-25 19:01:33	Will Brock Purdy have 33.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0xb6bace…
10-25 18:59:20	Will Jonathan Taylor have 15.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0xeb6b9a…
10-25 18:47:45	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0x2a0d93…
10-25 18:41:56	Will Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	37	44¢	$16	0x18edc8…
10-25 18:19:11	Will SC Braga win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	42	38¢	$16	0xf5e8d9…
10-25 18:14:42	Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	65¢	$16	0x0b5d4f…
10-25 17:03:14	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x6bdcb9…
10-25 17:02:21	49ers vs. Falcons	49ers	BUY	28	58¢	$16	0xffb1a5…
10-25 16:18:08	Steelers vs. Saints: O/U 26.5	Over	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x83b02b…
10-25 14:38:48	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	41	39¢	$16	0x1040e3…
10-25 13:46:14	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0xecbfa8…
10-25 12:45:48	Will Jonathan Taylor have 15.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0x4b21d1…
10-25 09:30:54	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x072853…
10-25 09:22:56	Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $45 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xff6b19…
10-25 05:23:59	Will Sydney FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0x69692a…
10-25 04:54:57	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0xb36d03…
10-25 04:30:50	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1460 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x9201c8…
10-25 02:53:44	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?	No	SELL	21	74¢	$15	0x797b27…
10-25 00:28:48	Will New England Revolution win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	28	58¢	$16	0x849b60…
10-25 00:26:24	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	63¢	$18	0x86cbf3…
10-25 00:11:12	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0xe1ec6a…
10-24 23:12:17	Will Club León FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0x6f110d…
10-24 22:56:21	Will AA Ponte Preta vs. Fortaleza EC end in a draw?	No	BUY	27	59¢	$16	0xab59a3…
10-24 22:43:50	Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	29	56¢	$16	0xeab7b4…
10-24 22:23:18	SE Palmeiras vs. Red Bull Bragantino: 1st Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	21	77¢	$16	0x8f1734…
10-24 21:04:06	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x581a44…
10-24 20:13:35	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x710afa…
10-24 19:53:38	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0x5d1de9…
10-24 19:31:56	Will Paris FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x9afb93…
10-24 18:01:44	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	29	82¢	$24	0x626d1b…
10-24 17:09:54	Will Valencia CF win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x49dc3d…
10-24 16:02:23	Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	39	41¢	$16	0x5a6665…
10-24 15:36:02	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	42	38¢	$16	0xe7ae2b…
10-24 14:03:29	Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	No	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0xff3fcd…