Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$91

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

90.2%

Resolved

Trades

509

lifetime

Volume

$63.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$126

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 09-16 15:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

41% 86% +$32

Politics

28% 93% +$16

Crypto

25% 95% +$26

Tech

5% 100% +$15

Sports

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+0	-$1	98¢	$0	+$1	07-09 23:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by June 30?	15	$3.3K	1,689	1,689	+0	No	+$2	06-14 06:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	10	$3.3K	1,667	1,667	+0	No	+$3	05-24 15:07
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	13	$2.6K	1,556	1,556	+0	open	—	07-27 17:49
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	8	$2.6K	1,295	1,295	+0	No	+$2	07-21 23:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	6	$2.5K	1,279	1,279	+0	No	+$3	06-10 23:25
netanyahu out by march 31 854	8	$2.3K	1,193	1,193	+0	No	+$2	03-16 14:02
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	15	$2.2K	1,110	1,110	+0	No	-$1	06-21 11:37
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	19	$2.1K	1,220	1,220	+0	No	+$12	03-11 16:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$1.8K	894	894	+0	No	$0	09-16 15:11
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	8	$1.7K	893	893	+0	No	+$3	07-25 08:44
will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	12	$1.7K	856	856	+0	No	+$4	06-29 06:03
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	17	$1.6K	826	826	+0	No	+$1	05-11 12:20
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	5	$1.5K	775	775	+0	No	+$3	08-12 07:47
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	16	$1.4K	729	729	+0	Yes	+$11	02-26 12:01
will the us next strike iran on january 21 2026 et 774	6	$1.3K	680	680	+0	No	+$1	01-21 12:15
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	6	$1.3K	690	690	+0	No	+$7	01-20 10:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	11	$1.0K	513	513	+0	No	+$1	05-06 11:05
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	5	$895	456	456	+0	No	+$1	02-13 15:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$887	449	449	+0	No	+$0	08-20 08:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$884	451	451	+0	No	-$1	08-11 11:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	77	$853	445	445	+0	open	—	07-09 23:41
will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	8	$845	425	425	+0	No	+$0	06-15 18:43
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	14	$828	416	416	+0	No	+$0	05-16 04:10
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	8	$826	457	457	+0	No	+$0	05-18 20:56
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$824	414	414	+0	Yes	+$1	05-12 15:33
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	3	$817	413	413	+0	No	+$2	05-09 09:03
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	6	$805	500	500	+0	No	+$5	07-20 05:03
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	19	$800	404	404	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 12:20
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	10	$799	402	402	+0	No	+$0	04-23 06:48
Netanyahu out by April 30?	20	$794	404	404	+0	No	+$4	04-10 04:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 15:11:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	447	99¢	$443	0x9f180a…
09-13 03:15:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	447	99¢	$444	0x97b22b…
09-12 14:48:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	447	99¢	$444	0x855e3b…
09-12 09:47:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	447	99¢	$444	0xd51e76…
08-20 08:50:46	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	449	99¢	$444	0xf9b74e…
08-17 15:59:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	449	99¢	$443	0x4f34bf…
08-12 07:47:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	315	96¢	$303	0x4e70cc…
08-12 07:16:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x726344…
08-12 07:16:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	314	96¢	$301	0xa6ab51…
08-12 06:29:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	460	96¢	$442	0xa8525a…
08-12 04:54:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	460	96¢	$441	0x236d29…
08-11 11:43:45	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	451	98¢	$442	0x01595d…
07-31 18:07:57	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	451	98¢	$443	0x9acb4f…
07-27 17:49:09	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	520	84¢	$439	0x654d50…
07-27 13:55:22	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	520	84¢	$439	0xe1f592…
07-26 18:08:33	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	518	84¢	$437	0x73f770…
07-25 19:58:54	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xc23ab2…
07-25 19:43:48	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	44	84¢	$37	0x82ad86…
07-25 18:08:40	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xfd087e…
07-25 17:55:52	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0xc7b538…
07-25 17:47:49	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	243	84¢	$205	0x8855ab…
07-25 13:18:33	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	518	84¢	$436	0x7ff8a4…
07-25 12:49:13	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	466	84¢	$392	0xb6f354…
07-25 11:06:45	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0x26b9e3…
07-25 10:23:55	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x957e1d…
07-25 10:03:51	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	17	84¢	$14	0xb173c5…
07-25 08:44:12	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xdce11c…
07-25 07:57:39	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0xbf6559…
07-25 06:55:30	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0xe445b0…
07-25 01:22:22	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x256ef5…
07-25 00:29:46	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xb742e7…
07-24 06:10:09	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	447	98¢	$437	0x5b259c…
07-22 14:06:01	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	446	98¢	$437	0xd51d64…
07-22 07:19:00	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	446	98¢	$436	0x00e1ea…
07-21 23:35:27	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	435	100¢	$433	0x785dd3…
07-21 05:13:18	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	435	99¢	$432	0x781b15…
07-20 05:03:30	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	122	81¢	$99	0xc85a2c…
07-20 05:02:39	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	34	81¢	$28	0x3e56dc…
07-20 05:02:18	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	18	81¢	$15	0x152da2…
07-20 04:55:37	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	19	81¢	$15	0xd48cdf…
07-20 04:45:55	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	308	81¢	$249	0x774fd5…
07-20 04:31:25	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x08cccc…
07-14 09:41:32	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xbe30b0…
07-14 09:41:22	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	224	99¢	$223	0x2d48d5…
07-14 09:41:07	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	106	99¢	$106	0xa0420a…
07-13 21:41:25	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	430	99¢	$427	0xee54e3…
07-13 00:31:34	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	430	100¢	$428	0xf547e3…
07-12 04:55:50	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	430	99¢	$427	0xf4db59…
07-09 23:41:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xee66c9…
07-09 23:39:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc694f2…
07-09 23:36:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xd6679b…
07-09 23:36:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x9fac72…
07-09 23:34:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdaa90f…
07-09 23:31:56	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x35dc75…
07-09 23:29:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x22150b…
07-09 23:22:56	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x90c7b7…
07-09 23:22:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x96b2de…
07-09 23:21:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x78fb3f…
07-09 23:21:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1b7db8…
07-09 23:20:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x851bff…
07-09 23:13:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf6ff5d…
07-09 23:08:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfd2536…
07-09 23:08:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x44b4cb…
07-09 23:08:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbd272b…
07-09 23:07:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdff3bc…
07-09 22:59:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf1724c…
07-09 22:56:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x33a1c6…
07-09 22:52:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4a35bf…
07-09 22:49:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1ad8d2…
07-09 22:47:28	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa066e1…
07-09 22:45:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x52a665…
07-09 22:43:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbe2622…
07-09 22:40:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa8769a…
07-09 22:39:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd923b2…
07-09 22:38:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xeb8202…
07-09 22:32:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x555e32…
07-09 22:24:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6478b8…
07-09 22:22:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc748de…
07-09 22:21:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8b82aa…
07-09 22:19:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x642a6c…
07-09 22:15:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3144ad…
07-09 22:14:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x040304…
07-09 22:05:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xabb777…
07-09 22:04:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5a4e0b…
07-09 22:04:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x1805c0…
07-09 22:02:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x84d361…
07-09 22:01:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x04e94c…
07-09 22:00:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xba7ce6…
07-09 21:58:02	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe44563…
07-09 21:57:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa76676…
07-09 21:52:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa03823…
07-09 21:49:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x366b92…
07-09 21:44:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x410ce8…
07-09 21:44:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd383e2…
07-09 21:40:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4cf500…
07-09 21:38:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd87eda…
07-09 21:37:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfdc6ce…
07-09 21:36:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x28d4d9…
07-09 21:35:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4dfb17…
07-09 21:34:23	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x069f31…