Realized P&L (90d)
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$20
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (90d)
1
Trades (90d)
23
23 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$364
$364 lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$181
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 22:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
60%
Politics
40% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No -208 $-18 16¢ $-34 $-17 05-11 15:27
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes -346 $-3 $-33 $-30 05-11 15:27
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes -176 $-26 16¢ $-29 $-3 05-12 17:32
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? Yes +348 $25 $19 $-6 05-11 09:25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +206 $19 $18 $-1 05-11 15:28
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? Yes -613 $-4 $-14 $-10 05-12 08:42
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -352 $-9 $-11 $-2 05-12 08:42
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30? Yes +104 $13 $9 $-4 05-12 22:26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes -120 $-4 $-6 $-2 05-11 15:03
Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit? No +324 $7 $6 $-1 05-12 21:35
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? Yes -58 $-55 $-2 +$53 05-12 18:47
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? Yes -100 $-2 $-0 +$2 05-11 15:03