Windy-Ancestor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.8%

Resolved

Trades

152

lifetime

Volume

$1.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-16 11:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 42% +$4

Other

2% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$66	49	47	+2	open	—	04-25 11:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	2	$42	32	32	+0	open	—	05-14 15:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	2	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	04-25 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$20	62	0	+62	open	—	04-25 11:44
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	2	$20	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	04-15 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	05-01 17:30
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$19	18	18	+1	open	—	04-25 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	04-29 12:30
fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 first half total 2pt5	2	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	06-14 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$11	18	0	+18	open	—	04-28 02:00
bitcoin above 76k on april 15	1	$11	57	0	+57	open	—	04-14 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$11	21	0	+21	open	—	04-27 23:25
btc updown 5m 1776694500	1	$11	48	0	+48	open	—	04-20 14:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-14 19:54
btc updown 5m 1776434100	1	$10	40	0	+40	open	—	04-17 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	Down	$-10	05-09 10:20
btc updown 5m 1776604200	1	$10	200	0	+200	open	—	04-19 13:13
btc updown 5m 1776970200	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-23 18:52
btc updown 5m 1776280200	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	04-15 19:10
btc updown 5m 1776268500	1	$10	53	0	+53	open	—	04-15 15:55
btc updown 5m 1776962700	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	04-23 16:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Up	+$16	05-08 00:24
btc updown 5m 1776603900	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	04-19 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$10	27	0	+27	Down	+$17	05-13 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-09 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Up	$-10	05-09 11:44
btc updown 5m 1776280500	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-15 19:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 11:44:49	btc updown 5m 1781610000	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7afbe6…
06-14 17:26:21	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 first half total 2pt5	Over	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x375872…
06-14 16:59:16	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 first half total 2pt5	Over	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xcbb390…
06-13 12:58:24	btc updown 5m 1781355300	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x38e7ef…
06-09 15:17:57	wta sun mcdonal 2026 06 09	Ella McDonald	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x3b3442…
06-09 15:06:24	wta sun mcdonal 2026 06 09	Ella McDonald	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x135a10…
06-06 14:15:40	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x489078…
06-05 19:34:16	bitcoin above 58k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x586d35…
06-05 19:33:34	bitcoin above 56k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7cb30d…
06-04 17:26:49	btc updown 5m 1780593900	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x96b068…
06-03 16:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xfae816…
06-01 17:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x6bf26b…
06-01 15:44:36	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7823bc…
05-30 12:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x07e194…
05-30 11:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xa164c7…
05-30 11:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7705d8…
05-30 11:55:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x2a91d7…
05-28 09:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x322a61…
05-27 21:14:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xbd0c56…
05-27 18:14:38	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x195e98…
05-27 18:09:53	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf746ae…
05-27 10:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x908394…
05-26 18:24:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xfa283e…
05-25 19:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x357cd2…
05-25 16:54:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x72cfc1…
05-25 10:38:57	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x07aa5a…
05-25 08:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xc665cd…
05-24 21:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x780f29…
05-23 19:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf55b08…
05-23 18:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb89f69…
05-22 16:34:56	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x2d54ed…
05-22 09:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd9e8a1…
05-21 10:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x3ca76c…
05-20 12:40:02	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xfc44a0…
05-20 11:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x86ac1a…
05-20 09:34:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1a227a…
05-19 14:49:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xfca877…
05-19 14:38:59	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x5cbd03…
05-16 17:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x7d2727…
05-16 16:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x4cf07b…
05-16 16:10:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x02332d…
05-16 15:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x4b5fda…
05-16 13:40:06	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xedb984…
05-16 00:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x668b64…
05-15 17:49:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x26533f…
05-15 17:29:39	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0118b9…
05-14 19:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x944ccb…
05-14 19:54:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x1e68ab…
05-14 19:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x014443…
05-14 17:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x9345ef…
05-14 15:30:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0xbe93ee…
05-14 15:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x8bfbe1…
05-14 15:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x52fca4…
05-14 11:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x58a959…
05-14 11:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x132f9c…
05-14 10:54:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd7ae60…
05-13 18:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x737371…
05-12 18:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	15¢	$5	0x0f2af1…
05-12 10:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xd5ac43…
05-09 11:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x04032f…
05-09 11:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x096276…
05-09 10:20:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x09e187…
05-09 09:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x5d9d66…
05-08 22:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x1fd2a9…
05-08 22:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x78124b…
05-08 22:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x4e1751…
05-08 00:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x9aaf31…
05-06 21:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xa4107d…
05-04 12:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x013ccc…
05-03 19:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1777f9…
05-03 19:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x1fd800…
05-03 19:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x35062d…
05-03 18:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x901821…
05-03 12:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x880bef…
05-02 19:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4d3ffd…
05-02 19:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf4b410…
05-02 19:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x959db0…
05-01 23:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x87f654…
05-01 17:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xad76e2…
05-01 17:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xebd108…
05-01 15:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xf07d82…
04-30 16:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9cd8fe…
04-30 16:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x5979ad…
04-30 16:02:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x66189d…
04-30 15:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd720ba…
04-30 15:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x5b3af6…
04-30 15:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa98519…
04-30 14:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xb74a63…
04-30 13:55:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xbd9a2a…
04-30 13:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfe2260…
04-30 13:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xb0e0e1…
04-30 11:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xee474d…
04-30 10:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc4a027…
04-29 20:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb849ed…
04-29 20:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb67c3f…
04-29 17:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x5a3fc6…
04-29 16:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x22c0f1…
04-29 13:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5fb6f8…
04-29 12:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x096663…
04-29 12:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xffe489…