Exciting-Flour — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

82.6%

Resolved (7d)

451

Trades (7d)

606

27,141 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$3.02K

$83.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 11-05 03:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 209 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 74% -$680

Other

3% 65% -$274

Politics

0% 77% +$26

Sports

0% 59% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?	No	+6	$5	5¢	$0	-$5	11-03 09:11
Will the Republican Party win the FL-13 House seat?	No	+20	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	11-03 17:22
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat?	Yes	+19	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	11-03 17:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	32	$185	163	122	+41	Up	+$61	04-28 20:00
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	18	$160	117	117	+0	Yes	$0	10-26 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	34	$121	102	91	+12	Down	+$34	04-28 19:10
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	13	$113	91	91	+0	Yes	+$3	10-26 01:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 21:15 UTC	8	$107	170	49	+121	Up	-$77	01-16 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	16	$103	58	50	+8	Up	+$4	04-28 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 13:25 UTC	11	$97	75	74	+1	Up	+$16	02-27 13:29
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	9	$96	56	56	+0	Yes	+$16	10-26 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	12	$95	74	56	+18	Up	+$18	04-28 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 00:50 UTC	27	$94	105	67	+37	Up	+$7	02-25 00:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 17:35 UTC	23	$92	96	75	+21	Down	-$12	03-01 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$91	73	73	+0	Down	-$4	05-11 14:43
Will OFI win on 2026-09-02?	10	$91	47	47	+0	No	+$1	09-02 18:41
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 19:00 UTC	3	$90	115	0	+115	Up	+$25	01-19 19:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:30 UTC	33	$89	64	61	+3	Down	+$26	02-16 04:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 13:40 UTC	13	$89	141	104	+37	Up	-$15	02-28 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:20 UTC	10	$85	64	63	+1	Up	-$3	06-30 15:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 18:15 UTC	4	$80	98	0	+98	Down	+$18	01-19 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	8	$79	51	34	+17	Up	+$1	04-28 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	13	$78	56	44	+12	Down	+$8	04-28 13:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 17:30 UTC	21	$78	65	58	+7	Up	+$6	03-01 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	21	$77	94	51	+43	Down	-$23	04-28 22:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 02:10 UTC	7	$76	51	51	+0	Down	+$6	06-29 02:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:00 UTC	12	$76	63	62	+1	Down	-$2	02-27 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 23:20 UTC	14	$74	62	51	+11	Up	+$2	02-27 23:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:35 UTC	12	$74	60	44	+16	Down	+$15	03-12 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$72	47	45	+2	Up	+$13	04-27 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 02:00 UTC	5	$71	61	58	+3	Down	+$1	04-24 02:04
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 19:15 UTC	2	$71	142	67	+75	Up	-$4	01-19 19:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 14:00 UTC	7	$71	64	64	+0	Down	-$1	06-26 14:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 03:37:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x62b5c3…
11-05 03:17:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x97a051…
11-05 03:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb45e8f…
11-05 03:02:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x44d4ef…
11-05 02:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x3bf507…
11-05 02:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7a4374…
11-05 01:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1bed04…
11-05 01:45:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x688c7d…
11-05 01:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0x85618b…
11-05 01:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7b4438…
11-05 01:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x097d7e…
11-05 00:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x967833…
11-05 00:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0xb002ea…
11-05 00:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x4cb79e…
11-05 00:22:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x953956…
11-05 00:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2d0ef4…
11-05 00:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa13325…
11-05 00:14:25	Spread: Central Michigan (-3.5)	Eastern Michigan	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x70b6f0…
11-05 00:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x7e59e6…
11-05 00:02:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5e3f2a…
11-05 00:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on November 6?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x94f934…
11-04 23:54:48	Counter-Strike: 6yuBoJlbl vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Group Stage	6yuBoJlbl	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x3fc5e8…
11-04 23:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x87747c…
11-04 23:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x412255…
11-04 23:17:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe00b10…
11-04 23:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x59b163…
11-04 22:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0xd3a313…
11-04 22:22:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x622b73…
11-04 22:16:39	Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan	Central Michigan	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xe2e33a…
11-04 22:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3b69e1…
11-04 22:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x038da3…
11-04 22:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x3ab534…
11-04 22:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb5f8b9…
11-04 21:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7a8fc4…
11-04 21:37:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf95cab…
11-04 20:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0xf74b8c…
11-04 20:27:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfa1fa7…
11-04 20:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x6bf6af…
11-04 19:42:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd9bde5…
11-04 19:37:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2fc19b…
11-04 19:32:51	SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: SK Slavia Praha O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc068d3…
11-04 19:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on November 6?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xaec5ed…
11-04 18:21:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x93fded…
11-04 18:21:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xec856b…
11-04 17:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xd0b4ba…
11-04 17:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on November 6?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xdaf952…
11-04 17:40:49	Bucks vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2e8b2c…
11-04 17:33:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0xe98a7c…
11-04 16:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x4a7ed5…
11-04 16:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfd093c…
11-04 16:43:57	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x083446…
11-04 15:47:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xfc3812…
11-04 15:46:52	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xa9799e…
11-04 15:46:48	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4fa172…
11-04 15:46:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7ae1b6…
11-04 15:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xb26774…
11-04 15:12:16	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xcdeb95…
11-04 15:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcbe697…
11-04 15:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd72b87…
11-04 15:05:39	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x13caba…
11-04 15:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x9c8b94…
11-04 15:05:19	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7b2696…
11-04 15:04:42	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc1c6a3…
11-04 15:04:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x43405d…
11-04 14:50:24	Game Spread: Novak Djokovic (-4.5) vs Rinky Hijikata (+4.5)	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8f4c16…
11-04 14:41:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4c73e3…
11-04 14:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x406e29…
11-04 13:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xec560b…
11-04 13:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x0cf96d…
11-04 13:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x240ffd…
11-04 13:44:13	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x397bea…
11-04 13:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xca3c06…
11-04 13:05:04	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Yandex vs Rakuzan (BO3) - BetBoom Rise of Legends Group A	Team Yandex	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xd71e01…
11-04 13:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	55¢	$4	0xf7d2b3…
11-04 12:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	22¢	$4	0x27441f…
11-04 12:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	43¢	$4	0x09a687…
11-04 12:38:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xeb24f8…
11-04 12:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x34001c…
11-04 12:27:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x424911…
11-04 12:16:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc19871…
11-04 12:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbaaef8…
11-04 12:14:58	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcf5d89…
11-04 12:13:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x948a0d…
11-04 11:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 6?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0f4fc6…
11-04 11:33:04	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x283169…
11-04 11:29:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x9cdba6…
11-04 10:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x1d1070…
11-04 10:55:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 8°C on November 6?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x90e6f3…
11-04 10:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on November 5?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x318142…
11-04 10:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2c29c4…
11-04 10:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe38fba…
11-04 10:28:03	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x49cf0c…
11-04 10:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x2d18a8…
11-04 10:24:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xddfee1…
11-04 10:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa10448…
11-04 09:29:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x962428…
11-04 09:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x93dc38…
11-04 08:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4da4e1…
11-04 08:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on November 4?	No	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0xad8d81…
11-04 07:38:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x767cc0…