Exciting-Flour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$958

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.9%

Resolved

11,531

Trades

28,049

lifetime

Volume

$87.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 11-13 08:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 217 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 73% -$741

Other

4% 66% -$228

Sports

1% 62% -$10

Politics

0% 71% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 183 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	32	$185	163	122	+41	Up	+$61	04-28 20:00
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	18	$160	117	117	+0	Yes	$0	10-26 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	34	$121	102	91	+12	Down	+$34	04-28 19:10
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	13	$113	91	91	+0	Yes	+$3	10-26 01:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 21:15 UTC	8	$107	170	49	+121	Up	-$77	01-16 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	16	$103	58	50	+8	Up	+$4	04-28 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 13:25 UTC	11	$97	75	74	+1	Up	+$16	02-27 13:29
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	9	$96	56	56	+0	Yes	+$16	10-26 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	12	$95	74	56	+18	Up	+$18	04-28 20:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 00:50 UTC	27	$94	105	67	+37	Up	+$7	02-25 00:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 17:35 UTC	23	$92	96	75	+21	Down	-$12	03-01 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$91	73	73	+0	Down	-$4	05-11 14:43
Will OFI win on 2026-09-02?	10	$91	47	47	+0	No	+$1	09-02 18:41
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 19:00 UTC	3	$90	115	0	+115	Up	+$25	01-19 19:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-16 04:30 UTC	33	$89	64	61	+3	Down	+$26	02-16 04:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 13:40 UTC	13	$89	141	104	+37	Up	-$15	02-28 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 15:20 UTC	10	$85	64	63	+1	Up	-$3	06-30 15:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 18:15 UTC	4	$80	98	0	+98	Down	+$18	01-19 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	8	$79	51	34	+17	Up	+$1	04-28 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	13	$78	56	44	+12	Down	+$8	04-28 13:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 17:30 UTC	21	$78	65	58	+7	Up	+$6	03-01 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	21	$77	94	51	+43	Down	-$23	04-28 22:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 02:10 UTC	7	$76	51	51	+0	Down	+$6	06-29 02:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 22:00 UTC	12	$76	63	62	+1	Down	-$2	02-27 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 23:20 UTC	14	$74	62	51	+11	Up	+$2	02-27 23:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 21:35 UTC	12	$74	60	44	+16	Down	+$15	03-12 21:40
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner	8	$72	46	39	+7	Bilibili Gaming	+$6	11-06 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$72	47	45	+2	Up	+$13	04-27 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-24 02:00 UTC	5	$71	61	58	+3	Down	+$1	04-24 02:04
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 19:15 UTC	2	$71	142	67	+75	Up	-$4	01-19 19:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 08:11:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x191e7d…
11-13 08:11:16	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on November 13?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x3c477f…
11-13 07:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x3980f4…
11-13 05:51:43	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0xa9e436…
11-13 03:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x11a08f…
11-13 03:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xfc641d…
11-13 02:45:57	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xf0166d…
11-13 01:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa09bbe…
11-13 01:13:58	Commanders vs. Giants	Giants	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xda8e06…
11-13 01:12:18	Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)	Timberwolves	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xe56d1f…
11-13 01:12:15	Mavericks vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xfb479e…
11-13 01:12:12	Raptors vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x32fd98…
11-13 01:12:09	Commanders vs. Giants: 1H O/U 22.5	Under	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0xf16a9b…
11-13 01:12:01	Spread: Pistons (-10.5)	Wizards	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x66c44b…
11-12 21:39:03	Will Czechia vs. Spain end in a draw?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9cae8b…
11-12 21:37:03	Will England win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe650ac…
11-12 21:24:40	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x4d5e1a…
11-12 21:19:40	Will Croatia win on 2026-11-12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x258ac5…
11-12 13:42:21	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	Spirit	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2bee91…
11-12 10:31:58	Commanders vs. Giants: 1H O/U 22.5	Under	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2909e0…
11-12 10:19:45	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	MOUZ	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x611086…
11-12 07:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on November 12?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xcfd5eb…
11-12 07:27:42	LoL: Nothin'Here vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner	Nothin'Here	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xdfd6aa…
11-12 06:58:49	Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb880c0…
11-12 06:49:13	Will England win on 2026-11-12?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x294406…
11-12 06:41:45	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	FURIA	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfd664e…
11-12 06:36:13	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	FURIA	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3f9ee1…
11-12 06:13:09	Raptors vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5fc09a…
11-12 05:59:21	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x07a69e…
11-12 05:58:55	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Vitality	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4217d9…
11-12 05:40:52	Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x818ad2…
11-12 05:38:36	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	Spirit	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xdea907…
11-12 05:29:21	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0xaebbfb…
11-12 05:10:42	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5764e1…
11-12 05:09:55	Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Rockets	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x098df8…
11-12 05:03:15	Mavericks vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xab9087…
11-12 04:57:54	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9a7dc4…
11-12 04:56:54	Warriors vs. Rockets	Rockets	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf19879…
11-12 04:49:43	Spread: Pistons (-10.5)	Wizards	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd06483…
11-12 04:47:12	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x20726f…
11-12 04:31:30	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xfb7a27…
11-12 04:24:57	Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x2a3f6d…
11-12 04:23:37	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x09fe3f…
11-12 04:21:25	Magic vs. Jazz	Magic	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xfb003d…
11-12 04:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe7a65b…
11-12 04:10:12	Will Czechia vs. Spain end in a draw?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x573580…
11-12 04:00:37	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A	Vitality	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xa016d0…
11-12 04:00:37	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x04e820…
11-12 03:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x3da1b6…
11-12 03:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x583758…
11-12 03:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x28df15…
11-12 03:49:22	Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x547e82…
11-12 03:43:42	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x884990…
11-12 03:39:46	Will France win on 2026-11-12?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9e8ab3…
11-12 03:32:21	Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5)	Central Michigan	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x30b616…
11-12 03:29:25	Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Under	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x4362b7…
11-12 03:27:36	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x88032b…
11-12 03:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xed1325…
11-12 03:18:19	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2cc256…
11-12 03:10:30	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8b87d1…
11-12 03:09:57	Spurs vs. Bulls	Spurs	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x26c111…
11-12 03:04:16	Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaa7519…
11-12 03:03:57	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xcc9280…
11-12 02:39:31	Celtics vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5	Under	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2aa9d3…
11-12 02:39:12	Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5	Over	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7ec3d8…
11-12 02:38:12	Lakers vs. Bucks	Lakers	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xfbbc06…
11-12 00:19:43	Spread: Central Michigan (-17.5)	Central Michigan	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x1bfd82…
11-11 23:56:46	Lakers vs. Bucks	Lakers	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x991bf4…
11-11 23:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd0c704…
11-11 22:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on November 11?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4b31be…
11-11 22:50:21	Spread: Toledo (-10.5)	UMass	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd12b2c…
11-11 20:43:48	Will Croatia win on 2026-11-12?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2f2aa0…
11-11 20:40:36	Will OL Lyonnes win on 2026-11-11?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5ef726…
11-11 20:25:55	Magic vs. Jazz	Magic	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8b744a…
11-11 20:09:54	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x04c8d5…
11-11 20:07:33	Counter-Strike: Tulpar vs DNK (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D	Tulpar	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x6a7da6…
11-11 19:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4b0d59…
11-11 19:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on November 11?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfe21b6…
11-11 16:49:51	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - Asgard Championship Group A	Inner Circle	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1fe1d1…
11-11 16:37:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 9 to November 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbb71f5…
11-11 15:51:36	Czarni Sosnowiec vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7f5675…
11-11 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xaf4889…
11-11 14:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x94dc2f…
11-11 14:48:43	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	MOUZ	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xf1de17…
11-11 14:45:06	Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)	Pelicans	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc3a5ea…
11-11 14:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa6fd12…
11-11 14:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x25e13c…
11-11 14:32:54	Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Rockets	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1a1dcd…
11-11 14:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x6026f0…
11-11 14:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9e7b9e…
11-11 14:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x159ce6…
11-11 14:06:04	Counter-Strike: Tulpar vs DNK (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D	Tulpar	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf43ad7…
11-11 14:04:00	Nuggets vs. Grizzlies	Grizzlies	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x323fbb…
11-11 14:01:09	Wizards vs. Pacers	Wizards	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x0e1e27…
11-11 13:52:54	Will Vietnam win on 2026-11-11?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xae3a02…
11-11 13:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xd88a9c…
11-11 13:46:09	Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Ducks (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D	Ducks	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x88405a…
11-11 13:28:42	Spread: Pacers (-3.5)	Wizards	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xda03b9…
11-11 13:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5c0a3e…
11-11 13:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf9f7de…