Genuine-Dreamer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$444

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

Trades

5,438

lifetime

Volume

$8.06M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.48K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-16 05:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

76% 0% $-737

Politics

24% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$1,181

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 121 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	186	$2.11M	2,016,820	100,000	+1,916,820	open	—	02-03 22:12
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1,165	$1.78M	1,652,292	151,685	+1,500,607	open	—	03-07 21:58
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	71	$749.0K	749,843	0	+749,843	open	—	01-03 12:13
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1,061	$690.5K	716,143	0	+716,143	open	—	01-25 15:16
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	886	$567.0K	288,760	286,847	+1,913	open	—	01-30 03:11
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	879	$455.4K	197,809	262,999	-65,190	open	—	02-10 16:24
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	273	$450.2K	229,268	229,268	+0	open	—	02-03 17:14
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$303.7K	153,294	153,294	+0	open	—	03-17 05:23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	226	$272.7K	279,309	0	+279,309	open	—	01-31 04:35
Trump out as President by April 30?	142	$160.0K	162,213	210	+162,003	open	—	04-19 10:43
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$152.7K	159,766	11	+159,755	open	—	03-30 13:32
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	55	$126.4K	63,249	63,442	-193	open	—	01-22 22:44
maduro in us custody by january 31	1	$79.9K	80,000	0	+80,000	open	—	01-04 08:51
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	65	$36.3K	16,337	20,061	-3,724	open	—	01-21 12:16
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	164	$29.5K	24,157	8,888	+15,269	open	—	05-10 11:23
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	106	$28.4K	28,797	0	+28,797	open	—	01-22 23:45
cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	13	$14.0K	14,343	0	+14,343	open	—	01-06 19:17
Lakers vs. Thunder	9	$11.2K	12,415	0	+12,415	Thunder	+$1,181	05-08 04:03
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	5	$10.8K	11,651	0	+11,651	open	—	05-08 03:46
bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	13	$5.8K	5,832	0	+5,832	open	—	01-23 03:15
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	8	$5.0K	5,046	0	+5,046	open	—	04-10 03:43
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$3.6K	1,937	3,048	-1,111	open	—	05-06 05:46
maduro out by february 28 2026	3	$3.5K	3,486	0	+3,486	open	—	01-03 09:44
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	28	$3.2K	16,939	16,939	+0	open	—	05-16 05:55
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$2.5K	2,567	0	+2,567	open	—	01-30 01:56
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	18	$2.0K	34,127	0	+34,127	open	—	02-11 12:23
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	10	$1.3K	1,403	0	+1,403	open	—	03-05 18:42
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$1.2K	5,166	5,166	+0	open	—	05-16 03:08
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	6	$993	7,995	7,995	+0	open	—	05-16 05:30
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers	26	$737	2,622	0	+2,622	Beijing Ducks	$-737	05-06 13:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 05:55:39	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	888	2¢	$14	0x1f1328…
05-16 05:51:48	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3,587	2¢	$58	0xf5f2d8…
05-16 05:30:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	6,303	3¢	$164	0xb2f834…
05-16 05:25:10	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xab7e56…
05-16 05:23:55	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x89a1c3…
05-16 05:23:41	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x80eb9a…
05-16 05:20:30	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x217f5f…
05-16 05:20:29	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xa594d9…
05-16 05:20:29	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x8157d0…
05-16 05:20:23	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xddc0d8…
05-16 05:20:22	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xc210c2…
05-16 05:17:14	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x5e05ef…
05-16 05:17:11	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x4708bf…
05-16 05:16:20	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xa83a05…
05-16 05:13:44	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x4f2253…
05-16 05:13:43	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xc6a95b…
05-16 05:13:43	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x840c17…
05-16 05:13:41	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xf7b0b2…
05-16 05:13:41	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x49b3e4…
05-16 05:10:14	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1,364	2¢	$30	0x951e12…
05-16 05:10:13	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x7d7d2c…
05-16 05:07:46	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	671	2¢	$15	0xca05e5…
05-16 03:08:05	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	4,313	2¢	$91	0x037c19…
05-16 03:06:43	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	278	3¢	$7	0xc2029a…
05-16 02:41:29	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1,846	2¢	$39	0xbb6b58…
05-16 02:40:02	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5,204	2¢	$109	0xcf706e…
05-16 02:38:34	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	320	2¢	$7	0x1a34a2…
05-16 02:35:59	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	851	3¢	$22	0x6b6d07…
05-15 19:13:12	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4,313	1¢	$60	0x29f559…
05-15 19:13:00	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0xdc901e…
05-15 19:12:56	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	14,597	1¢	$204	0x7c652d…
05-15 19:12:33	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7,431	1¢	$97	0x59324b…
05-15 19:11:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	564	99¢	$557	0x955ef7…
05-15 19:11:34	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	853	99¢	$841	0xe97911…
05-15 19:11:16	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	2,199	99¢	$2,169	0x35ba6d…
05-15 15:57:17	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	853	26¢	$218	0x5f1b18…
05-15 15:56:56	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2,199	26¢	$575	0x9dc047…
05-15 15:56:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	564	26¢	$147	0xe9bb51…
05-10 11:23:16	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5,555	91¢	$5,055	0x51c3f8…
05-09 19:58:31	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	674	87¢	$586	0x11f310…
05-09 19:57:01	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	547	87¢	$476	0xc427ba…
05-09 19:46:24	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0xcab897…
05-09 19:46:21	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x8add21…
05-09 19:46:10	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x568b90…
05-09 19:45:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x35d61d…
05-09 19:45:28	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0xbf5164…
05-09 19:45:27	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xf1b366…
05-09 19:42:23	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	122	87¢	$106	0xe45e11…
05-09 19:40:08	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x7faf0f…
05-09 19:39:05	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	92	87¢	$80	0x18ad2f…
05-09 19:38:27	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x36d113…
05-09 19:34:57	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3,897	87¢	$3,390	0x8208e5…
05-08 18:44:04	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1,817	91¢	$1,654	0x653b73…
05-08 18:30:18	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	74	91¢	$67	0xab46cc…
05-08 18:25:01	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	611	91¢	$556	0xb71ce5…
05-08 18:21:15	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0x482c2c…
05-08 18:11:03	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xc59e53…
05-08 18:11:03	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xae43c2…
05-08 18:07:55	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xe0b3d2…
05-08 18:07:55	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xa849ac…
05-08 18:06:19	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x470ee0…
05-08 18:06:14	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x013783…
05-08 18:06:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xccf4e6…
05-08 18:06:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x29933c…
05-08 18:06:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x209720…
05-08 18:03:24	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	60	91¢	$54	0x3237c5…
05-08 18:02:39	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x841328…
05-08 17:43:01	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x6a1505…
05-08 17:42:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x9ffd9b…
05-08 17:23:02	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	65	91¢	$59	0xafe892…
05-08 17:12:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0x37fb32…
05-08 17:12:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	300	91¢	$273	0x91ebb0…
05-08 11:09:52	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,486	88¢	$1,307	0x645cef…
05-08 11:08:19	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x96ca7c…
05-08 11:06:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x51694f…
05-08 11:04:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0xc714f2…
05-08 11:04:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x225eb8…
05-08 11:03:55	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	33	88¢	$29	0xe909af…
05-08 11:02:25	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,606	88¢	$1,413	0x75e7b9…
05-08 10:58:52	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0xe3e10f…
05-08 06:18:59	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xc54020…
05-08 06:01:06	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0xf751ae…
05-08 06:00:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x06583f…
05-08 06:00:52	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0xbd1861…
05-08 05:59:47	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x5b225c…
05-08 05:57:45	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	248	88¢	$218	0xf9bdc6…
05-08 05:40:25	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x919f93…
05-08 05:39:45	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x84550e…
05-08 05:34:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x2bed53…
05-08 05:34:13	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5d423d…
05-08 05:25:31	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	114	88¢	$101	0xcfcce7…
05-08 05:24:39	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xf2b9e6…
05-08 05:18:00	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xb230d4…
05-08 05:16:22	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x780cc0…
05-08 05:15:13	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	88¢	$14	0xa1ebfc…
05-08 05:13:55	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	95	88¢	$84	0x767bd9…
05-08 05:05:43	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xded48b…
05-08 05:05:29	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x82e708…
05-08 05:02:09	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x9ec5ca…
05-08 04:51:50	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0xe2875b…