Genuine-Dreamer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$91.4K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,809

lifetime

Volume

$8.33M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.43K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-13 17:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

76% 85% +$62,247

Politics

23% 93% +$27,980

Sports

0% 100% +$1,181

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	186	$2.11M	2,016,820	100,000	+1,916,820	Yes	+$2,703	02-03 22:12
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1,165	$1.78M	1,652,292	151,685	+1,500,607	Yes	+$20,416	03-07 21:58
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	71	$749.0K	749,843	0	+749,843	Yes	+$870	01-03 12:13
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1,061	$690.5K	716,143	0	+716,143	Yes	+$25,619	01-25 15:16
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	886	$567.0K	288,760	286,847	+1,913	No	+$3,966	01-30 03:11
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	879	$455.4K	197,809	262,999	-65,190	No	+$1,376	02-10 16:24
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	273	$450.2K	229,268	229,268	+0	No	+$7,814	02-03 17:14
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$303.7K	153,294	153,294	+0	No	+$1,686	03-17 05:23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	226	$272.7K	279,309	0	+279,309	Yes	+$6,604	01-31 04:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	298	$172.9K	173,411	3,411	+170,000	Yes	+$3,833	06-13 17:47
Trump out as President by April 30?	142	$160.0K	162,213	210	+162,003	No	+$2,447	04-19 10:43
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$152.7K	159,766	11	+159,755	No	+$7,085	03-30 13:32
bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	55	$126.4K	63,249	63,442	-193	No	+$204	01-22 22:44
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	72	$99.1K	99,484	0	+99,484	Yes	+$409	05-03 16:46
maduro in us custody by january 31	1	$79.9K	80,000	0	+80,000	Yes	+$80	01-04 08:51
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	65	$36.3K	16,337	20,061	-3,724	No	+$99	01-21 12:16
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	165	$29.6K	24,230	8,888	+15,342	Yes	+$1,930	05-10 11:23
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	106	$28.4K	28,797	0	+28,797	Yes	+$381	01-22 23:45
cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	13	$14.0K	14,343	0	+14,343	No	+$343	01-06 19:17
Lakers vs. Thunder	9	$11.2K	12,415	0	+12,415	Thunder	+$1,181	05-08 04:03
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	5	$10.8K	11,651	0	+11,651	Yes	+$815	05-08 03:46
bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	13	$5.8K	5,832	0	+5,832	No	+$7	01-23 03:15
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	8	$5.0K	5,046	0	+5,046	Yes	+$10	04-10 03:43
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$3.6K	1,937	3,048	-1,111	No	+$1,250	05-06 05:46
maduro out by february 28 2026	3	$3.5K	3,486	0	+3,486	Yes	+$21	01-03 09:44
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	28	$3.2K	16,939	16,939	+0	No	+$1,678	05-16 05:55
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	3	$2.5K	2,567	0	+2,567	No	+$82	01-30 01:56
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	18	$2.0K	34,127	0	+34,127	Yes	-$2,021	02-11 12:23
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	10	$1.3K	1,403	0	+1,403	Yes	+$110	03-05 18:42
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$1.2K	5,166	5,166	+0	No	+$654	05-16 03:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 17:47:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,411	99¢	$3,391	0xe27e49…
05-20 08:57:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25,830	98¢	$25,262	0x6dceff…
05-20 08:55:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x637559…
05-20 08:52:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x1798a4…
05-20 08:50:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,850	98¢	$5,721	0xdb642a…
05-20 08:50:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	800	98¢	$782	0xaf8eb8…
05-20 08:44:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe7c627…
05-20 08:43:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0xeaad62…
05-20 08:37:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb194c3…
05-20 08:18:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xb395b3…
05-20 08:18:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xb8bb34…
05-20 08:00:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	98¢	$51	0xe89531…
05-20 07:51:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	118	98¢	$115	0x771b5a…
05-20 07:39:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x49da5b…
05-20 07:28:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0xbfa56a…
05-20 07:24:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x74abd5…
05-20 07:14:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0xf623c0…
05-20 07:13:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x16db4d…
05-20 07:11:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xb9dacd…
05-20 07:11:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x7bcd9b…
05-20 06:59:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x88c8a6…
05-20 06:55:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfb2148…
05-20 06:55:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	98¢	$2,445	0xcdc3ee…
05-20 06:51:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,293	98¢	$2,243	0x75e394…
05-17 23:59:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x11c400…
05-17 23:59:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x636551…
05-17 23:59:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	233	98¢	$229	0x15af4e…
05-17 23:59:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x6bbde0…
05-17 23:59:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x6aebb0…
05-17 23:59:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x72a993…
05-17 23:59:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	233	98¢	$229	0x3816db…
05-17 23:58:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	530	98¢	$519	0xdaf04f…
05-17 23:58:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xcbf26e…
05-17 23:58:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	233	98¢	$229	0x1deb00…
05-17 23:58:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xfd010c…
05-17 23:58:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	233	98¢	$229	0x95afcf…
05-17 23:58:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x08ac5a…
05-17 23:58:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	194	98¢	$190	0xee2cac…
05-17 23:58:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	183	98¢	$179	0xcdb6d6…
05-17 23:58:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	186	98¢	$182	0xd09547…
05-17 23:58:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	77	98¢	$75	0xd3bdca…
05-17 23:58:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0xb2a8e4…
05-17 23:58:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x9b7dc9…
05-17 23:58:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	233	98¢	$229	0x4cd883…
05-17 23:58:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	288	98¢	$282	0x197368…
05-17 23:58:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	233	98¢	$229	0xb1f733…
05-17 23:58:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x474df9…
05-17 23:57:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x7efd70…
05-17 23:57:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	278	98¢	$272	0x7d6053…
05-17 23:57:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	197	98¢	$193	0xc41abd…
05-17 23:57:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x508ae3…
05-17 23:57:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x446774…
05-17 23:53:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	234	98¢	$229	0x625ecd…
05-17 23:52:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	234	98¢	$229	0xf14ff7…
05-17 23:52:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	234	98¢	$229	0x063344…
05-17 23:52:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x398994…
05-17 23:52:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	278	98¢	$272	0x875d6d…
05-17 23:51:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	278	98¢	$272	0xa013ae…
05-17 23:50:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	278	98¢	$272	0x823efa…
05-17 23:47:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x443a35…
05-17 23:45:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	192	98¢	$188	0x8c66fa…
05-17 23:42:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	278	98¢	$272	0x85c59c…
05-17 23:42:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x0b1038…
05-17 23:41:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x9d0ee4…
05-17 23:41:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	278	98¢	$272	0x00ee73…
05-17 23:40:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	234	98¢	$229	0xee4191…
05-17 23:40:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xf9f337…
05-17 23:40:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	278	98¢	$272	0xc34b48…
05-17 23:40:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x5167d8…
05-17 23:40:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x58538d…
05-17 23:39:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x3e0c46…
05-17 23:39:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xbcd18e…
05-17 23:39:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x7193b1…
05-17 23:39:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x6b75b3…
05-17 23:39:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0xb54560…
05-17 23:39:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xa4735f…
05-17 23:39:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	88	98¢	$87	0xe2d701…
05-16 05:55:39	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	888	2¢	$14	0x1f1328…
05-16 05:51:48	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3,587	2¢	$58	0xf5f2d8…
05-16 05:30:06	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	6,303	3¢	$164	0xb2f834…
05-16 05:25:10	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xab7e56…
05-16 05:23:55	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0x89a1c3…
05-16 05:23:41	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x80eb9a…
05-16 05:20:30	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x217f5f…
05-16 05:20:29	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xa594d9…
05-16 05:20:29	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x8157d0…
05-16 05:20:23	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xddc0d8…
05-16 05:20:22	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xc210c2…
05-16 05:17:14	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x5e05ef…
05-16 05:17:11	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x4708bf…
05-16 05:16:20	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xa83a05…
05-16 05:13:44	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x4f2253…
05-16 05:13:43	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xc6a95b…
05-16 05:13:43	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x840c17…
05-16 05:13:41	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xf7b0b2…
05-16 05:13:41	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x49b3e4…
05-16 05:10:14	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	1,364	2¢	$30	0x951e12…
05-16 05:10:13	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0x7d7d2c…
05-16 05:07:46	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	671	2¢	$15	0xca05e5…
05-16 03:08:05	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	4,313	2¢	$91	0x037c19…