Frail-Codepage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$231

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved

382

Trades

715

lifetime

Volume

$2.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-27 18:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 47% -$116

Politics

16% 19% -$77

Other

3% 7% -$36

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+42	$10	52¢	$22	+$12	10-27 18:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 10:10 UTC	2	$72	40	40	+0	Up	+$7	02-18 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 09:35 UTC	2	$65	33	33	+0	Up	+$1	02-18 09:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 09:25 UTC	2	$64	32	32	+0	Down	+$0	02-18 09:30
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	2	$59	39	39	+0	No	+$9	03-01 01:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 22:30 UTC	2	$59	30	30	+0	Up	+$0	02-18 22:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 22:25 UTC	2	$59	30	30	+0	Up	+$0	02-18 22:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 22:05 UTC	2	$59	30	30	+0	Up	+$0	02-18 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 22:55 UTC	1	$56	62	0	+62	Down	-$56	02-19 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:20 UTC	5	$54	39	26	+13	Up	-$2	03-15 21:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:45 UTC	2	$54	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	02-18 21:50
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	8	$50	43	40	+3	Yes	+$4	03-05 22:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 22:00 UTC	2	$44	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	02-18 22:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$44	17	41	-24	Yes	+$12	02-28 23:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:55 UTC	2	$41	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	02-18 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 10:00 UTC	2	$32	16	16	+0	Down	+$0	03-05 10:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 20:25 UTC	3	$31	21	15	+6	Down	-$1	03-15 20:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 21:40 UTC	2	$31	26	26	+0	Down	+$21	02-20 21:45
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	6	$30	52	0	+52	No	-$30	03-08 22:32
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$29	6	27	-21	Yes	+$3	02-28 23:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 21:35 UTC	1	$26	27	0	+27	Down	+$1	02-18 21:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 22:35 UTC	1	$25	27	0	+27	Up	-$25	02-18 22:39
bitcoin up or down february 23 7am et	5	$24	13	13	+0	Up	+$0	02-23 12:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 09:20 UTC	2	$24	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	02-18 09:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-14 21:15 UTC	1	$23	24	0	+24	Up	-$23	02-14 21:19
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	1	$23	0	25	-25	Yes	-$2	01-24 13:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 22:30 UTC	3	$21	13	10	+3	Down	-$1	03-11 22:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 21:20 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	02-20 21:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 09:15 UTC	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	02-18 09:20
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 23:00 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	03-11 23:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:55 UTC	5	$20	17	17	+0	Down	+$0	03-22 20:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:21:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x2c4804…
06-16 18:00:05	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2b677a…
06-14 20:20:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3b167c…
06-14 20:19:03	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x274781…
05-16 23:00:18	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x63e16a…
05-16 22:59:56	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x68f969…
05-16 22:59:47	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6bf98b…
05-16 22:58:19	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x12f610…
05-16 22:56:38	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	812	0¢	$1	0x5d8669…
05-16 22:22:34	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xdbb3ee…
03-27 11:51:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2adbfe…
03-27 11:50:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3e6496…
03-27 11:49:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa2690c…
03-26 22:58:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x3c0ef1…
03-26 22:56:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x40e132…
03-26 10:44:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 10:40 UTC	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x1f408b…
03-26 10:44:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb08263…
03-23 05:39:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	48	12¢	$6	0x44a2e4…
03-23 05:38:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7779de…
03-23 05:38:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x69b653…
03-22 20:28:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb975d6…
03-22 20:21:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 20:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x62586c…
03-22 20:20:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xef826c…
03-22 20:04:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8171c3…
03-22 20:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:55 UTC	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x4b349c…
03-22 19:59:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x76fff9…
03-22 19:59:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2aecf8…
03-22 19:59:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:55 UTC	Up	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x13e9f4…
03-22 19:58:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x59d256…
03-22 10:05:21	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5d40f5…
03-21 20:03:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xafc889…
03-21 19:48:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x12c1ed…
03-21 19:47:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x875b28…
03-20 14:29:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7f3afc…
03-20 14:28:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x70f19a…
03-20 14:26:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x097ead…
03-20 14:03:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x47194e…
03-20 14:01:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5d4aa6…
03-20 13:42:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd84f5e…
03-20 13:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:35 UTC	Down	SELL	33	17¢	$6	0xc2a748…
03-20 13:37:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2882d6…
03-20 13:22:53	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x101701…
03-20 13:02:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x71051e…
03-20 13:02:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc53a6e…
03-20 09:36:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x7420a0…
03-18 10:17:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xedc2f3…
03-18 10:06:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7e0fb7…
03-18 09:46:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd31331…
03-18 09:42:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x96794d…
03-18 09:27:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8dd0af…
03-17 21:58:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x136f79…
03-17 21:50:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x708afc…
03-17 21:37:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xd3f5e1…
03-17 21:36:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6667fb…
03-17 21:35:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x8b762c…
03-17 21:35:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x1ccd4d…
03-17 21:34:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x8b7ab8…
03-17 21:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfcccb1…
03-16 23:00:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 22:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe2ed48…
03-16 22:59:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa920ff…
03-15 22:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x91577a…
03-15 22:28:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfd286f…
03-15 22:10:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x28b0dd…
03-15 22:05:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x7a6211…
03-15 22:04:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3898a1…
03-15 22:03:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x912ed2…
03-15 22:03:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd5b3f9…
03-15 22:02:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x78c3e8…
03-15 22:00:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe84251…
03-15 21:59:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0xf9f983…
03-15 21:56:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xef07e6…
03-15 21:55:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-15 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x35cc1f…
03-15 21:54:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xd7b2b3…
03-15 21:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x9d882b…
03-15 21:53:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x86960b…
03-15 21:52:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdd8b12…
03-15 21:52:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0xd35d66…
03-15 21:51:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcffce0…
03-15 21:50:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x87a597…
03-15 21:50:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x528fad…
03-15 21:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x1a8188…
03-15 21:48:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4602a5…
03-15 21:48:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xad6572…
03-15 21:47:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x99c7e8…
03-15 21:46:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb3f71f…
03-15 21:43:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xfeecd8…
03-15 21:42:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x379c21…
03-15 21:41:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x142463…
03-15 21:39:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x63bf2a…
03-15 21:31:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x5532eb…
03-15 21:25:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6eb39e…
03-15 21:25:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xfe64d9…
03-15 21:24:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xf11199…
03-15 21:24:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc5b673…
03-15 21:23:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x54428f…
03-15 21:23:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x8379a4…
03-15 21:15:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x81d31a…
03-15 21:14:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x70ddd6…
03-15 20:38:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0007a9…
03-15 20:32:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2fc744…