Realized P&L
+$29.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$700
Hit rate
85.0%
Resolved
228
Trades
3,283
lifetime
Volume
$406.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$124
Open exposure
$9.97K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 21:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Politics
60% 61% +$10,824
Other
31% 52% +$15,589
Sports
9% 74% +$3,147
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -3,300 -$2,970 98¢ $-3236 -$266 05-04 07:54
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,812 96¢ $1.9K +$114 10-19 22:05
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes -1,500 -$1,072 100¢ $-1496 -$424 09-05 08:15
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? Yes +1,213 $853 99¢ $1.2K +$353 10-26 01:09
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,000 -$662 13¢ $-652 +$10 08-19 14:40
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,000 -$834 16¢ $-642 +$192 08-23 02:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +474 $303 84¢ $396 +$92 09-06 08:44
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 30%-40%? No +200 $194 100¢ $200 +$6 10-25 16:43
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? Yes +595 $59 15¢ $86 +$27 10-25 16:17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? Yes +7,739 $186 1¢ $58 -$128 10-25 06:41
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +11,772 $49 0¢ $53 +$4 10-26 21:23
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +20 $18 72¢ $14 -$4 09-13 23:02
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,500 $16 0¢ $5 -$10 10-25 16:01
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? Yes +3,068 $61 0¢ $3 -$58 10-25 19:58
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3 -$778 29¢ $1 +$779 09-13 21:16
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +0 -$3 98¢ $0 +$3 05-09 00:59
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +0 -$8 4¢ $0 +$8 08-02 21:08