Only-Finish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

124

Trades

129

lifetime

Volume

$2.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 11-02 23:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 100% +$4

Other

37% 100% +$3

Politics

8% 100% +$1

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 165 189	2	$47	47	0	+47	No	+$0	04-17 09:02
bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	2	$38	38	0	+38	Yes	+$0	06-23 05:20
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	04-14 18:48
Will annual inflation increase by 3.4% in April?	2	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-11 20:13
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-25 08:06
Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Slovenia?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	07-26 02:26
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	10-11 19:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 4?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-04 07:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 23?	1	$29	29	0	+29	Yes	+$0	10-22 20:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 23?	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	09-22 10:33
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 320 339	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	04-23 00:06
will no other choice win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	01-04 11:19
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?	1	$26	26	0	+26	Yes	+$0	06-23 18:10
bitcoin above 80k on april 22	1	$26	26	0	+26	No	+$0	04-21 22:30
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	10-29 17:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 10?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-09 04:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 7?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	05-04 20:12
Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-29 14:53
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 PGA Championship?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-17 08:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 19?	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	09-18 00:34
bitcoin above 62k on july 24 2026	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	07-24 04:30
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	07-29 08:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	2	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	05-28 07:05
Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	04-18 03:41
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	09-30 04:26
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	11-02 23:23
ethereum above 1800 on august 6 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	08-06 07:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	1	$22	22	0	+22	Yes	+$0	05-09 18:32
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	05-20 05:05
Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	05-18 02:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 23:23:31	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xb120a4…
10-29 17:04:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in October?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x18cd43…
10-25 08:06:38	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfefdcf…
10-22 20:37:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x971e98…
10-22 18:48:53	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4ed39b…
10-15 21:20:30	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd536d3…
10-11 19:16:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8a9532…
10-10 02:40:57	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x64d170…
10-09 10:05:31	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x61dc3c…
10-05 04:44:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 5?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3a8694…
10-02 07:04:33	ethereum above 2500 on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xae25c7…
09-30 04:26:57	Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xce74d3…
09-28 22:41:56	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xefadf4…
09-26 06:23:15	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 21-27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x631a11…
09-22 10:33:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x477010…
09-20 11:50:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x868672…
09-18 00:34:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x904614…
09-12 12:45:13	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa2538e…
09-06 20:36:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xb32bfa…
09-04 07:18:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x21dce4…
08-27 12:56:34	Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in August 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe3ea65…
08-24 11:52:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xba5939…
08-21 23:17:21	bitcoin above 70k on august 23 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xc599a7…
08-21 06:37:09	will bitcoin dip to 60k august 17 23 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xadc6ed…
08-15 22:18:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x4fcb67…
08-14 16:36:24	bitcoin above 66k on august 15 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfac283…
08-10 22:46:46	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe770a7…
08-08 14:07:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 8?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x003ec7…
08-06 07:22:33	ethereum above 1800 on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x226a7a…
07-29 08:27:20	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x683e16…
07-29 03:23:39	Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb21c17…
07-26 02:26:40	Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd5fc9c…
07-24 04:30:10	bitcoin above 62k on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x15c54b…
07-17 09:02:00	will bitcoin reach 72k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5a4a69…
07-14 16:02:17	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa82b3f…
07-14 07:15:37	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7794fe…
07-13 01:42:44	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe1f4a5…
07-11 19:01:50	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6bad0b…
07-10 05:16:16	bitcoin above 60k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0e831d…
07-06 13:16:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x39ffc7…
07-04 23:00:50	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xed4db9…
07-04 07:37:52	ethereum above 1700 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfbe04d…
07-01 09:49:02	bitcoin above 66k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd85c1f…
06-24 19:54:55	bitcoin above 64k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x757111…
06-23 18:10:41	Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x71ed26…
06-23 05:20:31	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x599159…
06-22 01:45:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd99490…
06-21 15:10:40	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9bbc2d…
06-06 05:25:48	Will Prosperous Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x91a10f…
06-02 19:07:37	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x670586…
06-02 04:32:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x724524…
06-01 17:18:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf1f4a1…
06-01 02:24:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7e4030…
05-30 23:42:44	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 25-31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x798b50…
05-29 14:53:29	Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x59ce71…
05-29 07:56:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd9661d…
05-29 01:33:23	Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbd1a2d…
05-28 07:05:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x44dfda…
05-28 05:15:44	Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x649147…
05-27 16:24:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52b206…
05-27 16:05:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf91070…
05-26 08:40:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb658e0…
05-25 20:16:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x093af9…
05-25 11:26:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x464b50…
05-25 06:40:19	Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x97de64…
05-24 15:47:21	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 18-24?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2ae059…
05-24 03:12:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf57fcb…
05-23 14:04:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x50454d…
05-23 11:33:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11f88c…
05-22 21:35:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2d8e69…
05-21 14:59:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb653b7…
05-20 15:50:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 22?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xdf0189…
05-20 13:21:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x7a8f5b…
05-20 05:05:19	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xb29972…
05-18 20:11:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce17d3…
05-18 13:02:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa55860…
05-18 02:45:28	Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xcb7280…
05-17 08:37:03	Will Sam Burns win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x6cd280…
05-16 04:43:58	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6ca31c…
05-15 12:35:27	Will Harris English win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x618d69…
05-15 02:36:52	Will Brian Harman win the 2026 PGA Championship?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7950c5…
05-14 16:04:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x45461e…
05-13 19:51:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe13392…
05-13 16:31:47	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x3b539f…
05-12 11:11:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf28991…
05-12 03:02:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x764ff7…
05-11 20:13:08	Will annual inflation increase by 3.4% in April?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb69506…
05-11 06:30:31	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x1996f3…
05-11 02:53:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xa32968…
05-10 08:06:31	Will annual inflation increase by 3.4% in April?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcbf7fd…
05-09 18:32:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xff4a10…
05-09 04:07:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0b7da7…
05-08 14:30:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x67d4b7…
05-08 06:38:23	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x572f92…
05-07 23:41:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2e0a33…
05-05 12:10:50	Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0790fc…
05-04 20:12:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x96714a…
05-04 07:29:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3939cd…
05-02 10:21:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xa52261…
05-01 22:42:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x33bd36…