Realized P&L
-$20.8K
Unrealized P&L
-$188
Hit rate
48.6%
Resolved
546
Trades
5,388
lifetime
Volume
$485.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$1.12K
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 06-01 04:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Other
64% 46% -$19,435
Politics
32% 60% -$770
Crypto
2% 50% -$260
Sports
1% 40% -$70
Tech
1% 50% -$116
Pop-Culture
0% 20% -$162
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-01).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Blue wave in 2026? Yes -600 -$410 86¢ $-513 -$103 06-01 04:24
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes -600 -$358 77¢ $-462 -$104 06-01 04:24
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? No -115 -$109 100¢ $-115 -$6 06-01 04:25
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? No -90 -$52 33¢ $-29 +$23 06-01 04:26
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes -18 -$3 7¢ $-1 +$2 06-01 04:26