Remorseful-Sash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

39.1%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

$127

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-15 07:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% -$4

Crypto

40% 92% +$4

Politics

7% 0% $0

Sports

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on November 15?	No		+128	$124	100¢	$127	+$3	11-15 07:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	3	$299	200	100	+100	No	+$0	01-20 15:55
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	04-23 09:41
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	04-28 05:56
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	05-26 14:04
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	2	$255	128	128	+0	open	—	09-29 05:42
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	08-29 15:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	05-13 06:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	07-06 05:00
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 80 99	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	03-27 07:44
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	06-29 02:52
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 460 479	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	03-28 11:48
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	2	$255	128	128	+0	No	$0	07-18 10:59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	2	$255	128	128	+0	open	—	11-15 07:22
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	2	$254	128	128	+0	No	$0	04-07 03:50
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	3	$254	128	128	+0	open	—	10-25 13:28
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$254	127	127	+0	No	$0	04-13 13:42
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$254	128	128	+0	No	$0	03-25 08:56
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$254	128	128	+0	open	—	05-19 08:16
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$254	128	128	+0	open	—	06-22 01:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$252	128	128	+0	No	$0	04-10 14:14
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-22 13:09
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-06 14:00
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-23 08:05
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-04 09:40
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-31 06:42
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 140 159	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-05 13:32
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-12 08:19
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 0 39	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-15 09:32
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 580 599	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-02 13:17
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 80 99	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-09 06:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 07:23:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on November 15?	No	BUY	128	97¢	$124	0xbe297c…
11-15 07:22:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0xda84c1…
11-15 07:22:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x5a23ca…
10-25 13:29:54	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x7217d1…
10-25 13:28:32	Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$87	0x954f3c…
10-25 13:27:54	Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xa4b92d…
10-25 13:27:17	Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0xbe9b00…
09-29 05:43:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 29?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xf807b3…
09-29 05:42:17	Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0x3d2163…
09-29 05:42:00	Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x153a64…
08-29 15:38:36	will bitcoin reach 84k on august 29 2026	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x442362…
08-29 15:37:37	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0xd94e26…
08-29 15:37:24	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x2ae3bd…
07-18 11:11:06	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 18	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x1f04c4…
07-18 10:59:58	Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0x9c3e1a…
07-18 10:59:48	Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x20baf5…
07-06 05:03:02	will bitcoin dip to 56k on july 6	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x9bb26b…
07-06 05:00:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0x72a000…
07-06 05:00:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x9cfde3…
06-29 02:53:43	bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xeb1d39…
06-29 02:52:07	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0x728d21…
06-29 02:51:56	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x40b84d…
06-22 01:30:37	bitcoin above 58k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xf7039f…
06-22 01:29:14	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0x927a1e…
06-22 01:28:47	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0x87c4d0…
05-26 14:04:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x36d499…
05-26 14:04:02	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0x20a3e6…
05-26 14:03:55	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x698cda…
05-19 08:16:40	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x100db7…
05-19 08:16:01	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0xa91325…
05-19 08:15:40	Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	128	99¢	$127	0xddb164…
05-13 06:51:12	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x2d9733…
05-13 06:50:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0x4653c9…
05-13 06:50:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x2f1239…
04-28 05:59:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0xa4a8b4…
04-28 05:56:04	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0xff4656…
04-28 05:55:58	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xad76a7…
04-25 04:32:14	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x0d5929…
04-23 09:42:26	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0xfb411a…
04-23 09:41:26	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0x206cbd…
04-23 09:41:18	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x9d0219…
04-20 06:01:48	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x26e5a3…
04-13 13:43:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 13	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x516744…
04-13 13:42:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x87874c…
04-13 13:42:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x31e78b…
04-10 14:15:55	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x2bf92b…
04-10 14:14:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	128	99¢	$126	0x7a88e0…
04-10 14:14:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	128	99¢	$126	0xebdecb…
04-07 03:51:27	bitcoin above 60k on april 7	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0xfd0101…
04-07 03:50:39	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0x382341…
04-07 03:50:19	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x60ce29…
03-28 11:49:49	will bitcoin reach 74k on march 28	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xf681d2…
03-28 11:48:31	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 460 479	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0x53625d…
03-28 11:48:21	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 460 479	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0x12fe5c…
03-27 07:45:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 27	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xff6062…
03-27 07:44:41	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 80 99	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0x181494…
03-27 07:44:29	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 80 99	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0xfa6438…
03-25 08:56:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x5313f8…
03-25 08:56:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0x08b3fe…
03-25 08:56:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	128	100¢	$127	0xefc36b…
03-22 13:10:13	bitcoin above 80k on march 23	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x791b13…
03-22 13:09:07	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x66297d…
03-22 13:08:53	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 580plus	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xabf269…
03-19 05:11:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 19	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xafaa65…
03-19 05:09:25	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8118ec…
03-19 05:08:41	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfebe4f…
03-18 09:52:49	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 18	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0xc922e1…
03-18 09:52:05	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 18	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0e4ecf…
03-18 09:51:25	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x2c64fa…
03-18 09:51:11	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4573f2…
03-17 11:03:29	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x75302b…
03-17 11:03:11	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 320 339	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8be311…
03-17 11:02:55	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 320 339	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0c7d8b…
03-15 11:56:59	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 9 15	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x848ed8…
03-15 11:56:33	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xca6ef9…
03-15 11:56:21	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 220 239	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdd5f8c…
03-12 08:20:25	bitcoin above 62k on march 12	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe23763…
03-12 08:19:23	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xbd1a41…
03-12 08:19:11	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x309797…
03-09 06:36:03	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x242def…
03-09 06:35:37	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 80 99	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4aca75…
03-09 06:35:25	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 80 99	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf007d6…
03-06 14:01:47	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 6	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x881f3e…
03-06 14:01:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 6	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x2e20a2…
03-06 14:00:51	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa91350…
03-06 14:00:21	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 580plus	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdc3e30…
03-02 11:25:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 2	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xae79a4…
03-02 11:25:13	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x2e91de…
03-02 11:24:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x01f25e…
03-01 05:19:27	bitcoin above 74k on march 1	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0c10f8…
03-01 05:16:07	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x59a250…
03-01 05:15:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe2472a…
02-10 13:04:33	bitcoin above 74k on february 10	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x095a1a…
02-10 13:03:13	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 240plus	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x7f44b8…
02-10 13:02:57	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 240plus	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4d5d74…
02-08 12:01:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 8	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x29d986…
02-08 11:56:57	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 560 579	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x6a6539…
02-08 11:56:47	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 560 579	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x045962…
02-05 13:33:41	bitcoin above 78k on february 5	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa3001d…
02-05 13:32:45	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 140 159	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xef178b…