Violent-Chaos — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.5%

Resolved

Trades

202

lifetime

Volume

$20.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 07-26 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

55% 33% +$0

Other

28% 0% $-1

Crypto

8% — —

Politics

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	20	$3.0K	1,564	1,564	+0	open	—	04-09 21:27
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	9	$1.1K	583	583	-0	Yes	$-0	03-30 04:22
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$951	518	518	+0	open	—	04-14 00:17
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$834	431	431	+0	open	—	04-22 03:43
Netanyahu out by April 30?	6	$785	407	407	+0	open	—	03-30 20:30
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$777	407	407	+0	open	—	03-31 03:17
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$710	374	374	+0	open	—	03-22 04:19
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$708	367	367	+0	open	—	03-14 21:40
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$690	361	361	+0	No	+$0	03-23 05:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$443	232	232	+0	open	—	04-07 08:12
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	7	$431	221	221	+0	open	—	04-13 06:40
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$402	207	207	+0	open	—	03-04 08:27
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$399	214	214	+0	open	—	03-04 18:39
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$397	209	209	+0	open	—	03-06 21:48
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$397	225	225	+0	open	—	03-03 18:28
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$393	203	203	+0	open	—	03-08 05:15
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$381	194	194	+0	open	—	03-10 07:08
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$379	195	195	+0	No	$-0	03-08 18:27
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$362	187	187	+0	No	$-0	03-09 14:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$360	188	188	+0	open	—	03-10 18:18
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$360	184	184	+0	open	—	03-12 17:00
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$356	185	185	+0	open	—	03-17 01:34
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$354	187	187	+0	open	—	03-19 01:27
will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$353	181	181	+0	open	—	03-27 12:47
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$353	184	184	+0	open	—	03-21 08:37
will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$353	180	180	+0	open	—	03-23 18:31
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$343	180	180	+0	open	—	03-17 23:40
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$340	176	176	+0	open	—	03-27 05:56
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	5	$340	179	178	+1	open	—	04-25 00:08
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$337	177	177	+0	open	—	03-25 03:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 19:31:37	mlb nyy cws 2026 07 27 extra innings	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x28687e…
07-26 16:47:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$7	0xfc8af9…
07-26 10:45:58	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$7	0xbe6ba8…
07-26 02:39:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x654445…
07-25 21:37:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xdc993a…
07-25 21:07:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xf49917…
07-25 17:05:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xe7e35b…
07-24 20:48:01	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x4bae61…
07-24 14:44:24	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x0866de…
06-20 23:21:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	62	90¢	$56	0xbc2e21…
06-20 17:21:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	62	91¢	$57	0x3bcdd7…
06-20 10:08:17	will czechia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149712	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xd8e0e6…
06-20 04:06:10	will czechia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149712	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x27b2b2…
06-19 02:58:55	will dr congo reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149752	No	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0x175031…
06-18 20:54:28	will dr congo reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149752	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xcc1d73…
06-18 15:49:55	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	67	90¢	$61	0x94a34f…
06-18 08:44:50	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	67	91¢	$61	0x5caeca…
06-17 04:37:56	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x971c3a…
06-17 04:37:19	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x0290f7…
06-17 00:54:46	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa67fa0…
06-17 00:32:28	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xa1b7d9…
06-15 15:38:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	53	90¢	$47	0x56f7d0…
06-15 08:36:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0xf25d1f…
06-13 20:42:06	Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0xb6d605…
06-12 03:56:45	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0xa1c91f…
06-11 19:51:21	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x102012…
06-11 07:54:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	54	94¢	$51	0x32a083…
06-10 23:52:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0x8e6fd2…
06-07 00:27:27	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0xcf1584…
06-06 20:23:37	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x49f3ed…
06-06 20:21:27	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x1a60ef…
06-06 11:06:33	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	SELL	43	97¢	$42	0x5d783e…
06-06 04:03:06	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x47239a…
06-06 03:29:45	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	45	89¢	$40	0x5105df…
06-05 19:24:30	Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	45	91¢	$41	0x3e8a24…
06-05 03:39:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	47	94¢	$44	0x572269…
06-04 21:37:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	47	95¢	$45	0x4303af…
06-04 21:01:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	48	96¢	$47	0xcd2906…
06-04 16:59:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	48	96¢	$47	0x235181…
06-04 07:42:12	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	59	93¢	$55	0x73c990…
06-04 00:36:46	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0x555c5f…
06-03 08:46:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	54	92¢	$50	0x756ca5…
06-03 00:38:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xcbd1bd…
05-23 08:31:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	58	98¢	$57	0xa22694…
05-23 01:55:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x5ac265…
05-22 21:52:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x20f061…
05-22 13:40:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	63	92¢	$58	0x154470…
05-22 08:32:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	63	94¢	$59	0x5bc2a9…
04-28 02:12:16	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	72	94¢	$68	0xf471a8…
04-27 22:24:38	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x88424d…
04-27 22:09:34	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x9baa50…
04-27 09:08:24	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	171	96¢	$165	0xb5ac4f…
04-27 03:59:22	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	171	96¢	$164	0x0ab985…
04-25 00:08:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	99	95¢	$95	0x8737b4…
04-25 00:08:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	79	96¢	$76	0xdfbef3…
04-24 18:01:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xed31bf…
04-24 18:01:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0x78aed0…
04-24 18:01:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	143	94¢	$135	0xf8b3cc…
04-22 03:43:12	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$58	0x0c34c0…
04-21 20:32:30	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	60	95¢	$58	0x842e73…
04-15 16:28:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0xc232e4…
04-15 08:35:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	49	97¢	$47	0x2cbc1f…
04-14 00:17:29	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	63	92¢	$58	0x2288a9…
04-13 18:09:59	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	63	92¢	$58	0x9aa237…
04-13 06:40:15	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x2f8923…
04-12 22:17:07	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x0c172c…
04-12 21:52:21	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	71	92¢	$65	0xa2814d…
04-12 15:48:15	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	71	92¢	$65	0x5136bb…
04-11 03:02:53	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0x0550c8…
04-10 19:49:15	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xff5dad…
04-10 12:11:41	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x88eb19…
04-10 12:11:11	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	67	97¢	$65	0x7bf0bd…
04-10 06:59:17	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xd541f4…
04-09 22:43:37	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0xe4b85d…
04-09 21:27:23	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0xabce91…
04-09 10:03:59	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x6f1845…
04-08 09:14:23	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0x3ae946…
04-08 03:37:45	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xc930dc…
04-07 08:12:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x72fe70…
04-01 01:18:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$46	0x5753d2…
03-31 19:45:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x6ca4dd…
03-31 12:42:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	42	98¢	$42	0xfffb08…
03-31 03:17:35	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x1047cf…
03-30 22:42:37	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0x31ab7f…
03-30 20:30:47	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x318a74…
03-30 13:02:28	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x115b1a…
03-30 04:22:56	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	172	95¢	$164	0xcf7f82…
03-29 19:05:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x012a1a…
03-29 19:02:04	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	110	95¢	$105	0x63a5b8…
03-29 19:01:48	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	62	95¢	$59	0x593508…
03-29 17:41:02	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	174	95¢	$166	0x85ae68…
03-29 13:21:52	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	174	95¢	$166	0x3d5f9c…
03-28 19:30:56	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	176	96¢	$169	0x6b6207…
03-28 12:51:33	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	176	97¢	$170	0x4b892b…
03-28 04:30:01	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	177	96¢	$169	0x0df2e5…
03-27 19:49:27	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	177	95¢	$169	0x70383c…
03-27 12:47:01	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	181	98¢	$177	0x7e856b…
03-27 07:15:53	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	83	97¢	$81	0xfc012a…
03-27 07:08:27	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	99	97¢	$96	0xef522b…
03-27 05:56:17	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	176	97¢	$170	0xe3e2ee…