Realized P&L
-$133
Unrealized P&L
+$52
Hit rate
11.7%
Resolved
246
Trades
756
lifetime
Volume
$5.54K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$470
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-23
last 09-17 05:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
60% 18% -$92
Politics
34% 7% -$36
Sports
4% 9% -$2
Tech
1% 0% -$4
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 271 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? No +50 $43 99¢ $49 +$6 08-31 05:05
GTA VI released by November 30? Yes +30 $27 99¢ $30 +$3 08-26 11:48
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? No +34 $27 76¢ $26 -$1 09-01 02:45
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +30 $15 68¢ $21 +$6 08-26 12:11
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +20 $14 99¢ $20 +$6 08-31 15:00
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +20 $19 97¢ $19 +$1 09-01 02:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +20 $17 97¢ $19 +$3 08-24 08:03
Will Mike Lee vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +20 $15 96¢ $19 +$5 08-31 02:39
Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat? Yes +20 $11 95¢ $19 +$8 08-31 02:59
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +20 $19 95¢ $19 +$0 09-01 02:46
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? No +20 $17 94¢ $19 +$2 09-05 00:35
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? No +19 $11 100¢ $19 +$8 09-01 02:44
will hyperliquid reach 120 by december 31 2026 No +20 $15 93¢ $19 +$4 08-31 01:47
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +20 $12 92¢ $18 +$7 08-31 02:16
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +20 $10 80¢ $16 +$6 08-31 03:50
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +20 $19 80¢ $16 -$3 08-31 03:47
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +20 $14 70¢ $14 +$0 08-24 15:21
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026? No +20 $14 68¢ $14 $0 09-01 03:59
No one announced as next James Bond? No +15 $12 86¢ $13 +$1 08-23 15:30
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? Yes +16 $9 73¢ $12 +$2 08-27 12:01
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? No +30 $16 32¢ $9 -$7 08-26 12:11
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +9 $7 98¢ $9 +$2 08-24 18:01
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed? Yes +34 $7 24¢ $8 +$1 08-31 18:37
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 96¢ $7 +$2 09-01 02:47
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +10 $5 68¢ $7 +$2 08-31 19:21
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? No +10 $8 65¢ $7 -$2 09-01 02:47
Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $7 32¢ $6 -$1 09-03 02:45
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $6 30¢ $6 $0 08-24 15:21
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +10 $9 57¢ $6 -$3 08-24 18:50
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? No +16 $7 27¢ $4 -$2 08-27 14:54