Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
813
lifetime
Volume
$2.82K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$145
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-20 14:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
56% 0% $-14
Other
33% 0% $-1
Sports
9%
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -46 $-40 94¢ $-43 $-3 06-10 05:01
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No -28 $-23 82¢ $-23 +$0 06-10 05:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -19 $-16 88¢ $-17 $-1 06-10 05:01
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -16 $-11 84¢ $-13 $-2 06-07 19:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-11 $-1 06-10 05:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -12 $-10 94¢ $-11 $-1 06-10 05:01
Trump out as President before 2027? No -12 $-11 94¢ $-11 $-1 06-10 05:01
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -10 $-9 94¢ $-9 $-1 06-10 05:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -3 $-3 100¢ $-3 $-0 06-18 11:38
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +49 $5 $2 $-3 06-05 04:42
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 $-0 06-06 19:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -15 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-20 13:42