Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

19.8%

Resolved

Trades

266

lifetime

Volume

$2.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$54

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-29 21:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Politics

43% 6% -$28

Other

40% 26% -$27

Tech

7% 67% +$1

Sports

6% 0% -$1

Crypto

4% 0% -$23

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+35	$34	97¢	$34	$0	10-29 21:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+21	$20	97¢	$20	$0	10-29 13:55
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	-20	-$1	3¢	$-1	+$1	06-05 02:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	11	$118	107	87	+20	No	$0	08-12 19:50
iran military action against a gulf state on july 10 20260708212322935	11	$118	120	100	+20	No	$0	07-12 18:44
will patient zero hit 35m first week streams	2	$93	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	09-29 14:21
will nvidia be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 20260731211505805	2	$92	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	08-10 20:35
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt3 before 2027	2	$90	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	09-29 11:35
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	9	$80	97	77	+20	No	$0	08-12 20:08
will viggo bjorck be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346479	7	$78	60	60	+0	No	$0	06-26 07:00
will trump say police this week 20260703145736714	5	$75	50	30	+20	Yes	-$19	07-12 13:43
grok 4pt6 released by august 21 2026	4	$75	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	08-11 09:08
will trump be said 10 times during the next episode of the storytime with the second lady podcast 20260625203401067	9	$59	50	50	+0	No	$0	06-28 06:09
will bank of america say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260710144833029	5	$58	60	60	+0	Yes	$0	07-11 10:34
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	2	$50	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	06-29 01:56
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	7	$42	80	60	+20	No	-$1	08-12 20:08
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$41	21	21	+0	No	+$1	02-09 14:43
gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	4	$40	40	40	+0	No	$0	08-12 02:30
iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	4	$40	40	40	+0	No	+$0	07-13 02:07
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	6	$39	60	60	+0	No	$0	08-13 01:49
will keaton verhoeff be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347235	4	$39	40	40	+0	No	$0	06-26 23:51
Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	6	$39	60	60	+0	No	-$1	08-12 06:01
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	4	$39	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	07-11 12:32
iran successfully targets shipping on july 7 20260625225210248	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$0	06-26 14:42
untitled market 1 20260625224941800	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-26 10:49
will xauusd reach 4150 by september 28 2026	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	09-29 07:25
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?	4	$38	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	08-13 01:42
will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 9 2026 20260630182730887	6	$38	40	20	+20	No	-$1	07-11 13:19
will mrbeast say technology during his next youtube video 20260702154826889	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	$0	07-12 02:16
will lambdas valuation hit low 7b by june 30	3	$38	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-26 04:10
Will Allison Janney – “The Diplomat” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?	2	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	07-16 07:08
Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	$0	08-13 10:13
will xauusd reach 4650 by august 10 2026	2	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	08-11 08:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 21:29:52	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x4f8140…
10-29 13:55:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x1e6866…
09-30 01:49:17	Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xda8081…
09-29 14:21:11	will patient zero hit 35m first week streams	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x424c0b…
09-29 11:35:57	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt3 before 2027	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x3277c3…
09-29 11:22:38	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt3 before 2027	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x6973ac…
09-29 09:13:50	will patient zero hit 35m first week streams	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x88268b…
09-29 07:25:02	will xauusd reach 4150 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xdda639…
09-29 07:01:03	will xauusd reach 4150 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xb21c69…
09-29 06:41:12	Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xedeb1f…
08-13 10:13:58	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xf7a57c…
08-13 01:49:30	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x171583…
08-13 01:42:51	Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xfe1473…
08-12 21:51:31	Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xd37973…
08-12 20:08:34	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8cbca3…
08-12 20:08:18	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x90d3ba…
08-12 19:50:39	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfd0527…
08-12 19:50:07	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xffbcfc…
08-12 18:41:24	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xbd8131…
08-12 17:10:12	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x91c8dc…
08-12 17:08:48	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0xc9a613…
08-12 16:43:16	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x00234c…
08-12 16:33:39	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xbd8921…
08-12 16:32:21	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x0bdcc2…
08-12 16:11:03	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xad0a4b…
08-12 15:52:10	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xaefece…
08-12 15:48:52	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x481baf…
08-12 15:42:09	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x7e7bad…
08-12 14:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9d937d…
08-12 10:41:21	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x712b41…
08-12 10:41:12	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x0cc941…
08-12 10:41:00	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xdd057c…
08-12 10:40:42	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x3e2e5b…
08-12 09:52:18	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x72d6cc…
08-12 09:49:49	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe6c3f7…
08-12 09:47:30	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x40a959…
08-12 09:44:34	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xab50e0…
08-12 09:35:04	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xddb3e9…
08-12 09:31:33	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x2025a2…
08-12 09:25:15	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x150056…
08-12 09:23:16	Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xf05737…
08-12 09:22:03	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x42b650…
08-12 09:21:37	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 0.2%?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xc4cf0d…
08-12 09:20:10	Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x9b0200…
08-12 08:56:46	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x042a74…
08-12 08:54:16	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6883f6…
08-12 08:33:12	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x3dfec0…
08-12 08:33:00	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x17c31a…
08-12 08:31:51	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa256f8…
08-12 08:30:57	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5e39b8…
08-12 06:52:30	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xbecebf…
08-12 06:42:46	Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xec4f5a…
08-12 06:21:13	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x7d5315…
08-12 06:01:49	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xba2600…
08-12 05:35:58	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xdde52f…
08-12 05:33:24	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x2d69be…
08-12 04:32:07	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb54d22…
08-12 04:24:55	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xf2934e…
08-12 04:24:49	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x3d38b9…
08-12 04:24:46	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xbe2e35…
08-12 04:11:03	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x32c9e2…
08-12 04:10:33	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x11b1de…
08-12 03:56:54	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x83d077…
08-12 03:35:49	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 6%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xb101d7…
08-12 03:35:40	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 2–3%?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc597d0…
08-12 03:35:21	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 4–5%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xed739d…
08-12 03:33:58	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xa20397…
08-12 03:29:34	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 4–5%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xed074d…
08-12 03:29:33	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–2%?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x2d8dbf…
08-12 03:29:27	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x39ac4c…
08-12 03:28:30	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 6%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x63a03d…
08-12 03:28:24	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 5–6%?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8db614…
08-12 02:31:09	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xb7986a…
08-12 02:30:52	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x660597…
08-12 02:22:36	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb7b045…
08-11 23:03:30	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x64c477…
08-11 12:20:25	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x09adcb…
08-11 12:18:45	Will Kevin Hermening be the WI-07 Republican nominee?	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x685cae…
08-11 12:14:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xbcdc90…
08-11 11:49:09	Will Kevin Hermening be the WI-07 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x5a8cc7…
08-11 11:03:46	wti closes above 80 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x24d099…
08-11 10:43:06	will rklb dip to 74 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x83c4a8…
08-11 10:22:54	gemini 4pt0 released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xc38338…
08-11 09:08:09	grok 4pt6 released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xd61d75…
08-11 08:47:28	will xauusd reach 4650 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x647d3e…
08-11 08:13:07	will rklb dip to 74 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x85444f…
08-11 06:03:12	grok 4pt6 released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x4696fd…
08-11 03:54:22	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xbe1568…
08-11 03:53:12	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xd356d8…
08-11 03:52:57	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xeda3f4…
08-11 03:52:49	DOGE Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x61035e…
08-11 03:51:18	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-11 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xa496b8…
08-11 03:41:09	grok 4pt6 released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x918ad4…
08-11 03:25:27	grok 4pt6 released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x603e4f…
08-11 02:42:45	Will "THIS & THAT - Stray Kids" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 22?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x603599…
08-11 02:41:10	Will "THIS & THAT - Stray Kids" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of August 22?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x02af8b…
08-11 02:40:48	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x77692f…
08-11 02:34:57	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x37f264…
08-11 02:03:49	will helaena targaryen die in the house of the dragon season 3 finale 20260807034401070	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xd03e25…
08-11 02:03:36	Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum pass?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xee77b2…