Muddy-Watercress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.75K

Unrealized P&L

-$49

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

3,089

Trades

8,937

lifetime

Volume

$603.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$359

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 11-10 10:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 243 days

Categories

Other

98% 65% +$1,442

Politics

2% 80% +$309

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov	Marvin Moeller		+375	$335	84¢	$317	-$18	11-10 17:11
Sopo: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julieta Pareja	Lucia Bronzetti		+100	$73	42¢	$42	-$30	11-10 16:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp mccabe matsuok 2026 03 25	20	$16.4K	8,929	8,929	+0	Hayato Matsuoka	+$809	03-26 07:25
atp hsu shimizu 2026 03 25	20	$16.0K	8,861	8,861	+0	Yuta Shimizu	+$117	03-26 10:25
atp janvier villalo 2026 03 25	24	$7.0K	3,703	3,703	+0	Nicolas Villalon	+$218	03-25 19:32
atp acosta dellien 2026 03 25	112	$6.9K	5,195	2,000	+3,195	Hugo Dellien	+$301	03-25 20:25
wta hercog korpats 2026 03 25	148	$5.6K	4,545	4,545	+0	Polona Hercog	-$2,457	03-26 21:44
wta kalinin brancac 2026 03 26	3	$4.4K	2,251	2,251	+0	Anhelina Kalinina	+$134	03-26 10:34
atp caniato muller 2026 03 25	7	$4.2K	2,497	2,497	+0	Alexandre Muller	+$4	03-26 12:09
Porto: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Marco Cecchinato	29	$3.8K	4,226	603	+3,623	Alejandro Moro Canas	-$5	09-03 13:34
atp chidekh midon 2026 08 20	6	$3.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Clement Chidekh	-$349	08-20 20:26
atp gentzsc romano 2026 03 25	9	$3.4K	2,548	975	+1,573	Tom Gentzsch	-$5	03-27 14:19
atp wong hong 2026 08 11	24	$3.2K	2,200	1,100	+1,100	Coleman Wong	+$77	08-11 17:00
Madrid Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Titouan Droguet	28	$3.1K	2,233	2,217	+15	Titouan Droguet	-$278	04-20 12:58
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$30	06-20 18:13
atp added onclin 2026 09 28	3	$2.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	Gauthier Onclin	+$120	09-28 16:56
atp choinsk daniel 2026 08 20	19	$2.9K	2,940	140	+2,800	Taro Daniel	-$49	08-20 21:02
atp khachan harris 2026 06 29	11	$2.7K	2,797	0	+2,797	Karen Khachanov	+$60	06-30 16:39
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 gal	3	$2.4K	2,000	400	+1,600	No	+$2	03-18 23:30
atp shin jon 2026 04 16	53	$2.4K	1,997	889	+1,108	San-Hui Shin	+$106	04-16 07:06
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$2.3K	2,716	0	+2,716	Yes	+$368	09-15 19:43
wta ferro hodzic 2026 07 24	5	$2.1K	2,126	0	+2,126	Fiona Ferro	+$11	07-24 20:56
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	3	$2.1K	1,036	1,036	+0	No	+$1	03-19 22:06
atp medjedo sakella 2026 03 26	4	$2.0K	2,395	395	+2,000	Hamad Medjedovic	-$1,829	03-26 10:51
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$2.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$50	10-26 14:50
Will Júbilo Iwata win on 2026-08-16?	2	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$6	08-16 10:21
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?	2	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$24	10-18 13:18
Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Tommy Paul	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Tommy Paul	+$40	05-27 19:05
atp ma gomez 2026 08 11	2	$1.8K	2,076	0	+2,076	Federico Agustin Gomez	+$246	08-11 11:26
atp safiull houkes 2026 03 27	5	$1.8K	950	950	+0	Roman Safiullin	+$118	03-27 16:58
atp cerundo nava 2026 02 27	4	$1.6K	901	901	-0	Francisco Cerundolo	+$163	02-27 20:47
Roanne: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Liam Broady	2	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	+$14	10-12 15:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 17:11:49	Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov	Marvin Moeller	SELL	125	84¢	$105	0x80126d…
11-10 16:09:57	Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov	Marvin Moeller	BUY	87	88¢	$77	0x7ffefc…
11-10 16:08:43	Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov	Marvin Moeller	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x074a5c…
11-10 16:07:00	Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov	Marvin Moeller	BUY	204	88¢	$180	0xc59b0a…
11-10 16:05:57	Monastir: Marvin Moeller vs Nikolai Barsukov	Marvin Moeller	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xd512f8…
11-10 16:03:16	Sopo: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julieta Pareja	Lucia Bronzetti	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x56aac2…
11-10 10:10:40	Hersonissos 3: Felix Gill vs Menelaos Efstathiou	Felix Gill	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x449193…
11-10 10:03:04	Hersonissos 3: Karim Bennani vs Sumit Nagal	Sumit Nagal	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xe7e9cb…
11-10 09:58:27	Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Dino Prizmic	Dino Prizmic	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x924c40…
11-10 09:27:09	Brisbane 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Alex Bolt	Alex Bolt	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x7fb6e1…
11-09 18:48:12	Lima: Miguel Tobon vs Henrique Rocha	Henrique Rocha	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xa55806…
11-09 14:40:33	Monastir: Moise Kouame vs Robert Strombachs	Moise Kouame	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x632775…
11-09 13:52:13	Game Spread: Tomas Machac (-3.5) vs Borna Gojo (+3.5)	Borna Gojo	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x35f2b9…
11-09 13:25:36	Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut	Luka Mikrut	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x0f4c3c…
11-09 13:12:48	Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut	Luka Mikrut	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xb1d8ed…
11-09 13:04:18	Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut	Luka Mikrut	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x30b4f0…
11-09 13:03:07	Monastir: Sandro Kopp vs Luka Mikrut	Luka Mikrut	BUY	54	72¢	$39	0x56a851…
11-09 12:56:39	BNP Paribas Nordic Open: James Duckworth vs Cameron Norrie	Cameron Norrie	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0xc033b0…
11-09 12:23:19	BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Yannick Hanfmann	Alex Michelsen	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x9dcc15…
11-08 15:19:25	Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	600	96¢	$576	0x220cb0…
11-08 15:17:03	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xc44719…
11-08 15:16:15	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-08?	No	BUY	875	99¢	$865	0xf706b0…
11-08 14:38:51	Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	600	98¢	$587	0x0c22a6…
11-08 14:14:42	Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	500	99¢	$495	0xbc87d5…
11-08 14:14:28	Bratislava 2: Jerome Kym vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	1,000	99¢	$988	0x51472c…
11-08 13:39:03	BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x7a5260…
11-08 11:44:13	BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Alexander Shevchenko	Jacob Fearnley	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x028dff…
10-26 21:08:09	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,088	92¢	$1,001	0xa2b99b…
10-26 21:04:45	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	658	92¢	$606	0xb6a969…
10-26 21:04:44	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	430	92¢	$395	0x6e8f32…
10-26 14:50:14	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1,500	65¢	$975	0x6fa5d3…
10-25 07:55:39	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Sayaka Ishii vs Yulia Putintseva	Yulia Putintseva	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x915642…
10-25 07:55:39	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Sayaka Ishii vs Yulia Putintseva	Yulia Putintseva	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x76653f…
10-25 07:55:38	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Sayaka Ishii vs Yulia Putintseva	Yulia Putintseva	BUY	275	99¢	$273	0x29f47e…
10-25 07:51:48	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Sayaka Ishii vs Yulia Putintseva	Yulia Putintseva	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x66a402…
10-24 16:57:05	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	SSC Napoli	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x35fe6a…
10-24 16:54:32	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Remy Bertola vs Jakub Paul	Remy Bertola	BUY	676	100¢	$675	0xbc8a34…
10-24 16:54:30	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Remy Bertola vs Jakub Paul	Remy Bertola	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xd943ce…
10-24 16:53:45	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Remy Bertola vs Jakub Paul	Remy Bertola	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf4313e…
10-24 16:53:45	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Remy Bertola vs Jakub Paul	Remy Bertola	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9ab33c…
10-24 16:53:45	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Remy Bertola vs Jakub Paul	Remy Bertola	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x04d179…
10-24 07:52:02	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Ekaterine Gorgodze	Tatiana Prozorova	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xfcf35c…
10-24 06:27:17	Kashima Antlers vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2c898c…
10-23 09:16:32	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	68¢	$680	0x44e0ae…
10-23 08:37:00	Almaty Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs James Duckworth	Stefanos Tsitsipas	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xbaef62…
10-23 08:13:41	Almaty Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs James Duckworth	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x0b1349…
10-22 18:41:59	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xa211fd…
10-22 18:40:08	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0xdc7b64…
10-22 17:11:57	Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)	SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x1ea92a…
10-22 17:10:18	Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x4698fd…
10-18 13:18:18	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	1,853	99¢	$1,831	0xc92913…
10-18 13:18:17	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	147	99¢	$145	0xf95231…
10-18 13:09:45	Olbia: Jacob Fearnley vs Damir Dzumhur	Jacob Fearnley	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x974686…
10-18 13:05:17	Olbia: Jacob Fearnley vs Damir Dzumhur	Jacob Fearnley	BUY	66	70¢	$46	0xa99853…
10-18 10:08:23	Almaty Open, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Stefanos Sakellaridis	Stefanos Sakellaridis	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x3986b6…
10-18 09:26:35	Lyon Open, Qualification: Jurij Rodionov vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x5dae7c…
10-18 09:08:32	Catania: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Radu Mihai Papoe	Radu Mihai Papoe	BUY	44	42¢	$19	0xd7a267…
10-18 08:48:50	Guangzhou: Kasidit Samrej vs Naoya Honda	Kasidit Samrej	BUY	23	72¢	$17	0xe1d8db…
10-18 08:48:50	Guangzhou: Kasidit Samrej vs Naoya Honda	Kasidit Samrej	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x2f799e…
10-18 08:48:30	Guangzhou: Kasidit Samrej vs Naoya Honda	Kasidit Samrej	BUY	31	72¢	$22	0xe0af9b…
10-18 08:47:44	Guangzhou: Kasidit Samrej vs Naoya Honda	Kasidit Samrej	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xb90241…
10-18 08:47:32	Guangzhou: Kasidit Samrej vs Naoya Honda	Kasidit Samrej	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xd959bb…
10-18 07:55:06	Guangzhou: Kasidit Samrej vs Naoya Honda	Kasidit Samrej	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x129f7b…
10-17 23:49:18	Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Claire Liu vs Maddison Inglis	Claire Liu	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xa31d6a…
10-17 23:22:54	atp jasika moriya 2026 10 18 match total 21pt5	Over	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x8dc0a5…
10-17 22:43:41	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Han Shi vs Alina Korneeva	Alina Korneeva	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xa875ee…
10-17 22:22:56	Ningbo Open, Qualification: Han Shi vs Alina Korneeva	Alina Korneeva	BUY	26	74¢	$19	0xa0a74e…
10-17 14:46:33	atp fearnle nardi 2026 10 17	Jacob Fearnley	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0xd28900…
10-17 14:46:27	atp fearnle nardi 2026 10 17	Jacob Fearnley	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x1ece17…
10-17 14:43:14	atp kjaer martin 2026 10 17	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	BUY	24	70¢	$16	0xaebf01…
10-17 14:41:06	atp kjaer martin 2026 10 17	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xba46da…
10-17 14:00:17	atp fearnle nardi 2026 10 17	Jacob Fearnley	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x04be66…
10-17 13:44:36	atp kjaer martin 2026 10 17	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x12c025…
10-17 13:37:00	atp shevche glinka 2026 10 17	Alexander Shevchenko	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x35d9fa…
10-17 13:08:29	atp fearnle nardi 2026 10 17	Jacob Fearnley	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x29b406…
10-17 12:33:26	atp shevche glinka 2026 10 17	Alexander Shevchenko	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x08935d…
10-17 12:14:39	atp gill papoe 2026 10 17	Radu Mihai Papoe	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x5db0dd…
10-17 12:10:50	atp biryuko sakella 2026 10 17	Stefanos Sakellaridis	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x65952f…
10-17 11:40:23	atp jodar medvede 2026 10 17	Rafael Jodar	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x5cfab2…
10-17 11:29:09	wta zidanse samson 2026 10 17	Laura Samson	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0xe539ed…
10-17 11:23:03	atp piros quilez 2026 10 17	Zsombor Piros	BUY	80	85¢	$68	0x324fd5…
10-17 09:39:12	atp pavlovi simakin 2026 10 17	Ilia Simakin	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x211039…
10-17 08:38:35	atp daniel basilas 2026 10 17	Nikoloz Basilashvili	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x25e134…
10-17 08:23:06	atp daniel basilas 2026 10 17	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x6c7fdf…
10-16 18:42:30	atp martin gueymar 2026 10 16	Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	SELL	141	64¢	$90	0x873809…
10-16 17:41:08	atp martin gueymar 2026 10 16	Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x410707…
10-16 08:25:06	Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Keegan Smith	Martin Landaluce	SELL	82	72¢	$59	0xa9d43d…
10-16 07:21:06	atp machac draxl 2026 10 16	Tomas Machac	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x368863…
10-16 07:12:58	Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings	Julia Grabher	BUY	98	61¢	$60	0xd3fb17…
10-16 06:20:09	Jinan: Martin Landaluce vs Keegan Smith	Martin Landaluce	BUY	82	73¢	$60	0x04ada1…
10-16 05:05:37	atp machac draxl 2026 10 16	Tomas Machac	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x216531…
10-15 21:04:06	wta svitoli kartal 2026 10 16	Elina Svitolina	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xadf07f…
10-15 20:57:15	wta shnaide ostapen 2026 10 15	Diana Shnaider	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x170a70…
10-15 20:21:36	atp roncade prado 2026 10 14	Juan Carlos Prado	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x2a33a2…
10-15 19:41:23	Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)	Olympique de Marseille	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x3199de…
10-15 16:30:16	Maia: Matej Dodig vs Lukas Neumayer	Matej Dodig	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x7a656b…
10-15 11:06:31	Lisbon: Francisca Jorge vs Francesca Jones	Francesca Jones	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x4d1e2b…
10-15 10:36:28	wta gormaz serban 2026 10 14	Leyre Romero Gormaz	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0x8d854e…
10-15 10:35:31	wta gormaz serban 2026 10 14	Leyre Romero Gormaz	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xdf8049…
10-15 07:48:25	atp gentzsc kravche 2026 10 15	Tom Gentzsch	BUY	121	66¢	$80	0xc0be22…