Muddy-Sherbet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

110

lifetime

Volume

$8.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

$45

1 position

First seen

2026-03-11

last 06-19 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

40% 0% $-1

Sports

29% 0% $-0

Crypto

14% — —

Politics

12% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+46	$45	98¢	$45	+$1	06-12 16:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$945	490	490	+0	No	$-0	03-31 23:33
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	9	$580	303	303	+0	open	—	03-22 11:44
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	6	$580	297	297	+0	open	—	03-17 02:55
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$570	301	301	+0	Yes	$-1	03-30 00:42
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	3	$314	164	164	+0	open	—	03-12 07:38
will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$304	157	157	+0	open	—	03-16 12:58
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	2	$292	153	153	+0	open	—	03-18 12:22
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$287	153	153	+0	open	—	03-15 22:22
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	3	$280	144	144	+0	open	—	03-26 16:36
will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$277	142	142	+0	open	—	03-19 03:03
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$276	144	144	+0	open	—	03-25 17:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	2	$263	137	137	+0	open	—	04-24 23:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$261	134	134	+0	open	—	03-28 19:32
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$259	136	136	+0	open	—	03-26 10:31
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$256	135	135	+0	open	—	03-26 22:39
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$247	133	133	+0	open	—	04-27 12:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$224	115	115	+0	open	—	04-10 07:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	4	$212	110	110	+0	open	—	05-21 01:23
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$183	95	95	+0	open	—	04-27 20:49
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$182	95	95	+0	open	—	04-09 08:06
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	2	$133	72	72	+0	open	—	06-19 19:54
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$126	67	67	+0	open	—	06-17 12:43
will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	2	$123	67	67	+0	open	—	06-18 16:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$121	64	64	+0	open	—	06-19 06:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$120	63	63	+0	open	—	06-11 18:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	2	$119	61	61	+0	open	—	04-15 17:57
Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$118	61	61	+0	open	—	06-09 09:12
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$113	58	58	+0	open	—	06-05 13:02
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	2	$105	56	56	+0	open	—	04-12 10:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$102	54	54	+0	open	—	05-20 20:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 19:54:20	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	72	92¢	$67	0x35551e…
06-19 12:51:32	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	72	90¢	$66	0x17cb99…
06-19 06:37:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	94¢	$60	0xb0a220…
06-19 01:32:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0xc33658…
06-18 16:23:38	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	SELL	67	91¢	$61	0x5f8224…
06-18 12:16:50	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0xd27409…
06-17 12:43:28	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	67	94¢	$63	0x8dd6c3…
06-17 04:36:50	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	67	95¢	$63	0x862005…
06-16 20:16:52	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	SELL	38	93¢	$36	0xaaec88…
06-16 15:13:55	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0xb63e32…
06-15 20:47:09	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0xa7ae55…
06-15 16:41:24	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	52	92¢	$47	0x18548a…
06-15 08:25:52	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x3f30bf…
06-15 04:17:57	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf23687…
06-12 16:54:40	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$45	0x3d1bb7…
06-11 18:44:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	63	94¢	$59	0x8a9e65…
06-11 10:43:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xd60dce…
06-10 13:58:49	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0xe5e1b5…
06-10 05:47:07	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	BUY	46	96¢	$45	0x863f85…
06-09 09:12:52	Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	61	96¢	$58	0xf1a8c2…
06-07 09:35:55	Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0x2b7f71…
06-05 13:02:36	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0x347b41…
06-05 06:45:07	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x4b213d…
06-05 06:37:58	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xfef595…
05-21 01:23:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	59	98¢	$57	0xcb866b…
05-20 21:17:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	59	98¢	$57	0x48d2f3…
05-20 20:41:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	54	93¢	$50	0x43f155…
05-20 16:39:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0x3e4b5c…
05-18 09:58:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	92¢	$49	0x686c08…
05-18 04:56:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0xbc18da…
05-15 15:02:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	51	95¢	$48	0xd9aac9…
05-15 08:50:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xf060bb…
04-27 20:49:14	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$45	0x026052…
04-27 12:39:38	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$45	0x015a61…
04-27 12:26:42	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	133	94¢	$125	0x8b8413…
04-27 04:22:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	133	93¢	$123	0x022772…
04-24 23:40:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	137	96¢	$132	0x2bddd4…
04-24 16:26:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	137	96¢	$131	0x6279f6…
04-19 04:32:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0x6dd060…
04-18 19:57:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$41	0x8e2491…
04-15 17:57:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	SELL	61	97¢	$59	0xdbc5ce…
04-15 08:52:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xa12500…
04-14 03:55:07	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0xe897d0…
04-13 19:45:29	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0xaaf77c…
04-12 10:59:03	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	56	93¢	$52	0x055a10…
04-12 04:36:15	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0x6f9911…
04-12 02:36:27	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$46	0x9b7dc3…
04-11 20:36:03	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x49f1fe…
04-10 07:02:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xc349d2…
04-09 20:48:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xee1586…
04-09 18:05:59	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x92d3d9…
04-09 09:18:35	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xdde131…
04-09 08:06:23	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	57	96¢	$55	0x93bd63…
04-09 02:37:05	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	57	96¢	$55	0x59b530…
04-09 02:11:57	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$36	0x1702ec…
04-08 20:51:21	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0xbc8123…
03-31 23:33:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0xd04050…
03-31 19:09:07	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x5d6e41…
03-30 17:48:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0x4e368a…
03-30 09:23:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x9781f4…
03-30 00:42:28	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	139	95¢	$132	0x9027c4…
03-29 19:55:48	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	139	96¢	$133	0xa19343…
03-28 19:32:38	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	134	98¢	$131	0xf4c223…
03-28 12:05:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0xc34790…
03-26 22:39:25	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	135	95¢	$128	0x6b2eb2…
03-26 17:08:37	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	135	95¢	$128	0x48acd2…
03-26 16:36:47	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	144	98¢	$140	0xd05f89…
03-26 12:01:25	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0xf0192d…
03-26 12:00:41	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x74736d…
03-26 10:31:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	136	94¢	$128	0x6fed74…
03-26 03:28:17	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	136	96¢	$131	0x898a7d…
03-25 17:30:05	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	144	95¢	$137	0xd7edf5…
03-25 10:37:57	will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	144	97¢	$139	0xf97994…
03-24 19:44:53	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	148	97¢	$143	0x09410f…
03-24 11:13:07	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	148	97¢	$143	0x2b2781…
03-22 11:44:43	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	SELL	155	96¢	$149	0xb4ed42…
03-22 06:05:43	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x157228…
03-22 06:05:37	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0x7655c1…
03-22 05:17:05	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	52	96¢	$49	0xc9b9b8…
03-22 05:14:25	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x5248b4…
03-21 18:11:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	152	96¢	$146	0x7a8966…
03-21 12:00:59	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	152	96¢	$146	0x70f0e2…
03-20 04:45:31	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	SELL	148	96¢	$142	0xcb1baf…
03-19 20:38:53	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x23c7e5…
03-19 20:31:45	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x3fce47…
03-19 20:24:49	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xd01fca…
03-19 10:35:47	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	149	96¢	$143	0xf16abf…
03-19 05:27:05	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$37	0x87b9f9…
03-19 05:26:59	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	110	96¢	$106	0x316184…
03-19 03:03:05	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	142	97¢	$138	0xb7c967…
03-18 18:49:29	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	142	98¢	$139	0xbab0a1…
03-18 12:22:13	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	153	95¢	$145	0x0a33cb…
03-18 05:01:45	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	153	96¢	$147	0xa86291…
03-17 20:23:19	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	162	94¢	$153	0xde38b3…
03-17 14:20:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	131	94¢	$124	0xe42f75…
03-17 14:19:33	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xde221c…
03-17 14:19:33	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x54bca0…
03-17 02:55:01	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	145	97¢	$141	0x83495f…
03-16 19:50:03	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xe2b01d…
03-16 19:47:07	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0xbc644a…