Realized P&L
+$127
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
88.6%
Resolved
71
Trades
109
lifetime
Volume
$1.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$173
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 11-05 13:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
44% 74% -$22
Tech
43% 96% +$133
Politics
7% 80% +$8
Crypto
5% 100% +$5
Pop-Culture
2% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +23 $20 98¢ $22 +$2 08-06 17:51
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +23 $15 88¢ $20 +$5 08-06 17:35
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes +25 $20 80¢ $20 $0 11-05 13:09
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? Yes — +25 $20 80¢ $20 $0 11-05 13:09
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? No — +23 $20 87¢ $20 $0 11-05 13:10
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027? Yes — +24 $20 80¢ $20 $0 11-05 13:09
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes — +22 $20 83¢ $18 -$2 11-05 13:10
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +24 $20 72¢ $17 -$3 09-07 19:58
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +16 $15 98¢ $16 +$1 08-06 17:30