Appropriate-Plier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$278

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

$121

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-30 10:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

60% 0% $-236

Other

20% 0% $-42

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+129	$119	94¢	$121	+$2	06-17 15:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	9	$2.9K	4,728	3,728	+1,000	open	—	06-30 10:20
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$986	3,653	3,653	+0	open	—	06-17 13:34
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	9	$674	1,100	300	+800	open	—	05-12 07:24
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$643	699	0	+699	open	—	05-29 08:43
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	1	$598	687	0	+687	open	—	04-04 13:20
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	14	$551	920	920	+0	open	—	06-30 10:15
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	25	$535	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	06-17 15:11
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	28	$494	3,238	1,976	+1,262	open	—	05-23 07:15
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	11	$464	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	06-17 13:36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	16	$410	3,852	2,300	+1,552	open	—	05-12 07:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$370	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-12 07:24
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$370	400	0	+400	open	—	04-10 08:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$292	300	0	+300	open	—	04-04 13:21
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$244	123	123	+0	open	—	03-26 23:17
will nvda dip to 168 in february	4	$209	400	400	+0	open	—	02-18 01:37
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	1	$204	206	0	+206	open	—	01-15 17:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$164	0	400	-400	Yes	$-236	02-17 16:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$119	129	0	+129	open	—	06-17 15:12
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$110	116	0	+116	open	—	01-15 17:36
fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	1	$110	116	0	+116	open	—	01-15 17:37
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$97	100	0	+100	open	—	04-10 02:35
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	1	$92	100	0	+100	open	—	05-29 08:43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	9	$84	200	200	+0	open	—	05-23 07:04
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	12	$75	150	30	+120	open	—	05-12 02:32
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	8	$28	50	100	-50	Up	$-42	05-11 08:02
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$14	7,156	0	+7,156	open	—	01-15 17:37
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	03-26 23:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 10:20:17	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	486	33¢	$160	0x713572…
06-30 10:18:20	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	892	33¢	$294	0xb77616…
06-30 10:16:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	350	35¢	$122	0x40c660…
06-30 10:16:56	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	2,000	34¢	$673	0x94a6e7…
06-30 10:15:53	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	4,113	35¢	$1,440	0xe000fa…
06-30 10:15:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	140	31¢	$43	0x271b9e…
06-30 10:08:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	295	30¢	$88	0x759ab5…
06-30 09:41:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x6aa005…
06-30 09:40:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	76	29¢	$22	0x8676b5…
06-30 09:24:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	104	31¢	$32	0xb39840…
06-30 09:05:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xbf78c6…
06-30 09:03:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0xb76f8d…
06-30 09:00:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x2b62e8…
06-30 08:52:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	138	31¢	$43	0x5c8b15…
06-30 08:38:35	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	60	34¢	$20	0xdcd9eb…
06-30 08:38:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	60	31¢	$19	0x158606…
06-30 07:15:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	101	31¢	$31	0x251d61…
06-30 06:11:08	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	45	34¢	$15	0x0217a7…
06-30 03:36:13	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x6d79f2…
06-30 03:21:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	300	29¢	$87	0xe770be…
06-30 03:21:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	300	29¢	$87	0x4b191f…
06-30 02:58:13	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	500	35¢	$175	0x37f5a0…
06-17 15:12:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	129	92¢	$119	0x5f69d8…
06-17 15:11:14	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	168	13¢	$21	0x9b1331…
06-17 15:04:32	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	76	14¢	$11	0x268d5b…
06-17 14:53:23	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x0406d7…
06-17 14:14:16	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	1,143	14¢	$160	0x1e3c01…
06-17 13:56:26	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	97	14¢	$14	0x1a07c8…
06-17 13:53:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xfe9741…
06-17 13:37:25	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	300	13¢	$39	0x8104ec…
06-17 13:36:08	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	1,200	9¢	$106	0x311c7b…
06-17 13:34:32	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,040	16¢	$167	0x71c034…
06-17 13:33:04	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	760	16¢	$124	0xad4bcb…
06-17 09:20:28	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,800	11¢	$203	0x1b2e14…
06-17 09:09:11	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	488	10¢	$49	0xbb9375…
06-17 07:09:19	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0xce3474…
06-17 05:18:56	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x0c1d3e…
06-17 05:12:02	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	712	10¢	$71	0x18d833…
06-17 05:11:38	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,853	13¢	$237	0x6b5596…
06-17 05:11:26	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,200	9¢	$112	0x9c7433…
06-17 05:08:23	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	294	16¢	$47	0x47ea47…
06-17 05:05:59	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	306	16¢	$49	0x3baef9…
06-17 04:47:07	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x9400e5…
06-17 04:46:50	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x13745e…
06-17 04:25:35	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	156	11¢	$17	0x1d6b85…
06-17 04:17:11	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	76	11¢	$8	0xb5de85…
06-17 04:14:22	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0xf2f0fa…
06-17 03:04:37	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	13¢	$80	0x02817e…
06-17 02:50:00	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	104	11¢	$11	0x7a05fc…
06-17 02:48:34	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x026041…
06-17 02:38:40	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0xbbbd37…
06-17 02:36:48	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	500	11¢	$54	0xfcedba…
06-17 02:33:34	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x7e33f0…
06-17 02:33:33	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xdbf784…
06-17 02:33:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x3c2daf…
06-17 02:32:03	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x6f1a6e…
06-17 02:30:06	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x35b005…
06-17 02:18:52	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	14¢	$82	0xfd25eb…
06-17 02:18:42	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xd1d9f4…
06-17 02:18:33	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xef6069…
06-17 02:16:27	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x69d4a7…
06-17 02:16:25	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xadf899…
06-17 02:16:25	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x87504f…
06-17 02:04:40	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	16	17¢	$3	0x08b5c5…
06-17 01:55:01	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	653	14¢	$91	0xe288eb…
05-29 08:43:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	699	92¢	$643	0xab51b0…
05-29 08:43:11	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x347ca4…
05-23 07:15:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0xc540b4…
05-23 07:14:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x937647…
05-23 07:10:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	129	10¢	$13	0x7cdcbe…
05-23 07:09:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xc15c7f…
05-23 07:09:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x2f5200…
05-23 07:05:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	47	10¢	$5	0x0ea94b…
05-23 07:04:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x16e19f…
05-23 07:03:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	64	25¢	$16	0x1b5555…
05-23 07:02:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x54b406…
05-23 07:01:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	99	25¢	$25	0x9aaa83…
05-23 06:57:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x34b27c…
05-23 06:55:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x2443bf…
05-23 06:54:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0xfa27c6…
05-23 05:37:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	1,114	10¢	$111	0x717d36…
05-23 05:06:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0x7d93a6…
05-23 04:38:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xc8d57a…
05-23 04:38:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x3fe07a…
05-23 04:38:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	1,485	9¢	$134	0x180a69…
05-23 04:37:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	59	10¢	$6	0x1c21af…
05-23 04:33:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	290	10¢	$29	0x055e17…
05-23 04:32:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x536c7d…
05-23 04:29:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x2007bd…
05-23 04:25:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x59c76e…
05-23 04:22:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xbea500…
05-23 04:22:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xc0bfb6…
05-23 04:20:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	199	17¢	$34	0xcd3462…
05-23 04:20:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x9adef5…
05-23 04:18:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x5f7614…
05-23 04:17:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	300	10¢	$30	0x923692…
05-23 04:16:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x9b5839…
05-23 04:16:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	91	10¢	$9	0x3e9015…
05-23 04:15:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xde3c09…
05-23 04:12:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xeef163…