Appropriate-Plier — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$278

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

110

lifetime

Volume

$5.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 05-29 08:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

42% 0% $-42

Crypto

37% — —

Politics

21% 0% $-236

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	9	$674	1,100	300	+800	open	—	05-12 07:24
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$643	699	0	+699	open	—	05-29 08:43
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	1	$598	687	0	+687	open	—	04-04 13:20
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	28	$494	3,238	1,976	+1,262	open	—	05-23 07:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	16	$410	3,852	2,300	+1,552	open	—	05-12 07:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$370	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-12 07:24
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$370	400	0	+400	open	—	04-10 08:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$292	300	0	+300	open	—	04-04 13:21
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$244	123	123	+0	open	—	03-26 23:17
will nvda dip to 168 in february	4	$209	400	400	+0	open	—	02-18 01:37
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 500k	1	$204	206	0	+206	open	—	01-15 17:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$164	0	400	-400	Yes	$-236	02-17 16:52
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$110	116	0	+116	open	—	01-15 17:36
fed rate cut by january 2026 meeting 412	1	$110	116	0	+116	open	—	01-15 17:37
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$97	100	0	+100	open	—	04-10 02:35
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	1	$92	100	0	+100	open	—	05-29 08:43
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	9	$84	200	200	+0	open	—	05-23 07:04
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	12	$75	150	30	+120	open	—	05-12 02:32
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	8	$28	50	100	-50	Up	$-42	05-11 08:02
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$14	7,156	0	+7,156	open	—	01-15 17:37
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	03-26 23:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 08:43:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	699	92¢	$643	0xab51b0…
05-29 08:43:11	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x347ca4…
05-23 07:15:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	44	10¢	$4	0xc540b4…
05-23 07:14:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x937647…
05-23 07:10:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	129	10¢	$13	0x7cdcbe…
05-23 07:09:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xc15c7f…
05-23 07:09:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x2f5200…
05-23 07:05:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	47	10¢	$5	0x0ea94b…
05-23 07:04:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x16e19f…
05-23 07:03:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	64	25¢	$16	0x1b5555…
05-23 07:02:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x54b406…
05-23 07:01:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	99	25¢	$25	0x9aaa83…
05-23 06:57:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x34b27c…
05-23 06:55:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x2443bf…
05-23 06:54:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0xfa27c6…
05-23 05:37:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	1,114	10¢	$111	0x717d36…
05-23 05:06:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0x7d93a6…
05-23 04:38:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xc8d57a…
05-23 04:38:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x3fe07a…
05-23 04:38:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	1,485	9¢	$134	0x180a69…
05-23 04:37:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	59	10¢	$6	0x1c21af…
05-23 04:33:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	290	10¢	$29	0x055e17…
05-23 04:32:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x536c7d…
05-23 04:29:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x2007bd…
05-23 04:25:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x59c76e…
05-23 04:22:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xbea500…
05-23 04:22:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0xc0bfb6…
05-23 04:20:17	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	199	17¢	$34	0xcd3462…
05-23 04:20:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x9adef5…
05-23 04:18:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x5f7614…
05-23 04:17:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	300	10¢	$30	0x923692…
05-23 04:16:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x9b5839…
05-23 04:16:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	91	10¢	$9	0x3e9015…
05-23 04:15:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xde3c09…
05-23 04:12:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xeef163…
05-23 04:12:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x0e40a5…
05-23 04:09:41	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	802	9¢	$72	0x516a0a…
05-23 04:07:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	6	9¢	$1	0x5dada7…
05-23 04:07:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	266	10¢	$27	0x489cd8…
05-12 07:57:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	1,200	7¢	$84	0x6e76cf…
05-12 07:24:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	17¢	$170	0x62e247…
05-12 07:24:13	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x01ca70…
05-12 07:03:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0x069e4c…
05-12 06:44:16	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	46¢	$138	0x5aab68…
05-12 05:33:20	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	284	47¢	$133	0x2a22ad…
05-12 04:06:46	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	53¢	$212	0xd97adf…
05-12 04:06:34	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	46¢	$51	0x5fdad9…
05-12 04:05:59	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x49a866…
05-12 04:02:11	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x19ed88…
05-12 03:50:50	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x186715…
05-12 03:49:47	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	277	46¢	$127	0x6747bb…
05-12 02:32:40	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0xa39cc0…
05-11 22:15:50	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x6a726b…
05-11 20:42:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	87	6¢	$5	0x44dd40…
05-11 20:42:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	326	6¢	$20	0xe6614c…
05-11 20:42:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	326	6¢	$20	0x48310c…
05-11 20:42:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	192	6¢	$12	0xdac42a…
05-11 20:42:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	68	6¢	$4	0xc8a6e1…
05-11 20:42:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	214	6¢	$13	0x8f019e…
05-11 20:42:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	221	6¢	$13	0x02cfde…
05-11 20:42:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	181	6¢	$11	0x45b1bc…
05-11 20:42:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	343	6¢	$21	0x7bfc12…
05-11 20:42:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	193	6¢	$12	0x7fea49…
05-11 19:46:07	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x9bd3a8…
05-11 18:49:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xefeb8e…
05-11 18:45:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	500	7¢	$35	0xd8935a…
05-11 18:38:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	20¢	$9	0x561caa…
05-11 18:37:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0x0d7c17…
05-11 18:35:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x5b7eb6…
05-11 18:34:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0xd8b6b4…
05-11 18:28:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x87c132…
05-11 18:28:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	663	20¢	$133	0xd259fb…
05-11 18:04:42	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x8b1ad5…
05-11 17:54:46	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xaa7619…
05-11 17:49:43	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xf39435…
05-11 17:45:15	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0xb63328…
05-11 17:43:32	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xb9bb52…
05-11 17:42:27	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xdb9df7…
05-11 17:38:57	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xa60461…
05-11 17:31:24	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xf9dad5…
05-11 17:28:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	600	7¢	$42	0xca874d…
05-11 17:26:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,100	7¢	$77	0x778dbd…
05-11 17:26:09	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x6b48d3…
05-11 08:02:48	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x724a6a…
05-11 08:01:25	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xd9269e…
05-11 07:52:00	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0xc056a7…
05-11 07:52:00	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0xaca4dd…
05-11 07:52:00	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0x05bcd0…
05-11 07:50:31	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x4e1793…
05-11 05:44:05	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xfdddf7…
05-11 05:32:12	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	46	21¢	$10	0x23aea0…
04-10 08:58:17	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	114	92¢	$106	0xbb2501…
04-10 07:56:23	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd4dd53…
04-10 07:55:39	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x415558…
04-10 04:40:13	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	267	93¢	$247	0x0b20bf…
04-10 02:35:09	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x5dbbc6…
04-04 13:21:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	300	97¢	$292	0x2dfea4…
04-04 13:20:23	Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	687	87¢	$598	0x6931e7…
03-26 23:18:59	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$13	0x833eb9…
03-26 23:17:41	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	123	99¢	$122	0x415027…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	19	$113.9K	1,961	06-01 11:57
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	16	$6.66M	11,257	06-01 11:56
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	13	$26.8K	271	05-30 20:33
Speedy-Bartender 0x4bf4…7021	12	$11.3K	317	05-21 21:39
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	12	$7.01K	2,680	04-22 15:17
Opulent-Right 0xb100…6461	11	$452.0K	1,302	05-31 22:13
Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb	11	$23.7K	585	05-31 20:09
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	11	$13.8K	3,910	05-31 04:00