Disguised-Administration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$234

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 06-01 22:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

62% 0% $-7

Other

25% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	2	$78	90	90	+0	open	—	05-03 11:29
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	2	$35	31	31	+0	open	—	05-03 11:30
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	2	$15	94	0	+94	open	—	05-02 13:50
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	70	0	+70	open	—	04-02 09:47
btc updown 5m 1776071100	1	$10	39	0	+39	open	—	04-13 09:07
btc updown 5m 1776071400	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	04-13 09:12
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	1	$10	56	0	+56	open	—	03-29 09:49
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$10	56	0	+56	open	—	04-13 09:16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$5	262	0	+262	No	$-5	05-03 11:37
another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-29 15:36
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	1	$5	45	0	+45	open	—	04-30 09:37
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	1	$5	42	0	+42	open	—	06-01 22:35
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?	1	$5	167	0	+167	open	—	06-01 22:35
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	2	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	04-29 15:43
James Comey arrested by May 15?	1	$4	57	0	+57	open	—	04-29 15:32
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	1	$3	294	0	+294	open	—	04-29 15:33
NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5	1	$3	517	0	+517	open	—	05-11 14:14
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	1	$3	166	0	+166	open	—	04-30 11:55
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?	2	$2	401	0	+401	Yes	$-2	05-07 11:42
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	1	$2	9	0	+9	open	—	04-29 15:43
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	1	$1	500	0	+500	open	—	05-07 11:41
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	1	$1	168	0	+168	open	—	05-07 11:41
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in April?	1	$1	111	0	+111	open	—	04-30 09:36
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	1	$1	125	0	+125	open	—	05-07 11:41
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	1	$1	147	0	+147	open	—	04-30 09:36
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	1	$1	333	0	+333	open	—	04-30 09:35
Will Trump talk to Masoud Pezeshkian in April?	1	$1	73	0	+73	open	—	04-30 09:36
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	1	$1	91	0	+91	open	—	05-07 11:42
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	1	$1	36	0	+36	open	—	04-29 15:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 22:35:35	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by May 31?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x8c3126…
06-01 22:35:09	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x8747b9…
05-11 14:14:12	NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Timberwolves Total Games O/U 5.5	Under 5.5	BUY	517	1¢	$3	0xf8951b…
05-07 11:42:53	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x79c9d5…
05-07 11:42:52	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?	No	BUY	201	0¢	$1	0xf29791…
05-07 11:42:01	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x96cb6f…
05-07 11:41:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xce2ce5…
05-07 11:41:31	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	168	1¢	$1	0x7c26eb…
05-07 11:41:21	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc53cf6…
05-03 11:37:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	262	2¢	$5	0xc6f00f…
05-03 11:30:20	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	31	79¢	$25	0xef92e1…
05-03 11:29:40	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	90	82¢	$73	0x323acd…
05-02 13:50:22	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0x7434e9…
05-02 13:50:12	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	Yes	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0x62e12b…
05-02 13:49:46	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc2e4eb…
04-30 11:55:16	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	166	2¢	$3	0x89d88f…
04-30 09:37:42	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x2c3d45…
04-30 09:36:40	Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in April?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xc5672b…
04-30 09:36:36	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	Yes	BUY	147	1¢	$1	0xbc30a4…
04-30 09:36:32	Will Trump talk to Masoud Pezeshkian in April?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0xaa35ec…
04-30 09:35:52	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x6e5c48…
04-29 15:43:18	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb16c0d…
04-29 15:43:00	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x131185…
04-29 15:42:52	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xfd946f…
04-29 15:42:32	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x1c434e…
04-29 15:39:16	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xcbda2d…
04-29 15:36:44	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x4f4ddc…
04-29 15:33:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	Down	BUY	294	1¢	$3	0xc33140…
04-29 15:32:28	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0xce0599…
04-13 09:16:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x42944d…
04-13 09:12:57	btc updown 5m 1776071400	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xb7616f…
04-13 09:07:39	btc updown 5m 1776071100	Up	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0xbe5d03…
04-02 09:47:07	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	15¢	$10	0xd5062a…
03-29 09:49:46	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xaa4cce…