Quiet-Stencil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$417

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

333

Trades

491

lifetime

Volume

$6.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 07-30 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 86% -$9

Other

34% 48% -$420

Politics

11% 73% +$18

Sports

0% 0% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	1	$183	333	0	+333	No	-$183	07-19 18:34
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	1	$118	223	0	+223	Yes	+$105	07-15 18:36
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$114	284	0	+284	Spain	-$114	07-19 21:38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$94	50	50	+0	Yes	+$4	05-24 18:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 19?	2	$86	50	50	+0	Yes	+$4	05-19 07:16
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$82	45	45	+0	Yes	+$8	05-17 00:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	2	$80	50	50	+0	Yes	+$4	05-22 13:06
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$80	82	0	+82	No	-$80	07-30 09:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$75	50	50	+0	No	-$4	05-23 09:38
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$75	45	45	+0	Yes	+$15	05-17 00:30
Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$74	40	40	+0	No	+$6	05-17 00:30
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	2	$72	38	38	+0	No	+$4	05-17 00:31
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$71	40	40	+0	No	+$9	05-17 00:30
Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$71	40	40	+0	Yes	+$9	05-17 00:31
bitcoin above 72k on april 16	2	$69	50	48	+2	Yes	+$13	04-15 06:35
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$68	40	40	+0	Yes	+$11	04-12 23:25
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	2	$68	60	30	+30	No	-$40	06-15 17:45
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	2	$64	40	40	+0	Yes	+$5	05-06 11:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:35 UTC	2	$63	37	37	+0	Up	+$3	07-20 16:39
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	2	$60	73	0	+73	No	-$60	07-07 17:40
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	3	$60	38	38	+0	Yes	+$2	05-04 21:35
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$60	80	60	+20	No	-$3	05-15 15:09
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	1	$55	95	0	+95	Spain	-$55	07-14 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$55	36	36	+0	Down	+$5	07-21 17:34
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$55	30	30	+0	Yes	+$2	04-28 14:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$55	30	30	+0	No	+$3	05-11 03:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:20 UTC	2	$54	31	31	+0	Up	+$4	07-20 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 16:10 UTC	2	$54	57	57	+0	Down	+$14	07-09 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 16:15 UTC	5	$53	30	30	+0	Up	+$6	04-13 16:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$53	40	40	+0	No	+$5	04-30 02:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 09:52:44	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x0c6b26…
07-27 17:32:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0xc72af9…
07-21 18:30:15	will spy dip to 730 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xa2befb…
07-21 18:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xd49a59…
07-21 18:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0xa367cd…
07-21 18:02:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x6b3009…
07-21 17:54:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xa58bb1…
07-21 17:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	36	84¢	$30	0xad8252…
07-21 17:33:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x13b5ba…
07-21 17:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	24	92¢	$22	0x6f82ed…
07-21 17:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xf6ddf9…
07-20 17:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	88¢	$27	0x7d4ba9…
07-20 17:28:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x38fedc…
07-20 16:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x22f42c…
07-20 16:44:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x88a849…
07-20 16:39:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:35 UTC	Up	SELL	37	91¢	$33	0x15d70c…
07-20 16:38:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x26f0e6…
07-20 16:24:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:20 UTC	Up	SELL	31	94¢	$29	0x5d5e7f…
07-20 16:24:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0xee1f0f…
07-20 16:18:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x66d58b…
07-20 16:18:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x8f687d…
07-19 21:38:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	252	40¢	$100	0x126986…
07-19 21:09:25	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	33	43¢	$14	0x5b818b…
07-19 18:34:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	333	55¢	$183	0x13a455…
07-19 17:59:43	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x19f544…
07-15 18:36:49	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	223	53¢	$118	0xd856a9…
07-15 18:29:34	Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xb434c7…
07-14 16:48:23	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	95	58¢	$55	0x1dcba1…
07-10 20:52:25	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0x30fadc…
07-10 04:02:23	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	42	74¢	$31	0x8c4086…
07-10 04:02:02	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x1ccea9…
07-09 17:01:14	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	41	78¢	$32	0x7c95be…
07-09 16:59:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x01faa3…
07-09 16:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x925df9…
07-09 16:24:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 16:20 UTC	Down	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x9a47ee…
07-09 16:23:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xc0d280…
07-09 16:14:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 16:10 UTC	Up	SELL	57	59¢	$34	0x0d0148…
07-09 16:14:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x9408a1…
07-09 16:03:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	25	93¢	$24	0x421d3b…
07-09 16:02:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xea169a…
07-09 15:59:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x9d03f8…
07-09 15:54:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:50 UTC	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xad57dd…
07-09 15:53:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x060627…
07-09 15:49:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:45 UTC	Up	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x2c2334…
07-09 15:48:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xf09b35…
07-09 15:34:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	39	92¢	$36	0xcf69a4…
07-09 15:24:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:20 UTC	Up	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0x2de92c…
07-09 14:49:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0x9978c1…
07-09 14:39:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0xfeff86…
07-09 14:23:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x1959b1…
07-09 14:04:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x495008…
07-09 14:04:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x3ff18b…
07-09 13:39:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x44e903…
07-08 17:29:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	37	98¢	$37	0x51aced…
07-08 17:08:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcd0f97…
07-08 15:04:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x28e4cd…
07-08 09:04:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x2ada1d…
07-08 08:44:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x150b9a…
07-08 08:32:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x0007c2…
07-08 07:54:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x510af9…
07-08 07:34:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x17a20b…
07-08 07:29:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:25 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xe0cae8…
07-08 07:28:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x3c49f6…
07-08 07:23:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x6ed6fe…
07-08 07:19:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xff3241…
07-08 07:18:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0xeae9bb…
07-08 05:09:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6867ac…
07-07 19:24:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0x8c4ba3…
07-07 19:08:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x94b5e3…
07-07 18:44:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5df786…
07-07 18:39:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0x77c1e1…
07-07 18:39:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x19fedd…
07-07 18:14:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xaf46a8…
07-07 17:40:53	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x5dc3dc…
07-07 17:22:20	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x5d8c9b…
07-07 16:55:28	Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xbfc169…
07-07 16:49:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x5b7c21…
07-07 15:59:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xd7c60b…
07-07 15:47:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x8cbb3c…
07-06 19:39:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0xef3a41…
07-06 18:39:08	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc0ed27…
07-06 16:54:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x5aa545…
07-06 16:09:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 16:05 UTC	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x8a9733…
07-06 16:08:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x033031…
07-06 15:59:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3a6313…
07-06 14:54:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x99aa28…
07-06 14:04:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 14:00 UTC	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x05a1ca…
07-06 14:03:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x5d6719…
07-06 13:51:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xa662d4…
07-06 09:27:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 09:25 UTC	Down	SELL	15	86¢	$13	0x0875b8…
07-06 09:27:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xf293ee…
07-06 09:24:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x319128…
07-06 08:59:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	13	89¢	$12	0x804814…
07-06 06:39:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 06:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x15882a…
07-05 17:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc33c20…
07-05 16:50:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 16:45 UTC	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xe2ef7a…
07-05 16:49:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xcbb4c7…
07-05 16:39:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0bd98b…
07-05 15:49:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x535598…
07-04 19:37:08	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0xd211d6…