Realized P&L
-$219
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
58.1%
Resolved
624
Trades
1,402
lifetime
Volume
$3.17K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$83
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-10
last 10-27 21:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
61% 24% -$108
Sports
22% 29% -$118
Politics
11% 75% +$14
Crypto
6% 28% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 219 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $6 36¢ $6 +$0 10-01 14:05
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes +11 $4 44¢ $5 +$0 10-26 03:40
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +6 $4 72¢ $5 +$0 10-27 00:21
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays +9 $4 48¢ $4 $0 10-27 14:01
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? No +11 $4 42¢ $4 $0 10-27 12:41
Pistons vs. Knicks Pistons +12 $4 38¢ $4 $0 10-27 11:41
Spread: Celtics (-12.5) Celtics +10 $4 46¢ $4 $0 10-27 11:40
Spread: Lakers (-2.5) Lakers +9 $4 48¢ $4 $0 10-27 11:40
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +10 $3 36¢ $4 +$1 10-05 18:30
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +11 $4 34¢ $4 $0 10-05 16:20
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $4 32¢ $3 $0 10-05 16:30
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $3 30¢ $3 +$0 10-08 11:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +11 $4 29¢ $3 -$1 10-05 16:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $3 22¢ $3 +$0 10-05 12:10
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +14 $2 18¢ $3 +$1 10-23 04:50
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 36¢ $2 +$1 10-05 06:10
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +7 $2 32¢ $2 $0 10-14 15:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $2 16¢ $2 +$0 10-23 03:00
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $2 38¢ $2 +$0 10-04 00:55
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +6 $2 34¢ $2 +$0 10-23 09:20
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +25 $2 8¢ $2 $0 10-23 09:50
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +5 $2 34¢ $2 $0 10-08 11:25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +6 $2 32¢ $2 $0 10-20 11:40
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $3 15¢ $2 -$2 10-23 01:40
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes +5 $1 30¢ $2 +$0 10-03 05:06
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 26¢ $1 -$1 10-11 02:34
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? Yes +18 $6 6¢ $1 -$5 10-21 06:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-04 00:41
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +11 $1 8¢ $1 $0 10-10 23:55
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 10-04 23:59