Hairy-Secretariat — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved (90d)

7,474

Trades (90d)

7,752

10,620 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$47.6K

$68.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 10-23 20:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% -$2,112

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 408 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 06:00 UTC	1	$514	948	0	+948	Down	-$514	07-18 05:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 11:15 UTC	2	$510	905	0	+905	Up	-$510	07-18 11:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 18:30 UTC	1	$383	769	0	+769	Up	-$383	07-19 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	6	$360	407	0	+407	Down	+$47	06-01 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	5	$295	361	143	+218	Down	+$54	06-01 13:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 04:30 UTC	1	$256	497	0	+497	Down	-$256	07-18 04:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-15 18:30 UTC	1	$254	542	0	+542	Up	-$254	08-15 18:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 05:00 UTC	1	$254	523	0	+523	Down	-$254	08-20 04:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 14:15 UTC	1	$254	479	0	+479	Down	+$225	07-19 14:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 10:45 UTC	1	$254	472	0	+472	Up	-$254	07-18 10:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 17:30 UTC	2	$245	683	0	+683	Up	+$145	08-11 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	11	$197	314	0	+314	Down	+$117	06-01 08:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 17:45 UTC	1	$191	385	0	+385	Down	-$191	07-19 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	5	$166	164	127	+37	Down	+$43	06-01 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	4	$160	230	149	+81	Up	-$50	06-01 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$150	176	0	+176	Down	-$79	06-01 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$143	319	319	+0	Up	-$137	06-01 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	16	$142	270	2	+268	Up	+$114	06-01 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	6	$130	198	62	+136	Down	-$70	06-01 06:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 15:15 UTC	1	$127	256	0	+256	Up	-$127	07-17 15:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 14:15 UTC	1	$127	254	0	+254	Down	-$127	08-06 14:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 06:30 UTC	1	$127	254	0	+254	Down	+$127	08-11 06:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 04:30 UTC	1	$127	254	0	+254	Down	+$127	07-20 04:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 12:45 UTC	1	$127	254	0	+254	Up	-$127	07-31 12:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 18:45 UTC	1	$127	259	0	+259	Down	+$132	08-08 18:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 11:00 UTC	1	$127	249	0	+249	Up	+$122	08-08 10:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 02:15 UTC	1	$127	259	0	+259	Down	+$132	07-28 02:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 14:15 UTC	1	$127	249	0	+249	Down	-$127	08-17 14:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 03:45 UTC	1	$127	484	0	+484	Down	+$357	08-10 03:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 08:30 UTC	2	$127	274	0	+274	Up	-$127	07-24 08:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 20:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ab798…
10-23 20:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5b5042…
10-23 20:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x722e70…
10-23 20:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa04f82…
10-23 20:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf5501e…
10-23 19:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe87ba8…
10-23 19:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4640ab…
10-23 19:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ccccb…
10-23 17:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x73562f…
10-23 17:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3efb17…
10-23 15:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x819d08…
10-23 08:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4ccd02…
10-23 08:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1344e6…
10-23 06:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3e49ce…
10-23 05:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xca54d5…
10-23 04:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x64f012…
10-23 04:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x53e08c…
10-23 04:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x03181c…
10-23 03:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x880315…
10-23 02:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc63921…
10-23 01:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x888c03…
10-23 01:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ee1eb…
10-23 00:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0f73e3…
10-23 00:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaaf816…
10-22 01:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7e8b27…
10-21 19:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaa1217…
10-21 19:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xccface…
10-21 18:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x197a28…
10-21 14:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x71453e…
10-21 13:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x03b873…
10-21 13:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2e4fd3…
10-21 13:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb6aaa2…
10-21 12:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf1e6e8…
10-21 11:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x85fb5b…
10-21 10:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x61b478…
10-21 08:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x5caa82…
10-21 01:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa27aea…
10-20 18:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x45a043…
10-20 14:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb0a0be…
10-20 13:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x091aea…
10-20 12:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa8dc93…
10-20 02:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7ee84c…
10-20 01:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x711155…
10-20 00:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8615c3…
10-20 00:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x31ce7d…
10-20 00:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3b1586…
10-19 19:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x31895c…
10-19 18:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf67180…
10-19 18:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x675e29…
10-19 17:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc76bc0…
10-19 14:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x97a96b…
10-19 13:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe5d8fb…
10-19 11:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x49f030…
10-19 05:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x492934…
10-19 02:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x953183…
10-19 00:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3a8c78…
10-18 23:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x68e639…
10-18 23:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6a1bb8…
10-18 22:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0xae10ec…
10-18 21:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x0fefda…
10-18 20:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0xd788ed…
10-18 19:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x10f4b8…
10-18 13:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xafc59c…
10-18 13:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6880b1…
10-17 22:13:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2c770e…
10-17 22:03:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x76377a…
10-17 21:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x53b6ed…
10-17 21:38:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcce4d2…
10-16 19:33:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x44dc14…
10-16 18:48:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8adf55…
10-16 17:58:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7cb67…
10-16 17:43:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb00e03…
10-16 13:33:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2db18e…
10-16 12:23:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x63af86…
10-16 12:18:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe170ff…
10-16 11:28:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xecdad2…
10-16 11:23:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3fc3d1…
10-16 10:18:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd9645d…
10-15 12:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6cdd90…
10-15 12:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x69799d…
10-15 12:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x412eae…
10-15 12:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	161	1¢	$2	0x83199e…
10-15 06:08:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x776dda…
10-15 05:18:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xbcb6df…
10-15 05:08:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc5f116…
10-15 04:38:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x8a1390…
10-15 04:18:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x840656…
10-15 04:03:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0f1b59…
10-15 03:33:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe73980…
10-15 03:23:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x91adf3…
10-15 03:18:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0x3582c7…
10-15 03:13:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x47ec04…
10-15 02:53:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$3	0x8a7348…
10-15 02:48:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0xce5ed8…
10-15 02:37:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0xd64bab…
10-15 01:48:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x6aabe7…
10-15 01:42:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x88c9e6…
10-14 16:07:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3e174f…
10-14 15:58:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x07b750…
10-14 15:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x86d685…