Realized P&L
+$933
Unrealized P&L
-$3.28K
Hit rate
77.9%
Resolved
527
Trades
1,171
lifetime
Volume
$82.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$70
Open exposure
$3.11K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 12:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 151 days
Categories
Other
40% 71% -$540
Politics
24% 65% -$409
Sports
23% 62% +$1,653
Tech
5% 72% +$27
Crypto
4% 62% +$502
Pop-Culture
3% 0% -$300
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +1,097 $1,035 96¢ $1.0K +$12 10-28 12:31
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +614 $414 83¢ $510 +$96 09-22 13:53
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +507 $379 96¢ $485 +$106 10-14 17:40
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +718 $669 57¢ $410 -$259 10-08 14:57
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +345 $277 95¢ $328 +$51 09-02 17:23
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +101 $100 99¢ $100 $0 10-28 12:26
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +72 $55 95¢ $68 +$13 06-04 21:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +56 $40 80¢ $45 +$5 07-22 22:39
Will BP be acquired before 2027? No +43 $35 97¢ $41 +$6 05-22 18:05
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? Yes +17,917 $2,395 0¢ $18 -$2,377 09-29 14:23
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes +497 $114 3¢ $16 -$98 08-28 06:57
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +76 $24 20¢ $15 -$8 07-21 21:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? No +54 $28 26¢ $14 -$14 10-21 20:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +71 $48 12¢ $8 -$40 07-16 00:05
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? Yes +0 $770 4¢ $0 -$770 10-24 01:04