Useless-Relationship — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

19,275 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$34

$51.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$33

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 11-05 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

83% 56% -$453

Crypto

15% 71% -$145

Politics

1% 75% -$1

Tech

0% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+50	$34	66¢	$33	-$2	11-05 15:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	7	$423	375	375	+0	Yes	-$4	04-28 14:05
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	2	$199	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	08-05 17:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$175	230	0	+230	Yes	+$55	06-25 07:43
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	2	$171	100	100	+0	Yes	+$3	08-04 05:32
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$138	200	0	+200	No	+$62	05-12 08:17
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	5	$131	77	77	+0	No	+$21	04-09 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5?	45	$129	261	0	+261	Yes	+$1	06-04 23:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$128	148	148	+0	No	-$81	09-11 13:08
highest temperature in milan on april 8 2026 24c	9	$123	78	78	+0	Yes	+$31	04-08 16:34
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?	35	$123	242	0	+242	No	-$1	06-10 22:21
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C or below on June 15?	24	$101	207	0	+207	Yes	+$2	06-14 09:13
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 9 2026 27c	9	$101	60	60	+0	Yes	+$18	04-09 18:34
highest temperature in warsaw on april 10 2026 9c	9	$99	63	63	-0	No	+$26	04-10 15:07
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 11?	30	$98	198	0	+198	Yes	-$1	06-11 02:14
highest temperature in london on april 12 2026 15c	3	$98	63	63	+0	Yes	+$27	04-12 14:40
highest temperature in lucknow on april 11 2026 35c	11	$97	60	60	-0	Yes	+$22	04-11 10:38
highest temperature in lucknow on april 10 2026 32c	7	$96	58	58	+0	Yes	+$19	04-10 09:47
highest temperature in chongqing on april 10 2026 26c	5	$95	60	60	+0	No	+$23	04-10 05:00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	1	$93	100	0	+100	Yes	+$7	08-05 22:28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$93	100	0	+100	Yes	+$7	09-01 08:29
highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 24c	4	$93	63	63	+0	Yes	+$31	04-08 16:55
highest temperature in paris on april 12 2026 14c	8	$92	63	63	+0	Yes	+$32	04-12 15:05
highest temperature in seattle on april 11 2026 54 55f	10	$92	60	60	+0	Yes	+$27	04-12 00:57
highest temperature in milan on april 11 2026 21c	4	$91	60	60	+0	Yes	+$28	04-11 15:51
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?	29	$90	184	0	+184	No	+$2	05-27 15:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4?	28	$89	177	0	+177	No	+$0	06-03 23:02
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 9?	33	$87	177	0	+177	Yes	+$1	06-09 06:01
highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 22c	11	$83	50	50	+0	Yes	+$16	04-09 14:00
highest temperature in houston on april 16 2026 84 85f	32	$82	126	42	+84	Yes	+$2	04-16 12:11
highest temperature in chengdu on april 9 2026 30c	4	$81	50	50	+0	No	+$18	04-09 07:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 15:46:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x34637f…
09-11 13:08:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	148	16¢	$24	0x67fb13…
09-01 08:29:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x20431c…
08-17 18:21:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	148	71¢	$105	0xe61659…
08-10 18:37:25	will donald trump publicly insult xi jinping by august 31 2026 20260730161742256	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x704961…
08-07 16:03:37	will donald trump publicly insult xi jinping by august 31 2026 20260730161742256	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x03ab90…
08-07 15:33:21	will donald trump publicly insult xi jinping by august 31 2026 20260730161742256	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x972edd…
08-07 04:32:55	will donald trump publicly insult xi jinping by august 31 2026 20260730161742256	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc7abdb…
08-06 07:20:27	Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x0ff0d9…
08-05 22:28:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x06832c…
08-05 17:45:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xd82451…
08-04 05:32:56	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x8acf6d…
08-03 15:49:17	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xa56592…
08-03 15:34:45	will donald trump publicly insult xi jinping by august 31 2026 20260730161742256	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x1cd731…
08-03 15:00:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x933120…
06-25 07:43:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	76¢	$46	0xb50b3d…
06-25 02:58:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	170	76¢	$129	0xe16ace…
06-25 02:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8013b0…
06-25 02:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x098ad0…
06-25 02:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8fcaba…
06-25 01:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x331344…
06-25 01:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd6fac9…
06-25 00:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc5c2d7…
06-25 00:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x45aa88…
06-24 23:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5155fa…
06-24 22:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe7311b…
06-24 22:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x79c14a…
06-24 22:10:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x970423…
06-24 22:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xea4e00…
06-24 21:51:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x6897d7…
06-24 21:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xeac1eb…
06-24 21:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xf37769…
06-24 20:40:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x836d06…
06-24 20:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe50af8…
06-24 20:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x562856…
06-24 19:47:20	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7a7a51…
06-24 18:48:32	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa39f91…
06-24 18:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x55b5c4…
06-24 18:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x280ee4…
06-24 17:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x12c033…
06-24 17:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x8eff21…
06-24 17:47:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?	No	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0xbaa697…
06-24 17:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xbe8071…
06-24 17:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 25?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3f5138…
06-24 16:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4b33aa…
06-24 16:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x014d5f…
06-24 15:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6d17d5…
06-24 15:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1c73b8…
06-24 15:41:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x14efb5…
06-24 15:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xd8ca9e…
06-24 15:08:23	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcda3fc…
06-24 14:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6636d6…
06-24 14:49:23	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?	No	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x8d5b92…
06-24 14:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x24cad7…
06-24 14:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on June 26?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x171c0c…
06-24 14:35:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x14829a…
06-24 14:31:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x46b2e5…
06-24 13:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x404c5f…
06-24 13:44:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa7023f…
06-24 13:44:08	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xef026c…
06-24 13:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	1	44¢	$1	0xcd6e1e…
06-24 13:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x8ba484…
06-24 13:12:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3f9a7c…
06-24 13:05:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x4dfff5…
06-24 13:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa3ddd6…
06-24 12:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9eeb1b…
06-24 12:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x15dbd2…
06-24 12:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x962fef…
06-24 12:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1bc4bd…
06-24 12:21:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1c7f63…
06-24 12:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x08169b…
06-24 12:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6d1262…
06-24 12:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x50183d…
06-24 12:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3d6068…
06-24 12:11:53	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa3de10…
06-24 12:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8d0836…
06-24 12:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x31ee24…
06-24 12:03:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd1d53f…
06-24 12:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xe80e39…
06-24 11:59:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 25?	Yes	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x170aea…
06-24 11:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x08f06b…
06-24 11:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x967e20…
06-24 10:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1449ad…
06-24 09:56:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 26?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x645579…
06-24 09:14:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xe8a161…
06-24 09:12:32	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 24?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x775335…
06-24 09:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 25?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xc02562…
06-24 08:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc126fc…
06-24 08:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x7c25f0…
06-24 08:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 25?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x468a92…
06-24 07:22:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 24?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x093963…
06-24 06:26:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x951339…
06-24 06:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 25?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xcbee52…
06-24 06:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 25?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x98d256…
06-24 06:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on June 24?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x045d94…
06-24 06:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa94e67…
06-24 06:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x1e469e…
06-24 06:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 24?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xb2e2e0…
06-24 06:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 24?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x563465…
06-24 05:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbd6e65…