Realized P&L
-$2.91K
Unrealized P&L
-$11.1K
Hit rate
38.2%
Resolved
9
Trades
90
lifetime
Volume
$255.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.84K
Open exposure
$102.6K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-15 14:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
60% 0% -$112
Other
40% 43% -$2,797
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +45,198 $44,121 97¢ $43.9K -$256 09-21 23:31
Trump out as President before 2027? No -41,210 -$38,619 96¢ $-39603 -$984 10-06 07:35
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -6,549 -$6,243 98¢ $-6421 -$178 05-19 08:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,571 $3,000 82¢ $2.9K -$71 09-18 03:54
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -2,225 -$2,141 98¢ $-2172 -$31 09-07 04:07
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2,299 $2,039 94¢ $2.1K +$110 07-11 13:49
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No -6,819 $8,152 30¢ $-2080 -$10,232 09-16 21:23
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -1,062 -$955 97¢ $-1026 -$71 04-29 00:10
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -4,325 -$1,726 24¢ $-1016 +$709 08-05 11:54
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No -1,017 -$936 95¢ $-966 -$31 08-04 03:56
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -438 -$398 96¢ $-421 -$24 09-10 14:32