Impish-Earmuffs — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$728

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 07-07 03:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

43% 0% $-0

Crypto

32% 67% $-1

Politics

24% 50% $-1

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	7	$34	25	25	+0	open	—	05-24 07:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	4	$32	18	18	+0	open	—	04-29 12:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	06-04 23:18
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	4	$27	19	14	+5	open	—	06-19 12:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$25	28	13	+16	open	—	05-24 00:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	3	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 03:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$20	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 06:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	04-30 18:11
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	3	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	05-10 16:12
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	05-01 10:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	4	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	05-22 19:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 28?	2	$16	11	10	+0	open	—	04-27 20:25
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	2	$16	16	16	+0	open	—	07-08 03:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 01:33
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	06-01 17:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	5	$16	19	19	+0	open	—	04-25 13:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$15	7	15	-9	open	—	05-29 22:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	3	$14	12	5	+7	open	—	05-23 08:06
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	4	$13	15	14	+0	open	—	04-24 21:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	3	$12	6	11	-5	open	—	05-23 20:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 18:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	3	$11	7	5	+2	open	—	04-28 00:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-06 04:16
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$11	22	22	+0	open	—	05-01 16:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-10 13:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-20 08:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	2	$10	21	21	+0	open	—	05-18 13:01
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	3	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-08 11:16
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-08 18:24
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-13 12:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 03:12:08	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0xa5a3b7…
07-07 03:09:40	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xe3de94…
06-19 12:58:47	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xdc49b2…
06-19 00:16:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xcb735c…
06-18 16:38:31	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xb461f6…
06-18 04:26:04	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xd7bb10…
06-17 11:30:41	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xd6a22c…
06-04 23:18:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x006fe2…
06-03 00:48:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x213e6d…
06-03 00:17:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x1341f2…
06-02 00:16:32	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x980d23…
06-01 17:05:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc7b384…
06-01 14:00:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x781f2d…
06-01 13:29:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	28¢	$3	0x9a7f14…
06-01 01:14:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$5	0x7360dc…
05-31 15:31:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0x3780a2…
05-31 00:13:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x94deb2…
05-29 22:14:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x837e65…
05-28 14:33:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	15	63¢	$10	0x2ccdf4…
05-24 07:33:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x3a16fa…
05-24 00:29:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5352cf…
05-24 00:28:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x36f43a…
05-24 00:27:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xf9fd5a…
05-24 00:27:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xf60d74…
05-23 20:52:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xd5a51a…
05-23 14:14:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x045aec…
05-23 09:08:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x41c2c5…
05-23 08:06:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x7efbbc…
05-23 06:34:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6d62e5…
05-22 23:27:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x11136c…
05-22 19:53:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xfffd93…
05-22 17:19:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x16b96e…
05-22 17:19:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x04d841…
05-22 17:19:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x721559…
05-20 08:47:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x58193a…
05-19 18:33:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xa98290…
05-18 13:01:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	21	31¢	$6	0xb3b38e…
05-15 06:58:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x51c04f…
05-14 15:20:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0xfc6c60…
05-14 15:06:17	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xf0c12e…
05-14 01:17:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xc70272…
05-13 16:30:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x3be3c4…
05-13 16:30:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x48a3f1…
05-13 15:53:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xf341e5…
05-13 15:53:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x4dc817…
05-13 15:30:39	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	No	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x6a940d…
05-13 12:57:11	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xcb6a56…
05-13 10:54:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	7	68¢	$5	0x459477…
05-12 18:57:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x27f6d0…
05-12 16:54:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4d952a…
05-12 15:21:36	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xf04fd2…
05-12 10:44:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x58ff0b…
05-12 09:42:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x784a1e…
05-12 05:36:10	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x9ba5d7…
05-12 01:41:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x15a82c…
05-12 01:39:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9b91ad…
05-11 18:46:35	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x0a12ec…
05-11 17:45:17	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xeb9c99…
05-10 21:18:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x01d61d…
05-10 16:12:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x729968…
05-10 15:12:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa21d56…
05-10 13:09:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x26c5d7…
05-10 12:07:47	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x8f4c55…
05-10 12:07:40	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x26bd52…
05-10 09:03:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0xf34b4c…
05-10 00:56:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	SELL	19	25¢	$5	0x06d366…
05-10 00:56:34	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x0bb3cb…
05-09 23:55:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xa5e326…
05-09 07:37:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	33¢	$5	0x661563…
05-09 01:32:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	No	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x078d37…
05-09 00:31:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa66416…
05-08 18:24:05	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0x331df9…
05-08 17:23:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xa73189…
05-08 11:16:53	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xde48e2…
05-08 03:07:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xb47d48…
05-08 03:07:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x932f5c…
05-08 00:05:30	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7435a5…
05-07 23:04:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x4fe91a…
05-07 19:03:32	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x464805…
05-07 17:57:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x2311ae…
05-07 15:55:39	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x8aa794…
05-07 01:41:39	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x28ac20…
05-07 00:41:02	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xc06a6a…
05-06 16:32:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$5	0xa0e7b3…
05-06 13:28:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xdb428c…
05-06 11:31:52	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x52d1a8…
05-06 11:25:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x227beb…
05-06 11:25:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xa4eeba…
05-06 10:24:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x00b737…
05-06 10:24:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0xb5ea71…
05-06 10:24:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xa5f678…
05-06 05:17:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0x53329f…
05-06 04:16:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xb27456…
05-06 00:13:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfd5d6f…
05-06 00:13:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0xef61f3…
05-05 23:12:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xc51086…
05-05 11:58:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x71754b…
05-05 11:58:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1dc780…
05-05 06:50:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x587908…
05-03 21:53:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xda4191…