Defiant-Selfcontrol — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.57K

Unrealized P&L

+$283

Hit rate

59.0%

Resolved

239

Trades

938

lifetime

Volume

$136.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$145

Open exposure

$39

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 07-03 12:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Politics

59% 45% +$342

Other

40% 29% -$4,532

Crypto

0% 40% -$130

Sports

0% 0% -$150

Tech

0% 0% -$95

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-568	-$236	5¢	$-28	+$208	06-07 16:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes		-357	-$86	3¢	$-10	+$75	04-30 09:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	28	$8.9K	8,157	8,157	+0	Yes	-$153	04-27 15:52
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	11	$7.3K	4,994	4,994	+0	No	+$2,021	04-21 12:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	25	$5.8K	4,395	4,395	+0	No	+$2,220	04-21 19:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	17	$5.4K	3,760	3,760	+0	No	+$1,226	05-29 21:23
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	16	$5.3K	80,669	20,167	+60,502	Yes	-$5,285	04-08 19:30
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	11	$3.5K	2,405	2,405	-0	No	+$867	06-13 07:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	13	$3.2K	2,339	2,339	+0	No	+$517	05-24 08:11
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	9	$2.6K	1,949	1,949	+0	Yes	+$355	04-14 18:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	17	$2.4K	5,292	1,080	+4,212	Yes	-$1,542	06-14 21:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	14	$2.2K	4,431	794	+3,636	Yes	-$1,368	05-25 16:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	17	$2.1K	3,280	3,280	+0	No	+$1	04-21 20:58
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	12	$2.1K	1,618	1,618	+0	No	+$603	04-22 00:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$2.0K	1,421	1,421	+0	No	+$288	05-14 17:20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	15	$2.0K	4,534	2,963	+1,570	Yes	+$200	06-20 06:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$1.8K	1,503	2,091	-588	No	+$94	06-14 06:46
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	5	$1.8K	1,195	1,195	+0	No	+$338	04-15 21:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.8K	1,694	1,694	+0	No	-$36	05-08 15:05
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	9	$1.7K	1,384	1,384	+0	No	+$290	04-25 15:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	15	$1.5K	3,207	1,440	+1,768	Yes	-$716	05-22 13:53
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame	6	$1.4K	1,626	1,292	+334	Moise Kouame	+$698	05-28 14:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	11	$1.4K	1,197	1,197	+0	No	-$46	04-18 09:59
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	5	$1.4K	1,503	1,503	+0	Yes	+$276	06-03 17:17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	6	$1.3K	1,155	1,155	+0	No	+$85	05-24 14:49
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	9	$1.3K	1,924	683	+1,241	Yes	-$249	04-16 09:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	7	$1.3K	869	869	+0	No	+$183	05-22 17:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	7	$1.3K	1,046	1,046	+0	No	+$366	04-25 17:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	7	$1.3K	1,674	1,674	+0	No	+$703	05-25 13:57
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	15	$1.3K	4,129	1,296	+2,833	No	+$41	04-29 07:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	5	$1.2K	2,013	2,013	+0	No	+$55	04-20 06:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$1.2K	1,552	1,552	+0	No	-$159	05-26 04:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 12:39:52	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,031	6¢	$62	0x05ae2d…
06-22 08:49:52	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	67	19¢	$13	0x77d76a…
06-22 08:49:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	43	78¢	$34	0x2dec8d…
06-22 08:49:17	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	341	19¢	$66	0x8a40bf…
06-22 08:48:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	708	78¢	$550	0xd3935d…
06-20 21:17:02	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x3f6334…
06-20 06:50:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	181	28¢	$50	0x348858…
06-20 06:49:38	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	133	38¢	$50	0x1ab675…
06-20 06:48:20	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	273	94¢	$256	0x7d51e4…
06-19 08:52:34	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	273	44¢	$120	0x67c4b2…
06-19 08:50:25	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	695	17¢	$120	0xa8aefd…
06-19 08:47:13	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	950	32¢	$305	0xb82514…
06-19 08:39:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,335	48¢	$646	0x5af248…
06-19 08:39:11	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	444	48¢	$212	0xba1573…
06-18 19:59:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	310	20¢	$62	0x70bc15…
06-18 19:58:34	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	SELL	696	9¢	$64	0x12cbae…
06-17 08:36:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,809	5¢	$85	0xcdb0c8…
06-17 08:35:44	Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	1,252	7¢	$88	0x4e14a6…
06-15 06:04:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	329	15¢	$50	0x3fb033…
06-14 21:55:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	714	21¢	$150	0xc72992…
06-14 21:54:10	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	229	44¢	$100	0xe03bb9…
06-14 21:53:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	474	21¢	$100	0xa04b02…
06-14 21:53:46	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	No	BUY	467	43¢	$200	0xac3322…
06-14 21:20:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	No	BUY	537	17¢	$90	0xf6a0eb…
06-14 19:59:12	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xc05296…
06-14 06:49:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0x0e0e01…
06-14 06:48:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	455	33¢	$150	0x49b86a…
06-14 06:47:42	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 21 2026	No	BUY	333	42¢	$140	0x5cf340…
06-14 06:46:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xcc7f75…
06-14 06:46:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	435	22¢	$96	0xf87e60…
06-14 06:46:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xb38ff6…
06-14 06:45:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	303	31¢	$94	0xaed1ba…
06-14 06:45:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	No	BUY	541	37¢	$200	0xf01556…
06-14 06:44:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x3bbed5…
06-14 06:43:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	558	52¢	$290	0xfb8472…
06-14 06:39:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	SELL	450	32¢	$144	0x1eff78…
06-14 06:39:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	323	47¢	$150	0x47ca8f…
06-13 22:27:01	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	645	31¢	$200	0x59e458…
06-13 21:45:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	488	41¢	$200	0x84cb4b…
06-13 21:03:03	Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	860	94¢	$808	0x5a6134…
06-13 20:37:16	Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	860	5¢	$43	0x64fbaf…
06-13 15:27:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	739	34¢	$250	0xd92f12…
06-13 12:27:18	atp bublik fritz 2026 06 13	Alexander Bublik	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0x44a84d…
06-13 12:26:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x5b66b4…
06-13 12:25:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xcb4134…
06-13 07:35:55	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	Yes	BUY	450	22¢	$100	0x4f7f30…
06-13 07:35:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0xdb7677…
06-13 07:35:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	8,312	1¢	$50	0x8602b0…
06-13 07:31:51	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	556	32¢	$180	0xc6a07a…
06-13 07:31:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,643	96¢	$1,579	0x962c89…
06-11 14:24:16	atp shimabu kyrgios 2026 06 11	Nick Kyrgios	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xaff198…
06-11 14:14:24	atp shimabu kyrgios 2026 06 11	Nick Kyrgios	BUY	202	50¢	$100	0xf751c2…
06-11 14:09:24	atp shimabu kyrgios 2026 06 11	Nick Kyrgios	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x08545e…
06-11 06:44:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	249	40¢	$100	0x59b007…
06-11 06:41:45	us iran nuclear deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	435	30¢	$131	0x00ba0e…
06-11 05:21:03	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	532	19¢	$100	0x6283fe…
06-10 06:20:48	Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	1,252	8¢	$100	0x7bc772…
06-08 06:57:16	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	102	39¢	$40	0xfc3a0f…
06-08 06:57:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0x53f02f…
06-08 06:56:58	israel closes its airspace by june 9	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0xaffad8…
06-08 06:56:51	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x97e388…
06-08 06:55:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	349	43¢	$150	0xeb9a04…
06-08 06:52:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xf568c7…
06-07 16:57:51	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	138	29¢	$40	0x77b2d7…
06-07 16:46:31	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	111	22¢	$24	0xb813be…
06-07 16:35:33	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x59a46b…
06-07 16:30:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x3b422b…
06-07 16:30:12	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	526	35¢	$186	0xc61e67…
06-07 16:30:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	635	30¢	$188	0xbf6b84…
06-07 16:29:30	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	344	32¢	$110	0x281531…
06-07 16:28:09	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,031	10¢	$100	0xf30121…
06-07 15:53:45	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xb86009…
06-07 14:46:57	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x8b01cf…
06-06 13:31:55	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	Maja Chwalinska	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0xe17f11…
06-04 17:52:01	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	344	44¢	$150	0x714102…
06-04 17:49:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	526	38¢	$200	0x86cc8e…
06-04 17:49:34	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	444	56¢	$250	0x4e0a1b…
06-04 17:43:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	145	34¢	$50	0xb4c68a…
06-04 17:42:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	353	42¢	$150	0xf03e9d…
06-03 17:17:30	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	No	SELL	466	73¢	$340	0xc2f0b3…
06-03 17:17:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	No	SELL	341	67¢	$228	0x1f35ab…
06-03 17:16:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	SELL	574	42¢	$241	0xe90f4b…
06-03 17:06:42	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	625	40¢	$250	0xf877f2…
06-03 13:37:16	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	599	14¢	$85	0xd56bdb…
06-03 10:58:45	Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	375	4¢	$15	0x03e734…
06-03 10:51:20	US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0xb65d2c…
06-03 08:12:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	234	47¢	$110	0x7ce06f…
06-02 19:39:44	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	SELL	381	30¢	$114	0x2390be…
06-02 19:16:10	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xb88f18…
06-02 19:06:53	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	173	52¢	$90	0x0cac3b…
06-02 13:33:45	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Rafael Jodar	SELL	360	28¢	$101	0x588d7e…
06-02 13:01:01	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Rafael Jodar	BUY	360	25¢	$90	0x9e077a…
06-02 06:04:30	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	SELL	409	10¢	$40	0xf85047…
06-01 22:34:01	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0xca68c7…
06-01 14:24:32	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	409	24¢	$100	0xd966e1…
06-01 14:16:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	863	81¢	$699	0x8823db…
06-01 14:12:21	Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider	Madison Keys	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x884baf…
06-01 13:10:01	Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider	Madison Keys	BUY	148	34¢	$50	0x47575f…
06-01 12:14:57	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Zachary Svajda	BUY	114	15¢	$17	0x4168b9…
06-01 12:14:15	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Zachary Svajda	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0xd40d58…