Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
13
lifetime
Volume
$1.86K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$143
Open exposure
$1.32K
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-09 18:37
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
81%
Other
19%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +662 $265 58¢ $388 +$123 05-07 12:35
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? Yes -312 $-214 97¢ $-302 $-88 05-07 12:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? No -254 $-150 76¢ $-194 $-44 05-08 15:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -444 $-76 20¢ $-87 $-11 05-06 06:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? Yes +278 $150 30¢ $82 $-68 05-07 10:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No -179 $-48 40¢ $-72 $-24 05-08 15:05
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? Yes -381 $-38 19¢ $-72 $-34 05-09 18:37
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +122 $44 53¢ $65 +$21 05-07 13:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? Yes -208 $-206 24¢ $-49 +$157 05-07 12:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? Yes -192 $-25 $-14 +$10 05-08 05:32