Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

-$45

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$472

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$33

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 10-22 06:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

62% 47% +$74

Sports

16% 40% -$44

Politics

11% 0% -$30

Tech

7% 50% -$13

Pop-Culture

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	+17	$15	93¢	$15	+$0	10-22 06:53
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+45	$9	22¢	$10	+$1	09-03 06:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+4	$4	98¢	$4	+$0	09-11 09:17
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+92	$39	3¢	$3	-$36	10-22 06:54
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	+19	$10	2¢	$0	-$10	08-18 04:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	3	$49	180	88	+92	open	—	10-22 06:54
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	2	$34	100	100	+0	Yes	+$26	08-12 17:00
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	1	$28	40	0	+40	Yes	+$12	08-09 01:47
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$27	30	0	+30	No	-$27	07-18 00:43
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	5	$25	40	40	+0	No	-$6	08-24 06:13
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$20	24	0	+24	No	-$20	10-06 02:07
will the senate pass the clarity act by october 31	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	09-17 07:16
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?	2	$20	15	15	+0	No	+$2	09-02 06:00
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	2	$18	20	0	+20	Yes	+$2	05-31 06:03
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	2	$18	41	41	+0	open	—	09-22 00:57
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	1	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	10-22 06:53
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	1	$15	54	0	+54	No	-$15	09-04 02:49
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	2	$15	97	0	+97	No	-$15	08-28 05:54
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	1	$14	50	0	+50	open	—	08-15 09:28
Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?	1	$13	55	0	+55	open	—	08-17 12:06
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$11	50	0	+50	No	-$11	07-15 06:47
Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	1	$10	49	0	+49	No	-$10	08-14 00:48
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	1	$10	50	0	+50	No	-$10	08-25 21:46
Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	08-18 04:29
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	50	0	+50	No	-$10	07-15 06:47
wttmen wang jang 2026 02 28	1	$10	11	0	+11	Wang	+$1	02-28 01:31
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	1	$9	45	0	+45	open	—	09-03 06:46
will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	07-26 02:01
wttwom sun shi 2026 02 27	1	$9	10	0	+10	Sun	+$1	02-27 02:06
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	1	$8	50	0	+50	Yes	+$42	08-11 01:24
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	1	$8	10	0	+10	Islam Makhachev	+$2	08-12 01:42
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$7	20	0	+20	England	-$7	07-11 01:52
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	1	$6	50	0	+50	Yes	+$44	07-03 09:30
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$5	26	0	+26	No	-$5	10-09 07:31
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	1	$5	11	0	+11	No	-$5	10-09 07:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 06:54:47	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	5¢	$5	0xf65c9f…
10-22 06:53:23	Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x415853…
10-09 07:31:43	Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xe49b1a…
10-09 07:31:31	Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xdb5e35…
10-09 07:17:25	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb8aaa0…
10-06 02:07:07	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x7b0539…
09-22 00:57:40	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	SELL	41	8¢	$3	0x1510a9…
09-17 07:16:42	will the senate pass the clarity act by october 31	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x19b8bd…
09-11 09:17:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x61bae9…
09-04 02:49:30	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x23dbb1…
09-03 06:46:34	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0x4c1721…
09-02 06:00:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?	No	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x5879e2…
08-30 07:07:42	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	Yes	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x41ead2…
08-28 05:54:40	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	77	7¢	$5	0xa776fd…
08-25 21:46:37	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x1825e7…
08-24 06:13:21	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x02440d…
08-24 00:12:57	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0x05a309…
08-22 05:47:37	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by september 15	No	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x34c8b2…
08-19 01:26:42	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x222f62…
08-18 04:29:12	Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7e68f8…
08-17 12:06:48	Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	55	23¢	$13	0x8db43d…
08-15 09:28:09	Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x68d56c…
08-14 00:48:31	Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0xf41fbc…
08-12 17:00:13	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x147b1d…
08-12 01:43:25	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 13 20260807213124702	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x97a6a6…
08-12 01:42:28	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Islam Makhachev	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x39faed…
08-11 08:08:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x286474…
08-11 01:25:52	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x3133cd…
08-11 01:24:24	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xd11a1d…
08-09 01:47:48	Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xbb4868…
08-04 00:56:54	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xd885a5…
08-03 09:05:54	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x6ef618…
08-02 02:13:06	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xe9541e…
08-01 01:13:18	will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x293bdd…
08-01 01:13:02	will russia capture kucheriv yar by august 31 20260724165221453	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe06cfd…
07-26 02:01:31	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xf59948…
07-18 00:43:06	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xffb674…
07-17 01:56:18	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0xf10088…
07-17 01:55:40	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5b7336…
07-15 06:47:20	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x00bfc1…
07-15 06:47:05	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$11	0xa80d69…
07-11 01:52:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x47e130…
07-07 05:19:16	graham platner divorce by october 31 20260706220148808	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0x35c280…
07-07 05:11:35	graham platner divorce by october 31 20260706220148808	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x8049a3…
07-03 09:30:31	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xe78470…
05-31 06:03:07	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa91b66…
05-29 01:23:05	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x8a4d20…
02-28 01:31:11	wttmen wang jang 2026 02 28	Wang	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf39e31…
02-27 02:06:28	wttwom sun shi 2026 02 27	Sun	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xa94025…