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Realized P&L
+$6
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved
20
Trades
224
lifetime
Volume
$1.38K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$297
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-09
last 11-15 17:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
77% 71% +$13
Politics
17% 0% -$8
Tech
5% — —
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$1 11-10 04:47
Will Anthropic IPO by November 17, 2026? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 11-09 21:01
Will Anthropic IPO by November 16, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-10 09:47
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-10 20:32
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-14 04:32
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-12 22:47
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-10 20:32
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-10 18:17
Will "Ebenezer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 11-14 07:32
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in October? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 11-10 03:02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 11-14 07:17
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026? Yes +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 11-09 21:02
Will Aleksandar Repić win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 11-12 08:02
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 11-14 11:02
FAA outage attributed to hack? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 11-13 22:32
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026? Yes +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 11-09 22:17
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 11-11 00:17
Will fewer than 215 House members vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 11-10 17:17
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in October? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 11-10 07:17
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 11-09 21:02
Will Trump and Xi hug at APEC? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 11-13 03:17
Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 11-14 15:48
Will "The Cat in the Hat" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 12m? No +10 $6 97¢ $10 +$3 11-14 19:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $0 11-13 22:32
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 11-14 07:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$0 11-09 21:00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 20? Yes +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 11-12 18:32
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +10 $8 96¢ $10 +$1 11-10 09:17
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 10 to November 17, 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $0 11-14 14:47
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $0 11-13 16:47