Stimulating-Progress — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$460

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

116

1,684 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$24.5K

$85.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-23 18:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 78% -$31

Other

10% 15% -$939

Sports

0% 0% -$203

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:40 UTC	4	$2.5K	1,991	1,991	+1	Down	+$1,292	10-13 17:44
cs2 tl1 jjh 2026 10 13 game1	4	$2.4K	1,886	1,886	+0	Liquid	+$762	10-13 17:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	5	$2.2K	3,414	1,782	+1,632	Down	+$880	10-13 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:35 UTC	3	$1.7K	1,128	1,128	+0	Up	+$463	10-13 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,076	1,076	+0	Up	+$545	10-13 18:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:20 UTC	4	$1.4K	1,699	1,074	+625	Up	+$382	10-13 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:35 UTC	6	$1.3K	3,658	976	+2,682	Up	+$369	10-13 16:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 22:35 UTC	4	$1.3K	2,775	0	+2,775	Down	-$1,298	03-30 22:39
cs2 tl1 jjh 2026 10 13 game2	5	$1.2K	6,904	0	+6,904	Liquid	-$1,202	10-13 18:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 22:05 UTC	5	$1.1K	4,293	565	+3,728	Down	-$101	03-30 22:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 22:30 UTC	5	$1.1K	4,773	0	+4,773	Down	-$1,100	03-30 22:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:15 UTC	4	$1.1K	756	727	+28	Up	+$386	04-13 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 21:45 UTC	4	$1.0K	2,194	672	+1,522	Down	+$55	03-30 21:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC	5	$1.0K	3,602	582	+3,020	Down	-$23	10-13 16:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:50 UTC	3	$975	711	682	+30	Up	+$404	04-13 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:05 UTC	4	$903	797	751	+46	Up	+$629	04-13 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:40 UTC	3	$875	603	581	+22	Up	+$297	04-13 17:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:10 UTC	4	$843	603	579	+24	Up	+$328	04-13 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 21:55 UTC	4	$800	2,774	0	+2,774	Down	-$800	03-30 21:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:45 UTC	3	$774	586	560	+26	Down	+$361	04-13 18:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 18:40 UTC	4	$727	1,369	416	+953	Up	-$56	04-13 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$703	1,255	394	+860	Down	-$155	05-22 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	2	$686	2,064	0	+2,064	Down	-$686	10-13 18:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 17:45 UTC	6	$673	1,088	623	+465	Down	+$26	04-13 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 22:45 UTC	3	$650	3,292	0	+3,292	Down	-$650	03-30 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	6	$620	1,285	362	+923	Down	-$27	05-22 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 23:10 UTC	5	$602	1,166	678	+488	Up	-$140	03-30 23:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 22:40 UTC	4	$600	4,127	0	+4,127	Up	-$600	03-30 22:43
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?	2	$597	1,357	1,357	+0	No	-$27	10-13 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$587	737	368	+368	Up	+$455	05-22 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 18:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xbee034…
10-21 16:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x45fcd5…
10-21 16:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	264	39¢	$104	0x96d1c6…
10-21 16:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	264	28¢	$74	0x994437…
10-21 16:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	300	5¢	$15	0x260bc9…
10-21 16:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	340	48¢	$162	0x69ac87…
10-21 15:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	164	45¢	$74	0x38b22d…
10-21 15:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x142dc3…
10-21 15:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	162	86¢	$139	0x9d1205…
10-21 15:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	162	34¢	$55	0x4ac78e…
10-21 15:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9782b4…
10-21 15:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	122	91¢	$111	0x3514f9…
10-21 15:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	122	37¢	$45	0xf38f15…
10-21 15:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	34¢	$67	0xad13c7…
10-21 15:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	117	48¢	$56	0x2aa4d4…
10-13 18:35:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	472	56¢	$265	0xb8bb25…
10-13 18:35:03	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	SELL	1,357	21¢	$285	0x448de3…
10-13 18:30:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	344	37¢	$128	0x6e7439…
10-13 18:28:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:25 UTC	Up	SELL	165	82¢	$135	0x581e37…
10-13 18:25:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	329	43¢	$142	0x689323…
10-13 18:23:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	386	7¢	$27	0x23ccbb…
10-13 18:20:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1,315	31¢	$408	0xc93e2b…
10-13 18:20:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	253	31¢	$78	0x146b8e…
10-13 18:16:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	953	30¢	$286	0x6c9791…
10-13 18:15:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1,111	36¢	$400	0x359b24…
10-13 18:11:24	cs2 tl1 jjh 2026 10 13 game2	JiJieHao	BUY	2,181	5¢	$100	0x75b56c…
10-13 18:10:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	196	32¢	$64	0x9ff213…
10-13 18:10:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1,364	32¢	$436	0x6609b0…
10-13 18:08:54	cs2 tl1 jjh 2026 10 13 game2	JiJieHao	BUY	1,252	8¢	$100	0x415445…
10-13 18:05:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1,086	26¢	$277	0x60b513…
10-13 18:05:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	538	28¢	$149	0x152895…
10-13 18:04:21	cs2 tl1 jjh 2026 10 13 game2	JiJieHao	BUY	759	16¢	$121	0x3fc736…
10-13 18:02:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1,076	96¢	$1,033	0x125d9a…
10-13 18:00:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	80	47¢	$38	0xab47e7…
10-13 18:00:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	996	45¢	$450	0x811230…
10-13 17:59:42	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	1,357	23¢	$312	0xf2e26a…
10-13 17:53:30	cs2 tl1 jjh 2026 10 13 game2	JiJieHao	BUY	1,337	30¢	$400	0xa9501c…
10-13 17:51:55	cs2 tl1 jjh 2026 10 13 game1	Liquid	SELL	943	100¢	$942	0x486e70…
10-13 17:46:58	cs2 tl1 jjh 2026 10 13 game2	JiJieHao	BUY	1,374	35¢	$481	0x342a0b…
10-13 17:45:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1,615	20¢	$323	0xe5762d…
10-13 17:45:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	85	20¢	$17	0x3058d4…
10-13 17:44:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:40 UTC	Up	SELL	995	98¢	$975	0xedd669…
10-13 17:44:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:40 UTC	Up	SELL	996	90¢	$901	0x214cb9…
10-13 17:41:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1,229	28¢	$349	0x4bdae6…
10-13 17:41:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	762	31¢	$235	0x29ffa6…
10-13 17:39:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:35 UTC	Up	SELL	1,128	98¢	$1,105	0xfd19f8…
10-13 17:38:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	120	59¢	$70	0xd97ac6…
10-13 17:38:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1,007	57¢	$572	0x5af9a9…
10-13 17:32:03	cs2 tl1 jjh 2026 10 13 game1	Liquid	SELL	943	70¢	$662	0x758f2f…
10-13 17:27:04	cs2 tl1 jjh 2026 10 13 game1	Liquid	BUY	903	37¢	$333	0x9c86ac…
10-13 17:24:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	625	8¢	$50	0x564c5d…
10-13 17:24:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:20 UTC	Up	SELL	537	87¢	$470	0x557244…
10-13 17:22:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:20 UTC	Up	SELL	537	79¢	$424	0xe54fa4…
10-13 17:20:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1,074	43¢	$462	0x0992a0…
10-13 17:15:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	967	16¢	$150	0x108dee…
10-13 17:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	814	17¢	$141	0x90c759…
10-13 17:10:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:10 UTC	Up	BUY	652	29¢	$189	0x7f51c6…
10-13 17:08:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1,149	16¢	$187	0xa9e7c5…
10-13 17:05:37	cs2 tl1 jjh 2026 10 13 game1	Liquid	BUY	983	52¢	$510	0x1d9beb…
10-13 16:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	909	4¢	$39	0x8ac2d2…
10-13 16:38:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1,468	3¢	$51	0x5503e8…
10-13 16:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	305	9¢	$26	0xf266b3…
10-13 16:38:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:35 UTC	Up	SELL	141	87¢	$123	0xbda206…
10-13 16:38:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:35 UTC	Up	SELL	835	88¢	$734	0x655950…
10-13 16:36:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	976	38¢	$371	0x7451e8…
10-13 16:33:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,588	5¢	$81	0x0ce4b9…
10-13 16:33:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	320	6¢	$19	0x5ad2b7…
10-13 16:32:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,113	17¢	$191	0xf4afa2…
10-13 16:32:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC	Down	SELL	582	85¢	$495	0x4eec0a…
10-13 16:30:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	582	39¢	$227	0x19d9ce…
10-13 16:24:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1,632	6¢	$100	0xf5c6f1…
10-13 16:24:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1,213	92¢	$1,112	0x857f82…
10-13 16:23:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	Down	SELL	570	76¢	$433	0x16e0a8…
10-13 16:20:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1,085	25¢	$271	0x5fddac…
10-13 16:20:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	698	42¢	$293	0xa65df9…
10-13 16:15:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	610	21¢	$128	0xc3169c…
10-13 16:14:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:10 UTC	Down	SELL	387	95¢	$368	0xdaad1b…
10-13 16:13:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	388	26¢	$100	0x249ebf…
10-13 16:12:28	cs2 jjh bbl1 2026 10 13	JiJieHao	SELL	380	99¢	$376	0x5c51bb…
10-13 16:11:19	cs2 jjh bbl1 2026 10 13	JiJieHao	SELL	127	72¢	$91	0xf23866…
10-13 16:04:15	cs2 jjh bbl1 2026 10 13	JiJieHao	BUY	507	17¢	$85	0x034072…
10-13 16:03:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x9aa090…
10-13 16:01:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	725	12¢	$87	0x994014…
10-13 15:59:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:55 UTC	Up	SELL	97	98¢	$95	0xe535ee…
10-13 15:58:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:55 UTC	Up	SELL	97	95¢	$92	0x2dbfbd…
10-13 15:55:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	194	35¢	$68	0xe6788d…
10-13 15:54:36	cs2 100t tl1 2026 10 13	Liquid	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0x171fe3…
10-13 15:52:03	cs2 100t tl1 2026 10 13	Liquid	SELL	229	42¢	$95	0xde0cd1…
10-13 15:35:59	cs2 100t tl1 2026 10 13	Liquid	BUY	210	45¢	$94	0x52ce5e…
10-13 15:33:49	cs2 100t tl1 2026 10 13	Liquid	BUY	247	45¢	$112	0x941fa9…
09-21 13:10:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	179	48¢	$86	0xdc9cf2…
09-21 13:07:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x53945e…
09-21 13:05:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x3b28bd…
09-21 13:04:21	Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group A	Sangal	BUY	164	11¢	$18	0xfe8180…
09-16 15:30:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	190	31¢	$60	0x277fd4…
09-16 15:27:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x8a8ab8…
09-16 15:25:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xcbc8c3…
09-14 15:42:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	384	19¢	$73	0xc490f9…
09-14 15:41:33	lol big1 koia 2026 09 14 game1	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	SELL	211	38¢	$80	0x5521f3…
09-14 15:37:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc4d85d…