Blaring-Kit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$89

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

91.0%

Resolved

129

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

$77

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-24 09:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 72 days

Categories

Other

53% 79% +$154

Tech

19% 88% +$225

Crypto

14% 92% -$62

Sports

7% 62% -$21

Politics

7% 44% -$386

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+75	$52	85¢	$64	+$12	10-05 17:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+58	$15	12¢	$7	-$8	09-05 10:20
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	+68	$15	5¢	$4	-$11	08-07 07:48
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+100	$15	2¢	$2	-$13	09-05 10:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 620 639	1	$856	867	0	+867	No	+$11	01-04 03:27
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$586	587	0	+587	No	+$1	05-02 09:11
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$547	547	0	+547	No	+$1	07-11 10:30
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$541	551	0	+551	No	+$10	07-22 07:49
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$527	502	26	+476	No	+$0	08-07 07:48
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$483	494	0	+494	Yes	+$11	03-26 10:23
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 220 239	1	$474	479	0	+479	No	+$5	03-08 05:30
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$461	463	0	+463	No	+$2	02-03 03:22
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	1	$461	462	0	+462	Yes	+$1	02-03 03:22
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$446	447	0	+447	No	+$0	06-04 09:34
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$423	379	45	+334	No	+$1	04-21 10:48
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$401	403	0	+403	No	+$2	09-05 10:23
will ethereum reach 3400 in february 2026	2	$365	183	183	+0	No	+$0	02-25 06:58
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	1	$350	356	0	+356	Yes	+$6	03-06 04:05
Superform FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$350	351	0	+351	No	+$1	02-11 04:05
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$340	341	0	+341	No	+$1	03-26 10:23
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	3	$299	270	30	+240	No	+$1	10-18 14:15
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$284	299	0	+299	Yes	+$15	01-12 04:49
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$284	306	0	+306	Yes	+$22	01-12 04:49
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$272	245	31	+214	Yes	+$3	01-27 03:14
Superform FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$256	256	0	+256	No	+$1	02-11 04:05
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$242	122	122	+0	Yes	+$2	05-18 03:38
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$238	242	0	+242	Yes	+$4	01-12 04:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$233	243	0	+243	Yes	+$10	06-14 09:36
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	2	$193	97	97	+0	No	+$0	02-25 06:59
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$162	184	0	+184	Yes	+$22	05-30 06:29
will alphabet be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$160	161	0	+161	Yes	+$1	02-27 05:03
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$160	0	160	-160	Yes	$0	02-27 05:03
will the us next strike iran on february 1 2026 et	2	$158	81	81	+0	No	+$5	02-03 03:20
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$157	143	143	+0	No	+$117	03-26 04:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 09:35:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	61¢	$36	0x8b8481…
10-18 14:15:27	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	36	41¢	$15	0xce303d…
10-18 14:15:11	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x8b16c9…
10-16 10:58:31	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	63	56¢	$35	0x434955…
10-16 10:58:13	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0xfcd78e…
10-14 18:12:40	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	52	28¢	$14	0xc5c0cd…
10-14 18:11:16	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x7cc4ed…
10-05 17:57:23	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	270	100¢	$269	0x6a7952…
10-05 17:56:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	66	79¢	$52	0x6a8be1…
10-05 17:56:37	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	63	82¢	$52	0x5a4821…
10-05 17:56:22	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	69¢	$52	0xbb50ee…
10-05 17:56:07	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	67¢	$52	0xe32e3a…
10-05 17:55:49	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0xa81cad…
10-05 17:55:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	BUY	72	95¢	$68	0xd71a0c…
10-05 17:54:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	96¢	$68	0x202d87…
10-05 17:54:44	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x1d1ba4…
09-05 10:23:31	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	403	100¢	$401	0x54672c…
09-05 10:22:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	88	49¢	$43	0x7fb3f7…
09-05 10:22:31	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	Yes	BUY	74	70¢	$52	0x42db6c…
09-05 10:22:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	No	BUY	74	93¢	$69	0x44cb85…
09-05 10:21:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	73	95¢	$69	0x7f1087…
09-05 10:21:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	86¢	$69	0x849e44…
09-05 10:20:52	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xfeb23e…
09-05 10:20:36	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x2a6a16…
08-07 07:48:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0xb676bb…
08-07 07:48:30	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0x25ed4b…
08-07 07:48:10	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x07932b…
08-06 19:46:41	Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	75¢	$43	0x45e3cb…
08-06 14:11:27	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$501	0x558804…
08-06 14:10:41	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	90¢	$43	0xd45954…
08-06 14:08:26	Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	49	88¢	$43	0xd8a8a1…
08-06 14:08:06	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	47	91¢	$43	0xf89387…
08-06 14:07:47	Will Steph Curry's next team be Golden State Warriors?	Yes	BUY	92	93¢	$86	0x467b6c…
08-06 14:07:21	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	91	94¢	$86	0x4e1fd3…
08-06 14:06:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	98	88¢	$86	0x678428…
08-06 14:06:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	94¢	$86	0x78e246…
08-06 14:06:05	Will Kawhi play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?	No	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xd39ee1…
08-06 14:05:23	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x638d1b…
08-06 14:04:05	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0xe973ad…
07-22 07:49:46	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	551	98¢	$541	0x9f84d6…
07-22 07:49:21	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	83	75¢	$62	0x0f4325…
07-11 10:30:40	Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	547	100¢	$547	0x03d8bb…
07-11 10:30:20	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	68	98¢	$67	0xa97e5a…
07-11 10:30:07	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0x9a7765…
07-11 10:29:53	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	96	93¢	$89	0xf44006…
07-11 10:28:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	94¢	$89	0x06ce9d…
07-11 10:28:37	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x9ccbbb…
07-11 10:28:23	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x28818f…
07-11 10:28:04	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x7b0479…
07-11 10:27:49	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Benoît Saint Denis	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x48f0f2…
06-14 09:36:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	243	96¢	$233	0x5dcce7…
06-04 09:34:13	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	447	100¢	$446	0x270397…
06-04 09:33:58	will wti reach 120 in june 2026 243	No	BUY	43	87¢	$37	0x04a1b4…
06-04 09:33:39	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	77	96¢	$74	0x2e469e…
06-04 09:33:22	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	106	70¢	$74	0x51018d…
06-04 09:32:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	No	BUY	97	90¢	$87	0xf0de89…
06-04 09:32:36	Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	63¢	$87	0xa599b8…
06-04 09:32:16	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0f816f…
06-04 09:32:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	82¢	$99	0x3c3ebc…
06-04 09:31:48	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	205	17¢	$35	0x74e218…
05-30 06:29:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x496826…
05-30 06:29:04	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	85	41¢	$35	0x6b232d…
05-18 03:39:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	105	97¢	$101	0x8344a8…
05-18 03:39:01	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x4d924a…
05-18 03:38:22	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	122	100¢	$122	0x6af946…
05-02 09:11:54	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	587	100¢	$586	0xcf55eb…
05-02 09:11:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0x99fdbc…
05-02 09:10:36	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0xe60942…
05-02 09:10:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	79¢	$84	0x9c4a55…
05-02 09:09:36	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	107	79¢	$84	0xfe34d1…
05-02 09:09:04	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	103	93¢	$96	0xe43037…
05-02 09:08:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	114	95¢	$108	0xccfe32…
05-02 09:08:04	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	122	98¢	$120	0xf69696…
05-02 09:07:22	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?	Yes	BUY	135	26¢	$35	0xe2fff2…
05-02 09:06:56	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xb15af7…
04-21 10:48:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	72¢	$45	0x7452d6…
04-21 10:48:00	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x2bfd49…
04-19 04:54:06	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	159	44¢	$70	0x323e7e…
04-19 04:53:46	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x1989c4…
04-14 04:57:25	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	41	69¢	$29	0xa80095…
04-14 04:56:51	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0xb91347…
04-14 04:56:29	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 liv1	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x786505…
04-14 04:56:09	nba por phx 2026 04 14	Suns	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x698e06…
04-14 04:55:37	nba mia cha 2026 04 14	Hornets	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x0a6158…
04-07 14:02:13	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	379	100¢	$378	0xfacf12…
04-07 14:01:51	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x68361e…
04-07 14:01:15	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	Yes	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xe2d470…
04-07 14:00:39	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x31b8a7…
04-07 14:00:21	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	67¢	$22	0x2a6ebc…
04-04 05:37:05	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	94¢	$67	0x97b724…
04-04 05:36:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	137	98¢	$134	0xa0afa8…
04-04 05:36:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	140	96¢	$134	0x0b2d3b…
04-04 05:35:45	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	94	96¢	$90	0xe4a385…
04-02 05:09:17	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	104	61¢	$63	0x5d3ac6…
04-02 05:05:25	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	61¢	$24	0x26fb2b…
04-02 04:14:57	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x26f8bd…
04-02 04:14:45	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x8b6821…
04-02 04:14:31	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	113	77¢	$87	0x201c22…
03-26 10:23:57	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	352	100¢	$351	0x668713…
03-26 10:23:19	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	341	100¢	$340	0x3120c2…