Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$147

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 10-15 14:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

77% 48% -$10

Politics

19% 64% +$2

Tech

4% 50% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$5	10	+10	No	+$3	08-08 17:50
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-19 10:08
Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	09-09 00:02
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-10 19:57
will nvda reach 232 by august 17 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-17 22:07
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	09-11 12:16
will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-03 08:36
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	09-14 15:39
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-14 07:10
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$5	09-08 05:45
spx up or down on september 11 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Up	-$2	09-11 04:04
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-24 10:19
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-23 17:47
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$2	09-20 22:24
Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-09 11:49
laptop airdrop by september 9	1	$2	9	+9	Yes	-$2	09-08 06:54
spy up or down on september 23 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Down	+$4	09-23 08:12
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-14 23:41
next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-01 05:11
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	09-07 16:34
will trump say ballroom during xi jinpings state arrival	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-24 02:46
spx up or down on august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Down	-$2	08-16 20:38
will googl dip to 340 by august 17 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-17 04:42
spx up or down on september 4 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Down	+$3	09-04 02:19
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-18 06:09
next openai gpt luna 5pt7 released by september 27 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-22 02:52
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-20 08:32
lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 18 2026 0pt49	1	$2	10	+10	No	+$8	08-16 13:29
will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-20 01:24
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-09 01:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 14:33:50	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 19?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xee30ac…
10-13 18:07:57	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0b9fe9…
10-13 10:06:32	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9c3110…
10-11 01:25:15	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3a9782…
10-10 11:52:22	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x571c2c…
10-08 20:25:23	Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8099d5…
10-08 11:08:18	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xda77d1…
10-08 03:07:49	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x81c7a9…
10-07 17:18:31	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x51cbf1…
10-07 08:22:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x238f28…
10-06 00:22:01	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb8dbca…
10-05 16:13:34	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x37458b…
10-05 00:10:16	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x23a241…
10-02 14:49:05	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x03ef30…
10-02 14:02:48	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 2?	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc3123f…
10-02 05:46:42	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x105f90…
10-01 12:20:24	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x629281…
10-01 12:17:35	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x15eda3…
10-01 04:11:15	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa1e954…
09-30 18:03:23	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x386bc1…
09-30 02:19:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa0e51c…
09-30 02:14:15	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1ad176…
09-29 05:57:36	will mu reach 1080 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe44776…
09-28 21:55:39	will spy reach 770 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x76677e…
09-28 13:54:44	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in September?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x254926…
09-28 05:27:57	will meta reach 770 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x66c93a…
09-27 21:27:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc7ea5a…
09-27 06:21:05	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x490683…
09-26 07:30:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfc4f8b…
09-25 21:38:48	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x738e0a…
09-25 13:38:42	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x5b91ff…
09-25 03:48:17	will xagusd reach 65 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xce4448…
09-24 19:34:54	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf71ee6…
09-24 10:46:38	Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfb5e12…
09-24 02:46:10	will trump say ballroom during xi jinpings state arrival	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x237c2f…
09-23 17:47:13	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xbab554…
09-23 08:12:04	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa27e22…
09-23 00:09:10	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x78a260…
09-22 02:52:57	next openai gpt luna 5pt7 released by september 27 2026	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x37e02d…
09-21 18:52:36	will amzn dip to 256 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xfa0eab…
09-20 22:24:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x856d63…
09-19 10:08:13	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x7493c1…
09-14 23:41:58	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x7ae8ac…
09-14 15:39:48	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x803f8c…
09-14 07:10:21	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x7a0b0d…
09-13 23:09:55	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xd3dbf5…
09-11 12:16:28	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x44148a…
09-11 04:04:25	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8cfb2f…
09-10 19:57:57	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x399600…
09-09 11:49:31	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x1bf759…
09-09 00:02:54	Will Macy's say "Headwind" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x4a5f41…
09-08 06:54:39	laptop airdrop by september 9	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x92f876…
09-08 05:45:10	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x524611…
09-07 16:34:48	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd6940f…
09-04 02:19:51	spx up or down on september 4 2026	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x182a44…
09-03 08:36:04	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xf84889…
09-02 01:27:12	spy up or down on september 2 2026	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x5d2907…
09-01 13:13:27	Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb5b4ba…
09-01 05:11:00	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbf48b6…
08-29 09:00:54	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x0f25af…
08-25 04:47:00	will trump say flag during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xecc54e…
08-24 20:45:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x79f61e…
08-24 10:19:40	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x6d7daf…
08-24 02:13:09	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $375 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x4f7f58…
08-21 16:03:55	will warsh say good morning during jackson hole speech on august 28	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4521cd…
08-20 18:51:24	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x01352a…
08-20 08:32:45	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x518415…
08-20 01:24:00	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x369ca5…
08-19 14:21:24	will nvda reach 232 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x05af8e…
08-18 06:09:22	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xfcbd4b…
08-17 22:07:43	will nvda reach 232 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xaa6af0…
08-17 12:52:36	will pltr reach 180 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x60bb4e…
08-17 04:42:43	will googl dip to 340 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb350f6…
08-16 20:38:57	spx up or down on august 17 2026	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5640ef…
08-16 13:29:33	lzb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 18 2026 0pt49	No	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x3ad3e9…
08-11 10:28:57	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x268f8d…
08-11 01:46:16	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	No	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x71dd25…
08-10 17:41:21	will pltr reach 183 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x423d35…
08-10 06:39:58	will amzn reach 288 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x9e0699…
08-09 22:39:13	will nvda dip to 212 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x7d4070…
08-09 09:56:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xdfd367…
08-09 01:52:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x6243ce…
08-08 17:50:25	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xd2a948…
08-08 17:37:28	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xcc18f0…