Submissive-Duel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$375

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-05 19:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 89% +$0

Other

9% — —

Politics

5% 100% +$0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	93¢	$1	+$0	05-29 21:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	84¢	$1	+$0	06-05 19:58
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+4	$1	19¢	$1	$-0	06-05 19:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771334100	8	$12	8	6	+2	open	—	02-17 13:18
btc updown 5m 1771341600	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	02-17 15:25
btc updown 5m 1771342500	2	$11	7	6	+0	open	—	02-17 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-29 22:40
btc updown 5m 1771342200	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-17 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 21:51
btc updown 5m 1771344000	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-17 16:05
btc updown 5m 1771342800	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-17 15:45
btc updown 5m 1771194300	5	$6	6	1	+4	open	—	02-15 22:29
btc updown 5m 1771344600	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	02-17 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	05-24 18:43
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	01-18 14:28
btc updown 5m 1771290000	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-17 01:04
btc updown 5m 1771179900	3	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	02-15 18:29
btc updown 5m 1771437600	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	02-18 18:05
btc updown 5m 1771107600	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	02-14 22:26
btc updown 5m 1771350300	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	02-17 17:50
will gold gc hit low 4200 by end of february 891 227 734 585 416 787 933 185 752 713 424	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	02-10 17:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	2	$4	7	7	+0	open	—	05-27 23:40
will gold gc hit low 4000 by end of february 542 564 882 215 825 637 559 654 593 764 923	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-10 17:31
btc updown 5m 1771349400	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-17 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 21:45
btc updown 5m 1771184400	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	02-15 19:44
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$3	5	2	+4	open	—	06-05 19:54
btc updown 5m 1771279200	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-16 22:05
btc updown 5m 1771284900	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-16 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 22:10
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-30 13:54
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	02-11 19:40
will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	06-04 23:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 19:58:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x2bf64c…
06-05 19:54:19	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2df367…
06-05 19:51:04	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8c339d…
06-05 19:50:48	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x23f627…
06-05 10:52:27	will bitcoin dip to 60k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd4e115…
06-04 23:15:12	btc updown 5m 1780614600	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6ccc81…
06-04 23:12:40	btc updown 5m 1780614600	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6244ad…
06-04 23:11:28	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x819940…
06-04 23:11:00	will russia capture kupiansk by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xc5ee7c…
06-03 17:36:37	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x509cd3…
05-30 14:01:23	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x6bbd1f…
05-30 13:54:58	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0723fa…
05-30 13:54:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x8bd79b…
05-30 13:54:10	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0c0c0a…
05-30 13:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1d0c87…
05-30 13:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb54429…
05-30 13:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x332670…
05-30 11:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x53424d…
05-29 22:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb96c50…
05-29 22:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfdf750…
05-29 22:12:58	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x76a875…
05-29 21:49:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1a5a35…
05-29 21:48:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa9dea7…
05-29 21:43:20	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa5e5f9…
05-29 21:40:51	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd72de0…
05-27 23:40:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	7	49¢	$3	0xc8d6f9…
05-27 17:01:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x857203…
05-24 19:50:37	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xd1cedb…
05-24 18:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x80acf5…
05-24 18:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd263e5…
05-24 18:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x55d9b6…
05-24 18:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7312c9…
05-23 09:09:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfcdb4f…
05-23 04:33:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x195436…
05-22 16:51:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd50364…
05-22 00:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5d1e83…
05-22 00:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfd4e6e…
05-22 00:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x50ad44…
05-22 00:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfea4e1…
05-17 21:02:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8f2a2e…
05-17 20:03:06	US bank failure by May 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc2cf95…
05-15 18:46:06	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	FURIA	SELL	1	47¢	$1	0xa14321…
05-15 18:36:57	US bank failure by May 31?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcd7eec…
05-15 18:18:06	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2b6b40…
05-15 17:56:31	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9ce138…
05-13 12:47:05	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x18e167…
05-13 12:40:02	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3fe116…
05-13 07:05:38	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x12282a…
05-09 23:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x456ed7…
05-09 21:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd8f269…
05-09 21:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x428dba…
05-09 21:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa08872…
05-09 21:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfa26e2…
05-09 20:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa62d28…
05-09 20:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2e783a…
05-08 22:41:57	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8d5b26…
05-08 22:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8e5a22…
05-08 22:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdafc83…
05-08 22:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe95bb4…
05-08 22:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe23596…
05-08 22:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1ef540…
05-08 21:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf715aa…
05-08 21:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0052b1…
05-08 21:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf7029a…
05-08 21:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbd3eb7…
05-08 21:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd50a45…
05-08 21:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf5fbcf…
05-07 16:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf5b10d…
05-07 16:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2351e8…
05-06 20:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xde42bd…
05-06 20:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc40763…
05-06 20:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x64f6e4…
05-06 19:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xea7c0e…
05-06 19:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x999b32…
05-06 19:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfa763d…
05-06 19:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa08996…
05-06 19:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1a9e2d…
05-06 19:32:59	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x77cbb2…
05-06 19:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa56d17…
05-06 19:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf0fd36…
05-06 19:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1d666e…
05-06 19:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc758d5…
05-06 19:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1cb4f3…
05-06 19:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xabb63a…
05-06 18:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x188683…
05-06 18:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe6366b…
05-03 16:33:42	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe6ee64…
05-03 15:58:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x613457…
03-02 20:10:55	btc updown 5m 1772481900	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x54992e…
03-02 20:07:05	btc updown 5m 1772481900	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x33c70d…
03-02 20:02:41	btc updown 5m 1772481600	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x4a4195…
03-02 19:59:29	btc updown 5m 1772481300	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x307aa7…
02-18 19:45:12	btc updown 5m 1771443600	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb31fb2…
02-18 19:44:30	btc updown 5m 1771443600	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x978018…
02-18 19:40:24	btc updown 5m 1771443300	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc9ede5…
02-18 19:38:24	btc updown 5m 1771443300	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x09fd3c…
02-18 18:55:24	btc updown 5m 1771440600	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb2107e…
02-18 18:52:48	btc updown 5m 1771440600	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd614d0…
02-18 18:10:02	btc updown 5m 1771437900	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf0ad6c…
02-18 18:05:14	btc updown 5m 1771437600	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0b87a1…