Unfortunate-Freight — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$18

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

67.5%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

2,738 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$308

$15.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-23

last 11-13 22:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 55% -$149

Politics

2% 63% +$9

Other

0% 100% +$8

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes		+0	-$1	18¢	$0	+$1	06-24 16:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	5	$324	208	208	+0	Down	+$84	06-02 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$319	280	280	+0	Up	+$15	06-02 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	17	$240	460	180	+280	Up	-$60	06-02 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	14	$239	300	200	+100	Up	-$39	06-02 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	31	$234	198	198	+0	Down	+$40	06-02 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	21	$229	280	180	+100	Up	+$41	06-02 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	15	$179	156	156	+0	Up	+$41	06-02 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	14	$166	140	140	+0	Down	+$44	06-01 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	8	$159	150	150	+0	Down	+$40	06-01 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	12	$156	200	200	+0	Up	-$36	06-02 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$151	108	108	+0	Down	+$48	06-02 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$145	108	108	+0	Down	+$48	06-02 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	11	$135	100	100	+0	Down	+$41	06-01 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	11	$114	100	100	+0	Down	+$24	06-01 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	9	$113	100	100	+0	Down	+$17	06-02 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$110	97	97	+0	Down	+$16	06-01 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$109	100	100	+0	Down	+$11	06-02 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	12	$103	80	80	+0	Down	+$24	06-02 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$100	356	0	+356	Up	-$100	06-01 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$99	198	0	+198	Up	-$99	06-02 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	9	$97	100	100	+0	Down	+$1	06-01 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	14	$97	100	100	+0	Down	+$1	06-01 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$96	72	72	+0	Down	+$27	06-02 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	5	$96	70	70	+0	Down	+$30	06-01 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$93	90	90	+0	Up	+$6	06-01 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$91	70	70	+0	Down	+$21	06-02 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	12	$90	180	0	+180	Up	-$90	06-02 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$89	121	71	+50	Up	-$3	06-01 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	5	$87	100	100	+0	Down	+$13	06-01 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	16	$84	72	72	+0	Down	+$15	06-02 12:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 23:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x84df9f…
11-13 23:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xcfefc0…
11-13 23:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	26	63¢	$16	0x29dbbf…
11-13 23:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	28¢	$7	0x543869…
11-13 23:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x60bbce…
11-13 22:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdcf055…
11-13 22:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3e55ee…
11-13 22:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x7adfde…
11-13 22:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x2fceea…
11-13 22:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x0564b6…
11-13 22:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	17	70¢	$12	0x6a6f28…
11-13 22:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	43¢	$7	0xfaa5b2…
11-13 22:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xcd2b4e…
11-13 22:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4f46bd…
11-13 22:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0xa65f54…
11-13 22:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0xdb0027…
11-13 22:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x4e439c…
11-13 22:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcc2064…
11-13 22:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0x9b0748…
11-13 22:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0xdb5c19…
11-13 22:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x8dbc43…
11-13 22:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe393ce…
11-13 22:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x356635…
11-13 22:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0x606d3e…
11-13 22:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x7a2ebc…
11-13 22:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x32e4ac…
11-13 22:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd0af2e…
11-13 22:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0xa78c74…
11-13 22:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0xd35924…
11-13 22:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xf139d4…
11-13 22:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x261089…
11-13 22:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x778f6c…
11-13 22:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x017488…
11-13 22:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x7b6604…
11-13 22:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x8e34c1…
11-13 21:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3d1b50…
11-13 21:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0x466e16…
11-13 21:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x06ff52…
11-13 21:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	49¢	$6	0xc5d6ef…
11-13 21:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0xf67798…
11-13 21:08:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0xeba40f…
11-13 21:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	26¢	$5	0x4f1025…
11-13 21:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x04baf6…
11-13 21:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	58¢	$6	0x1df361…
11-13 20:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x76e656…
11-13 20:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x53758b…
11-13 20:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0x75c726…
11-13 20:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	32	10¢	$3	0xb2d7ff…
11-13 20:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7c8851…
11-13 20:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x284127…
11-13 20:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x72e401…
11-13 20:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xaa0d7b…
11-13 20:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x5880b3…
11-13 20:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb68097…
11-13 00:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xaec1c6…
11-13 00:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x591be3…
11-13 00:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	80¢	$9	0xb6c4f9…
11-13 00:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x080795…
11-13 00:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x06af8f…
11-13 00:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x9949dd…
11-13 00:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0xe687b4…
11-13 00:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	78¢	$8	0xaece1a…
11-13 00:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0x857fc6…
11-13 00:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x9e5cff…
11-13 00:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbd4d54…
11-13 00:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x43b894…
11-13 00:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$4	0x7f5412…
11-13 00:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0xa0dca9…
11-13 00:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xa4c439…
11-12 02:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xf6994b…
11-12 02:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xad1d0a…
11-12 02:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	19	29¢	$6	0xb34e3d…
11-12 02:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa7c8d1…
11-12 01:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x4f73a5…
11-12 01:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x49c07d…
11-12 01:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3e09fe…
11-12 01:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xee4544…
11-12 01:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd776f9…
11-12 01:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x3aea56…
11-12 01:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xb6d13b…
11-12 01:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0x1474b6…
11-12 01:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2d5189…
11-10 01:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x932e4f…
11-10 01:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfe4320…
11-10 01:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xacb873…
11-10 01:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x59cbd5…
11-10 01:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xde0e68…
11-10 01:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xbbcfa7…
10-26 00:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcca1b1…
10-26 00:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa4f020…
10-26 00:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xd422e5…
10-26 00:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9a4fed…
10-26 00:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x5922d9…
10-26 00:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x127078…
10-22 21:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x764caf…
10-22 21:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xfe5c45…
10-22 21:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x8de687…
10-22 21:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x957881…
10-21 23:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	27	19¢	$5	0x4ef890…
10-21 23:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x458f93…