Unfortunate-Freight — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,674 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$52

$14.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-23

last 11-12 02:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 55% -$167

Politics

2% 63% +$9

Other

0% 100% +$8

Sports

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes		+0	-$1	14¢	$0	+$1	06-24 16:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	5	$324	208	208	+0	Down	+$84	06-02 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$319	280	280	+0	Up	+$15	06-02 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	17	$240	460	180	+280	Up	-$60	06-02 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	14	$239	300	200	+100	Up	-$39	06-02 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	31	$234	198	198	+0	Down	+$40	06-02 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	21	$229	280	180	+100	Up	+$41	06-02 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	15	$179	156	156	+0	Up	+$41	06-02 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	14	$166	140	140	+0	Down	+$44	06-01 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	8	$159	150	150	+0	Down	+$40	06-01 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	12	$156	200	200	+0	Up	-$36	06-02 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$151	108	108	+0	Down	+$48	06-02 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$145	108	108	+0	Down	+$48	06-02 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	11	$135	100	100	+0	Down	+$41	06-01 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	11	$114	100	100	+0	Down	+$24	06-01 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	9	$113	100	100	+0	Down	+$17	06-02 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$110	97	97	+0	Down	+$16	06-01 21:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$109	100	100	+0	Down	+$11	06-02 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	12	$103	80	80	+0	Down	+$24	06-02 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$100	356	0	+356	Up	-$100	06-01 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$99	198	0	+198	Up	-$99	06-02 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	9	$97	100	100	+0	Down	+$1	06-01 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	14	$97	100	100	+0	Down	+$1	06-01 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$96	72	72	+0	Down	+$27	06-02 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	5	$96	70	70	+0	Down	+$30	06-01 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$93	90	90	+0	Up	+$6	06-01 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$91	70	70	+0	Down	+$21	06-02 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	12	$90	180	0	+180	Up	-$90	06-02 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$89	121	71	+50	Up	-$3	06-01 23:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	5	$87	100	100	+0	Down	+$13	06-01 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	16	$84	72	72	+0	Down	+$15	06-02 12:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 02:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xf6994b…
11-12 02:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xad1d0a…
11-12 02:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	19	29¢	$6	0xb34e3d…
11-12 02:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xa7c8d1…
11-12 01:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x4f73a5…
11-12 01:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x49c07d…
11-12 01:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x3e09fe…
11-12 01:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xee4544…
11-12 01:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd776f9…
11-12 01:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x3aea56…
11-12 01:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xb6d13b…
11-12 01:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	86¢	$4	0x1474b6…
11-12 01:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2d5189…
11-10 01:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x932e4f…
11-10 01:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfe4320…
11-10 01:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xacb873…
11-10 01:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x59cbd5…
11-10 01:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xde0e68…
11-10 01:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xbbcfa7…
10-26 00:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcca1b1…
10-26 00:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa4f020…
10-26 00:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0xd422e5…
10-26 00:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9a4fed…
10-26 00:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	75¢	$5	0x5922d9…
10-26 00:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x127078…
10-22 21:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x764caf…
10-22 21:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xfe5c45…
10-22 21:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x8de687…
10-22 21:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x957881…
10-21 23:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	27	19¢	$5	0x4ef890…
10-21 23:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x458f93…
10-21 23:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xf9fdc4…
10-21 23:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9ce80d…
10-21 23:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x4dbc6a…
10-21 23:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x345c36…
10-21 23:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x6759be…
10-21 23:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x97759a…
10-21 23:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0xb545e6…
10-21 23:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x31a79b…
10-21 23:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xed1bfe…
10-21 23:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0x7e175e…
10-21 23:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x07cdaf…
10-21 23:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8d3b3a…
09-26 01:08:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 01:05 UTC	Up	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x4f8256…
09-26 01:07:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xf106ee…
09-26 00:53:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2bd8e1…
09-26 00:52:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:50 UTC	Down	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0x050600…
09-26 00:52:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x557586…
09-26 00:47:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xa201a2…
09-26 00:47:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x3d43e4…
09-26 00:42:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:40 UTC	Down	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0xa3725f…
09-26 00:40:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:40 UTC	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe997f0…
09-26 00:38:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:35 UTC	Up	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x8cc12e…
09-26 00:38:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8ee5f3…
09-26 00:36:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:35 UTC	Down	SELL	7	49¢	$4	0xc60256…
09-26 00:35:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc7ba9a…
09-26 00:32:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:30 UTC	Up	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xe5bc6e…
09-26 00:31:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x78fdb5…
09-26 00:31:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x4db554…
09-26 00:29:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7cd8ac…
09-24 23:47:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:45 UTC	Up	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0xe39ee6…
09-24 23:46:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xc60fe7…
09-24 23:33:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x54f977…
09-24 23:30:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x32d5d5…
09-24 23:30:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xc8ed77…
09-20 20:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb8fbb3…
09-20 20:24:55	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x36d1ca…
09-20 17:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xdf27cd…
09-20 17:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xeab520…
09-20 17:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x27bb6f…
09-20 17:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0xbb4be7…
09-20 17:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x260ca7…
09-20 17:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x72abd8…
09-20 17:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x9d4ab7…
09-20 17:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	33¢	$4	0x0245fd…
09-20 17:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	41¢	$4	0xc570c5…
09-20 17:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8e804d…
09-20 17:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa52c27…
09-20 17:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xba27b0…
09-20 17:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x64d237…
09-19 23:36:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:35 UTC	Up	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x0ded00…
09-19 23:35:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xfa5969…
09-19 23:33:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x0b41cb…
09-19 23:32:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4be51f…
09-19 23:30:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x318f23…
09-19 23:29:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb71f5c…
09-19 23:25:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:25 UTC	Down	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xb63fbb…
09-19 23:24:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x83d5e0…
09-19 23:23:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:20 UTC	Up	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0x26df2c…
09-19 23:23:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xccb2e5…
09-19 23:21:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:20 UTC	Up	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x34c179…
09-19 23:21:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x3440c4…
09-19 23:18:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xfb6ade…
09-19 23:14:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5e7ff1…
09-19 23:13:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:10 UTC	Down	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x773b3e…
09-19 23:13:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x48cfe7…
09-19 23:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:10 UTC	Down	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x77e8d4…
09-19 23:11:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf2ecb8…
09-19 23:11:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:10 UTC	Down	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x158f2d…
09-19 23:09:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x537ddd…