Downright-Productivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.5%

Resolved

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$690

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 06-09 00:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 73% +$3

Politics

23% — —

Sports

3% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$31	251	0	+251	open	—	04-05 13:50
btc updown 5m 1773112200	2	$27	26	25	+0	open	—	03-10 03:12
btc updown 5m 1773022800	4	$26	21	20	+0	open	—	03-09 02:22
btc updown 5m 1773113100	2	$23	22	22	+0	open	—	03-10 03:26
btc updown 5m 1773110100	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-10 02:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-02 18:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	03-02 18:38
btc updown 5m 1772914500	1	$16	33	0	+33	open	—	03-07 20:16
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$16	122	0	+122	open	—	03-28 21:00
btc updown 5m 1773022200	2	$12	14	13	+0	open	—	03-09 02:12
btc updown 5m 1775432400	2	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	04-05 23:42
btc updown 5m 1772928300	2	$12	19	0	+19	open	—	03-08 00:09
btc updown 5m 1775429100	2	$11	9	8	+0	open	—	04-05 22:46
btc updown 5m 1773114900	2	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	03-10 03:56
btc updown 5m 1773117300	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	03-10 04:38
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	03-30 14:00
btc updown 5m 1772930400	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-08 00:44
will trump say israel or gaza during the 2026 state of the union address 833	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	02-25 02:39
btc updown 5m 1772926200	4	$8	12	2	+9	open	—	03-07 23:34
btc updown 5m 1772913900	1	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	03-07 20:05
btc updown 5m 1772674500	1	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	03-05 01:34
btc updown 5m 1772903700	1	$8	17	0	+17	open	—	03-07 17:15
will trump say black or hispanic during the 2026 state of the union address 716	3	$8	10	5	+5	open	—	02-25 03:41
btc updown 5m 1771018500	6	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	02-13 21:39
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	5	$7	48	48	+0	open	—	04-07 03:03
will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	3	$7	59	38	+20	open	—	02-25 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	4	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 02:28
btc updown 5m 1772901600	6	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	03-07 16:44
btc updown 5m 1775399400	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-05 14:35
btc updown 5m 1772588100	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-04 01:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 00:26:19	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc346ce…
05-12 11:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x195ada…
05-12 11:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6e2742…
05-12 11:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x34c5d7…
05-12 11:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9c1e51…
05-11 02:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x7d7acd…
05-11 02:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x867a02…
05-11 02:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	64¢	$2	0x1c07ac…
05-11 02:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x8728e1…
05-11 02:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x49ffda…
05-11 01:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	68¢	$3	0xe2acc0…
05-11 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x73bbfb…
05-11 01:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5e8cea…
05-11 00:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x7e59c8…
05-11 00:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xac4fbd…
05-11 00:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0xbddb79…
05-11 00:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe76ee0…
05-11 00:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x66dd78…
05-11 00:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xf21e47…
05-05 20:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe7069f…
04-30 17:15:42	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xfa0ec9…
04-30 02:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xd5f992…
04-30 02:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xaa3fda…
04-30 01:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x82f96e…
04-30 01:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x8bb5f0…
04-30 01:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe4d02d…
04-30 01:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0xdf4027…
04-30 01:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x260523…
04-30 00:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x02e52a…
04-30 00:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5d2366…
04-30 00:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xeb9614…
04-30 00:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0xec4b79…
04-30 00:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa79413…
04-30 00:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd7c260…
04-30 00:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x619eb8…
04-30 00:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x206ebb…
04-29 00:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xec49aa…
04-26 18:58:50	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3cea11…
04-07 20:52:19	btc updown 5m 1775595000	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0xce2e49…
04-07 20:51:47	btc updown 5m 1775595000	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x422b19…
04-07 03:03:11	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0xdc51b3…
04-07 02:57:59	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf7ed1d…
04-07 02:51:11	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x50a34b…
04-07 02:51:03	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xc31ec2…
04-06 15:10:45	btc updown 5m 1775488200	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x163af1…
04-06 11:45:33	btc updown 5m 1775475900	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa2ecac…
04-06 11:40:41	btc updown 5m 1775475600	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc32290…
04-06 11:35:43	btc updown 5m 1775475300	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x0bff27…
04-06 11:35:11	btc updown 5m 1775475300	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x10940f…
04-06 03:03:03	btc updown 5m 1775444400	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xefe86d…
04-06 02:59:43	btc updown 5m 1775444100	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xc17d41…
04-06 02:56:23	btc updown 5m 1775444100	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x367c15…
04-05 23:49:35	btc updown 5m 1775432700	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x46eae4…
04-05 23:42:17	btc updown 5m 1775432400	Down	SELL	11	69¢	$7	0xcdd7cc…
04-05 23:41:25	btc updown 5m 1775432400	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x0585e5…
04-05 23:30:15	btc updown 5m 1775431800	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x50cd9a…
04-05 23:20:17	btc updown 5m 1775431200	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9bc6fd…
04-05 22:46:55	btc updown 5m 1775429100	Up	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x12af99…
04-05 22:45:17	btc updown 5m 1775429100	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xd2430b…
04-05 22:40:21	btc updown 5m 1775428800	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x206871…
04-05 22:38:43	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x58220c…
04-05 14:35:07	btc updown 5m 1775399400	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0xda04cf…
04-05 14:30:13	btc updown 5m 1775399400	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x105b32…
04-05 13:50:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd08fe7…
04-04 01:15:49	btc updown 5m 1775265300	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x71614a…
04-04 01:15:17	btc updown 5m 1775265300	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x71d057…
04-01 22:53:43	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	Yes	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xeeb336…
04-01 16:01:15	will trump say nuclear during address to the nation 726	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3a0ae6…
04-01 15:56:51	will trump say proxy or hezbollah during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xae3093…
04-01 15:56:23	will trump say ceasefire or peace deal during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x607d45…
04-01 15:55:21	will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xd39299…
03-30 14:35:15	btc updown 5m 1774881300	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x58a986…
03-30 14:25:25	btc updown 5m 1774880700	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6a55ab…
03-30 14:24:51	btc updown 5m 1774880400	Down	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x585639…
03-30 14:24:13	btc updown 5m 1774880400	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x69786a…
03-30 14:23:21	btc updown 5m 1774880400	Down	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x65dcfa…
03-30 14:22:27	btc updown 5m 1774880400	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x021a4b…
03-30 14:00:25	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x2aa7f6…
03-30 04:21:40	will uconn win the 2026 womens ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x9551be…
03-28 21:01:04	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xf05f3a…
03-28 21:00:58	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xd86eb2…
03-19 19:55:37	cbb siena duke 2026 03 19	Siena Saints	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x74bc21…
03-18 22:54:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x2bf23c…
03-18 21:09:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x6e749a…
03-10 23:49:23	btc updown 5m 1773186300	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xba73e5…
03-10 04:38:43	btc updown 5m 1773117300	Down	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x6bdfda…
03-10 04:35:41	btc updown 5m 1773117300	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa31793…
03-10 04:31:25	btc updown 5m 1773117000	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xd480ef…
03-10 03:56:35	btc updown 5m 1773114900	Down	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0x1797a4…
03-10 03:55:55	btc updown 5m 1773114900	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc4ab6d…
03-10 03:34:29	btc updown 5m 1773113400	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x07b189…
03-10 03:32:45	btc updown 5m 1773113400	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xe43306…
03-10 03:32:39	btc updown 5m 1773113400	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf3f6e3…
03-10 03:26:57	btc updown 5m 1773113100	Up	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0xa4e427…
03-10 03:26:17	btc updown 5m 1773113100	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xbcf35d…
03-10 03:20:31	btc updown 5m 1773112800	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x81f08c…
03-10 03:12:45	btc updown 5m 1773112200	Down	SELL	25	67¢	$17	0x9f723d…
03-10 03:11:37	btc updown 5m 1773112200	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x73d975…
03-10 03:05:33	btc updown 5m 1773111900	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x60ea91…
03-10 02:56:11	btc updown 5m 1773111300	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x796652…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	131	$9.81K	1,591	05-12 11:57
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	122	$856	928	05-05 20:13
(anonymous) 0x7a1f…1033	121	$31.6K	2,290	04-30 02:19
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	114	$94.0K	22,540	05-12 11:59
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	113	$297.5K	27,996	04-07 20:54
Animated-Health 0x4d8b…a00d	110	$7.98K	1,187	05-12 11:55
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	108	$2.84K	808	05-12 11:52
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	107	$11.3K	3,039	05-05 20:14