(anonymous) 0x98e307…879208
bot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$68
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
71.4%
Resolved
516
Trades
1,365
lifetime
Volume
$26.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$607
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 11-01 23:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 116 days
Categories
Other
62% 64% +$101
Politics
24% 66% -$85
Crypto
8% 62% +$23
Sports
3% 50% -$45
Tech
3% 40% -$84
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +61 $52 88¢ $54 +$1 10-02 16:37
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +54 $42 92¢ $50 +$7 10-04 14:58
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +49 $41 80¢ $39 -$2 10-26 14:36
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +68 $47 56¢ $38 -$9 10-26 14:36
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +69 $47 55¢ $38 -$9 10-26 14:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +51 $34 74¢ $37 +$3 10-04 09:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +44 $37 82¢ $36 -$1 10-17 19:38
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +44 $32 68¢ $30 -$2 10-26 14:37
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +44 $31 64¢ $28 -$3 10-30 18:43
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +32 $20 82¢ $26 +$6 10-04 08:56
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +45 $34 52¢ $23 -$10 10-26 14:36
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +41 $23 56¢ $23 $0 10-04 01:17
will jumper launch a token by december 31 2026 Yes +24 $19 80¢ $19 +$0 10-01 07:12
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +24 $18 76¢ $18 $0 10-29 14:38
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +19 $15 84¢ $16 +$1 10-29 09:54
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +18 $13 78¢ $14 +$0 10-05 19:13
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +24 $14 57¢ $14 -$1 10-29 09:54
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +14 $12 90¢ $12 +$0 08-02 00:31
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +15 $11 82¢ $12 +$1 10-03 04:56
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +14 $12 83¢ $12 $0 10-30 19:04
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +12 $10 87¢ $10 +$0 10-26 14:47
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +16 $10 62¢ $10 $0 10-29 16:07
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No +12 $9 71¢ $8 $0 11-01 17:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +10 $7 78¢ $8 +$1 10-01 03:39
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No +10 $7 69¢ $7 $0 10-29 09:54
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +9 $7 78¢ $7 +$0 10-29 22:23
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +8 $4 60¢ $5 +$1 10-28 20:07
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 10-31 06:15
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +7 $4 60¢ $4 +$1 10-18 19:25
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +5 $4 66¢ $4 $0 10-29 16:49