(anonymous) 0x98e307…879208
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$109
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
70.8%
Resolved
505
Trades
1,352
lifetime
Volume
$26.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$656
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-18
last 11-01 00:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Other
62% 64% +$91
Politics
24% 64% -$99
Crypto
8% 62% +$23
Sports
3% 50% -$45
Tech
3% 40% -$84
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +61 $52 88¢ $53 +$1 10-02 16:37
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +54 $42 92¢ $50 +$8 10-04 14:58
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +48 $37 90¢ $44 +$6 10-17 19:38
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? No +69 $47 58¢ $40 -$7 10-26 14:37
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? Yes +68 $47 57¢ $39 -$8 10-26 14:36
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +49 $41 80¢ $39 -$2 10-26 14:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +44 $37 82¢ $36 -$1 10-17 19:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +51 $34 70¢ $35 +$1 10-04 09:51
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +44 $32 72¢ $32 $0 10-26 14:37
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +44 $31 70¢ $31 $0 10-30 18:43
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +45 $34 66¢ $30 -$4 10-26 14:36
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +41 $23 66¢ $27 +$4 10-04 01:17
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +32 $20 81¢ $26 +$6 10-04 08:56
Will Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +24 $18 80¢ $19 +$1 10-29 14:38
will jumper launch a token by december 31 2026 Yes +24 $19 79¢ $19 +$0 10-01 07:12
Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +19 $15 74¢ $14 -$1 10-29 09:54
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +18 $13 78¢ $14 +$0 10-05 19:13
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +15 $11 84¢ $12 +$1 10-03 04:56
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? Yes +14 $12 90¢ $12 +$0 08-02 00:31
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +14 $12 84¢ $12 $0 10-30 19:04
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +24 $14 45¢ $11 -$4 10-29 09:54
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +12 $10 87¢ $10 +$0 10-26 14:47
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +16 $10 62¢ $10 $0 10-29 16:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +10 $7 87¢ $9 +$2 10-01 03:39
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No +10 $7 68¢ $7 $0 10-29 09:54
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +9 $7 80¢ $7 +$0 10-29 22:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-31 09:35
Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? No +8 $4 62¢ $5 +$1 10-28 20:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +7 $4 62¢ $5 +$1 10-18 19:25
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? Yes +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 10-31 06:15